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We study a classification problem with three key challenges: pervasive informative missingness, the integration of partial prior expert knowledge into the learning process, and the need for interpretable decision rules. We propose a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-17 Shahar Cohen , David M. Steinberg , Yael Radzyner , Yochai Ben Horin

We present a framework for learning of modeling uncertainties in Linear Time Invariant (LTI) systems. We propose a methodology to extend the dynamics of an LTI (without uncertainty) with an uncertainty model, based on measured data, to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-01 Farhad Ghanipoor , Carlos Murguia , Peyman Mohajerin Esfahani , Nathan van de Wouw

Many real-world applications require machine-learning models to be able to deal with non-stationary data distributions and thus learn autonomously over an extended period of time, often in an online setting. One of the main challenges in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-22 Giuseppe Serra , Ben Werner , Florian Buettner

Accurate forecasting of the grid carbon intensity factor (CIF) is critical for enabling demand-side management and reducing emissions in modern electricity systems. Leveraging multiple interrelated time series, CIF prediction is typically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-13 Bowen Zhang , Hongda Tian , Adam Berry , A. Craig Roussac

In a supervised online setting, quantifying uncertainty has been proposed in the seminal work of \cite{gibbs2021adaptive}. For any given point-prediction algorithm, their method (ACI) produces a conformal prediction set with an average…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-24 Pierre Humbert , Ulysse Gazin , Ruth Heller , Etienne Roquain

Data following an interval structure are increasingly prevalent in many scientific applications. In medicine, clinical events are often monitored between two clinical visits, making the exact time of the event unknown and generating…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-01 Carlos García Meixide , Michael R. Kosorok , Marcos Matabuena

Decision Focused Learning has emerged as a critical paradigm for integrating machine learning with downstream optimisation. Despite its promise, existing methodologies predominantly rely on probabilistic models and focus narrowly on task…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-21 Keivan Shariatmadar , Neil Yorke-Smith , Ahmad Osman , Fabio Cuzzolin , Hans Hallez , David Moens

In mixed autonomous driving environments, accurately predicting the future trajectories of surrounding vehicles is crucial for the safe operation of autonomous vehicles (AVs). In driving scenarios, a vehicle's trajectory is determined by…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-02-28 Haicheng Liao , Chengyue Wang , Kaiqun Zhu , Yilong Ren , Bolin Gao , Shengbo Eben Li , Chengzhong Xu , Zhenning Li

Information theory provides a useful tool to understand the evolution of complex nonlinear systems and their sustainability. In particular, Fisher Information (FI) has been evoked as a useful measure of sustainability and the variability of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-08-18 Avan Al-Saffar , Eun-jin Kim

Endowing nonlinear systems with safe behavior is increasingly important in modern control. This task is particularly challenging for real-life control systems that must operate safely in dynamically changing environments. This paper…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-12-06 Tamas G. Molnar , Adam K. Kiss , Aaron D. Ames , Gábor Orosz

Accurate spectrum demand prediction is crucial for informed spectrum allocation, effective regulatory planning, and fostering sustainable growth in modern wireless communication networks. It supports governmental efforts, particularly those…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-07 Amin Farajzadeh , Hongzhao Zheng , Sarah Dumoulin , Trevor Ha , Halim Yanikomeroglu , Amir Ghasemi

Frontier AI systems perform best in settings with clear, stable, and verifiable objectives, such as code generation, mathematical reasoning, games, and unit-test-driven tasks. They remain less reliable in open-ended settings, including…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-06 Jie Zhou , Qin Chen , Liang He

Accurate and interpretable survival analysis remains a core challenge in oncology. With growing multimodal data and the clinical need for transparent models to support validation and trust, this challenge increases in complexity. We propose…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-09-29 Mafalda Malafaia , Peter A. N. Bosman , Coen Rasch , Tanja Alderliesten

Data-driven sequential decision has found a wide range of applications in modern operations management, such as dynamic pricing, inventory control, and assortment optimization. Most existing research on data-driven sequential decision…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-09-01 Yining Wang , Xi Chen , Xiangyu Chang , Dongdong Ge

Active inference has emerged as an alternative approach to control problems given its intuitive (probabilistic) formalism. However, despite its theoretical utility, computational implementations have largely been restricted to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-01 Aswin Paul , Noor Sajid , Manoj Gopalkrishnan , Adeel Razi

We develop a method to generate prediction sets with a guaranteed coverage rate that is robust to corruptions in the training data, such as missing or noisy variables. Our approach builds on conformal prediction, a powerful framework to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-10 Shai Feldman , Yaniv Romano

The latest Industrial revolution has helped industries in achieving very high rates of productivity and efficiency. It has introduced data aggregation and cyber-physical systems to optimize planning and scheduling. Although, uncertainty in…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2021-01-15 Ashwin Misra , Ankit Mittal , Vihaan Misra , Deepanshu Pandey

In this paper the Distributed Consensus and Synchronization problems with fuzzy-valued initial conditions are introduced, in order to obtain a shared estimation of the state of a system based on partial and distributed observations, in the…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-03-19 Stefano Panzieri , Gabriele Oliva , Roberto Setola

Data assimilation, consisting in the combination of a dynamical model with a set of noisy and incomplete observations in order to infer the state of a system over time, involves uncertainty in most settings. Building upon an existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-02 Anthony Frion , David S Greenberg

Independence screening is a powerful method for variable selection for `Big Data' when the number of variables is massive. Commonly used independence screening methods are based on marginal correlations or variations of it. In many…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-02 Emre Barut , Jianqing Fan , Anneleen Verhasselt
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