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Generating time series data is a promising approach to address data deficiency problems. However, it is also challenging due to the complex temporal properties of time series data, including local correlations as well as global…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-07 Yuansan Liu , Sudanthi Wijewickrema , Ang Li , Christofer Bester , Stephen O'Leary , James Bailey

Time series sequence prediction and modelling has proven to be a challenging endeavor in real world datasets. Two key issues are the multi-dimensionality of data and the interaction of independent dimensions forming a latent output signal,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-09 Jakob Aungiers

Our goal is to estimate causal interactions in multivariate time series. Using vector autoregressive (VAR) models, these can be defined based on non-vanishing coefficients belonging to respective time-lagged instances. As in most cases a…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-08-13 Stefan Haufe , Guido Nolte , Klaus-Robert Mueller , Nicole Kraemer

Time Series forecasting (univariate and multivariate) is a problem of high complexity due the different patterns that have to be detected in the input, ranging from high to low frequencies ones. In this paper we propose a new model for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-07 Matteo Maggiolo , Gerasimos Spanakis

In this study, we present a novel constraint-based algorithm for causal structure learning specifically designed for nonlinear autoregressive time series. Our algorithm significantly reduces computational complexity compared to existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-11 Mohammad Fesanghary , Achintya Gopal

We present a simple yet effective generative model for time series, based on a Recurrent Variational Autoencoder that we refer to as AEQ-RVAE-ST. Recurrent layers often struggle with unstable optimization and poor convergence when modeling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-10 Ruwen Fulek , Markus Lange-Hegermann

Interest in the study and analysis of dynamic processes in the social, behavioral, and health sciences has burgeoned in recent years due to the increased availability of intensive longitudinal data. However, how best to model and account…

Time series synthesis is an effective approach to ensuring the secure circulation of time series data. Existing time series synthesis methods typically perform temporal modeling based on random sequences to generate target sequences, which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-01 Xuan Hou , Shuhan Liu , Zhaohui Peng , Yaohui Chu , Yue Zhang , Yining Wang

Although recent generative models can produce time series with close marginal distributions, they often face a fundamental tension between preserving global temporal structure and modeling stochastic local variations, particularly for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-23 Shaoshuai Du , Joze M. Rozanec , Andy Pimentel , Ana-Lucia Varbanescu

Time series generation (TSG) studies have mainly focused on the use of Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) combined with recurrent neural network (RNN) variants. However, the fundamental limitations and challenges of training GANs still…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-04 Daesoo Lee , Sara Malacarne , Erlend Aune

Time series models aim for accurate predictions of the future given the past, where the forecasts are used for important downstream tasks like business decision making. In practice, deep learning based time series models come in many forms,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-01 Kashif Rasul , Young-Jin Park , Max Nihlén Ramström , Kyung-Min Kim

Modeling multivariate time series as temporal signals over a (possibly dynamic) graph is an effective representational framework that allows for developing models for time series analysis. In fact, discrete sequences of graphs can be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-11 Ivan Marisca , Andrea Cini , Cesare Alippi

We present a novel time series anomaly detection method that achieves excellent detection accuracy while offering a superior level of explainability. Our proposed method, TimeVQVAE-AD, leverages masked generative modeling adapted from the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-01 Daesoo Lee , Sara Malacarne , Erlend Aune

Cross-domain time series forecasting is a valuable task in various web applications. Despite its rapid advancement, achieving effective generalization across heterogeneous time series data remains a significant challenge. Existing methods…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Tingyue Pan , Mingyue Cheng , Shilong Zhang , Zhiding Liu , Xiaoyu Tao , Yucong Luo , Jintao Zhang , Qi Liu

Recent advances in video generation have been dominated by diffusion and flow-matching models, which produce high-quality results but remain computationally intensive and difficult to scale. In this work, we introduce VideoAR, the first…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-01-15 Longbin Ji , Xiaoxiong Liu , Junyuan Shang , Shuohuan Wang , Yu Sun , Hua Wu , Haifeng Wang

Autoregressive visual generation has garnered increasing attention due to its scalability and compatibility with other modalities compared with diffusion models. Most existing methods construct visual sequences as spatial patches for…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-06-13 Yuanhui Huang , Weiliang Chen , Wenzhao Zheng , Yueqi Duan , Jie Zhou , Jiwen Lu

Multivariate network time series are ubiquitous in modern systems, yet existing network autoregressive models typically treat nodes as scalar processes, ignoring cross-variable spillovers. To capture these complex interactions without the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-06 Qi Lyu , Xiaoyu Zhang , Guodong Li , Di Wang

In many scientific problems such as video surveillance, modern genomics, and finance, data are often collected from diverse measurements across time that exhibit time-dependent heterogeneous properties. Thus, it is important to not only…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-10 Lin Qiu , Vernon M. Chinchilli , Lin Lin

Existing methods for multi-modal time series representation learning aim to disentangle the modality-shared and modality-specific latent variables. Although achieving notable performances on downstream tasks, they usually assume an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-28 Ruichu Cai , Zhifang Jiang , Zijian Li , Weilin Chen , Xuexin Chen , Zhifeng Hao , Yifan Shen , Guangyi Chen , Kun Zhang

Time-series data augmentation plays a crucial role in regression-oriented forecasting tasks, where limited data restricts the performance of deep learning models. While Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) have shown promise in synthetic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-01 Ci Lin , Futong Li , Tet Yeap , Iluju Kiringa