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Accurate prediction of terrestrial ecosystem carbon fluxes (e.g., CO$_2$, GPP, and CH$_4$) is essential for understanding the global carbon cycle and managing its impacts. However, prediction remains challenging due to strong spatiotemporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-05 Yiming Sun , Runlong Yu , Rongchao Dong , Shuo Chen , Licheng Liu , Youmi Oh , Qianlai Zhuang , Yiqun Xie , Xiaowei Jia

Confidence intervals (CIs) are instrumental in statistical analysis, providing a range estimate of the parameters. In modern statistics, selective inference is common, where only certain parameters are highlighted. However, this selective…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-17 Tzviel Frostig , Yoav Benjamini , Ruth Heller

Causal inference with observational studies often suffers from unmeasured confounding, yielding biased estimators based on the unconfoundedness assumption. Sensitivity analysis assesses how the causal conclusions change with respect to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-01 Sizhu Lu , Peng Ding

This research introduces a new constraint domain for reasoning about data with uncertainty. It extends convex modeling with the notion of p-box to gain additional quantifiable information on the data whereabouts. Unlike existing approaches,…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2014-05-19 Aya Saad

Uncertainty sets are at the heart of robust optimization (RO) because they play a key role in determining the RO models' tractability, robustness, and conservativeness. Different types of uncertainty sets have been proposed that model…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-07-13 Meysam Cheramin , Richard Li-Yang Chen , Jianqiang Cheng , Ali Pinar

This work proposes a robust data-driven predictive control approach for unknown nonlinear systems in the presence of bounded process and measurement noise. Data-driven reachable sets are employed for the controller design instead of using…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-07-18 Mahsa Farjadnia , Amr Alanwar , Muhammad Umar B. Niazi , Marco Molinari , Karl Henrik Johansson

Explosive growth in energy-intensive AI data centers is outstripping the pace of power grid interconnection and transmission expansion. While operational flexibility has been proposed to mitigate this stress, existing processes are often…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-19 Dongjoo Kim , Lin Dong , Le Xie

In this paper, we present a novel data-driven approach to quantify safety for non-linear, discrete-time stochastic systems with unknown noise distribution. We define safety as the probability that the system remains in a given region of the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-10 Frederik Baymler Mathiesen , Licio Romao , Simeon C. Calvert , Luca Laurenti , Alessandro Abate

Spatial regression models have a variety of applications in several fields ranging from economics to public health. Typically, it is of interest to select important exogenous predictors of the spatially autocorrelated response variable. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-31 Sagar Pandhare , Divya Kappara , Siuli Mukhopadhyay

Trustworthiness of artificially intelligent agents is vital for the acceptance of human-machine teaming in industrial manufacturing environments. Predictable behaviours and explainable (and understandable) rationale allow humans…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-05-22 Vedran Galetić , Alistair Nottle

Bayesian posterior distributions naturally represent parameter uncertainty informed by data. However, when the parameter space is complex, as in many nonparametric settings where it is infinite-dimensional or combinatorially large, standard…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-22 Nicola Bariletto , Nhat Ho , Alessandro Rinaldo

Conformal Inference (CI) is a popular approach for generating finite sample prediction intervals based on the output of any point prediction method when data are exchangeable. Adaptive Conformal Inference (ACI) algorithms extend CI to the…

Computation · Statistics 2023-12-04 Herbert Susmann , Antoine Chambaz , Julie Josse

Ensuring safety in autonomous driving requires precise, real-time risk assessment and adaptive behavior. Prior work on risk estimation either outputs coarse, global scene-level metrics lacking interpretability, proposes indicators without…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-08-06 Boyang Tian , Weisong Shi

Data-carving methods perform selective inference by conditioning the distribution of data on the observed selection event. However, existing data-carving approaches typically require an analytically tractable characterization of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-03 Sifan Liu , Snigdha Panigrahi

Research on environmental risk modeling relies on numerous indicators to quantify the magnitude and frequency of extreme climate events, their ecological, economic, and social impacts, and the coping mechanisms that can reduce or mitigate…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2026-01-29 Abdullah Konak

The non-convexity and intractability of distributionally robust chance constraints make them challenging to cope with. From a data-driven perspective, we propose formulating it as a robust optimization problem to ensure that the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-06-23 Zhiping Chen , Wentao Ma , Bingbing Ji

When estimating a single subsystem (module) in a linear dynamic network with a prediction error method, a data-informativity condition needs to be satisfied for arriving at a consistent module estimate. This concerns a condition on input…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-13 Paul M. J. Van den Hof , Shengling Shi , Stefanie J. M. Fonken , Karthik R. Ramaswamy , Håkan Hjalmarsson , Arne G. Dankers

We consider the problem of safely exploring a static and unknown environment while learning valid control barrier functions (CBFs) from sensor data. Existing works either assume known environments, target specific dynamics models, or use…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-03 Paul Lutkus , Deepika Anantharaman , Stephen Tu , Lars Lindemann

In this work we examine the problem of data-driven prediction. That is, given a LTI system with unknown dynamics, we wish to use data collected from the system to predict the system's output response to a given sequence of known inputs.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Joel Stevens , Jeremy Coulson

In this paper we investigate a data-driven approach to the design of an unknown-input observer (UIO). Specifically, we provide necessary and sufficient conditions for the existence of an unknown-input observer for a discrete-time linear…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-01-03 Giorgia Disarò , Maria Elena Valcher