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Deep or reinforcement learning (RL) approaches have been adapted as reactive agents to quickly learn and respond with new investment strategies for portfolio management under the highly turbulent financial market environments in recent…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-11 Zhenglong Li , Vincent Tam , Kwan L. Yeung

We consider the problem of robust and adaptive model predictive control (MPC) of a linear system, with unknown parameters that are learned along the way (adaptive), in a critical setting where failures must be prevented (robust). This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-22 Edouard Leurent , Denis Efimov , Odalric-Ambrym Maillard

We propose a learning-based, distributionally robust model predictive control approach towards the design of adaptive cruise control (ACC) systems. We model the preceding vehicle as an autonomous stochastic system, using a hybrid model with…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-05-07 Mathijs Schuurmans , Alexander Katriniok , Hongtei Eric Tseng , Panagiotis Patrinos

In portfolio analysis, the traditional approach of replacing population moments with sample counterparts may lead to suboptimal portfolio choices. I show that optimal portfolio weights can be estimated using a machine learning (ML)…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-07-31 Daniel Kinn

This paper proposes a real-time model predictive control (MPC) scheme to execute multiple tasks using robots over a finite-time horizon. In industrial robotic applications, we must carefully consider multiple constraints for avoiding joint…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-09-27 Jaemin Lee , Mingyo Seo , Andrew Bylard , Robert Sun , Luis Sentis

In this paper, we introduce a large system of interacting financial agents in which each agent is faced with the decision of how to allocate his capital between a risky stock or a risk-less bond. The investment decision of investors,…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-02-21 Torsten Trimborn , Lorenzo Pareschi , Martin Frank

Myopic optimization (MO) outperforms reinforcement learning (RL) in portfolio management: RL yields lower or negative returns, higher variance, larger costs, heavier CVaR, lower profitability, and greater model risk. We model…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-17 Yuming Ma

Stochastic model predictive control has been a successful and robust control framework for many robotics tasks where the system dynamics model is slightly inaccurate or in the presence of environment disturbances. Despite the successes, it…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-04-07 Rel Guzman , Rafael Oliveira , Fabio Ramos

In this paper, we investigate the features and the performance of the Risk Parity (RP) portfolios using the Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD) as a risk measure. The RP model is a recent strategy for asset allocation that aims at equally sharing…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-01-19 Çağın Ararat , Francesco Cesarone , Mustafa Çelebi Pınar , Jacopo Maria Ricci

Deploying controllers trained with Reinforcement Learning (RL) on real robots can be challenging: RL relies on agents' policies being modeled as Markov Decision Processes (MDPs), which assume an inherently discrete passage of time. The use…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-04-03 Dong Wang , Giovanni Beltrame

In this paper we present a model predictive control (MPC) approach to optimize vehicle scheduling and routing in an autonomous mobility-on-demand (AMoD) system. In AMoD systems, robotic, self-driving vehicles transport customers within an…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-08-15 Rick Zhang , Federico Rossi , Marco Pavone

The fields of MPC and RL consider two successful control techniques for Markov decision processes. Both approaches are derived from similar fundamental principles, and both are widely used in practical applications, including robotics,…

We study continuous-time mean--variance portfolio selection in markets where stock prices are diffusion processes driven by observable factors that are also diffusion processes, yet the coefficients of these processes are unknown. Based on…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-31 Yilie Huang , Yanwei Jia , Xun Yu Zhou

We study finite-horizon budget allocation as a closed-loop economic control problem and evaluate receding-horizon Model Predictive Control (MPC) relative to reactive budgeting policies. Budgets are allocated periodically under execution…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-01 Nilavra Pathak , Smriti Shyamal , Prasant Mhasker , Christopher Swartz

Portfolio theory is a very powerful tool in the modern investment theory. It is helpful in estimating risk of an investor's portfolio, which arises from our lack of information, uncertainty and incomplete knowledge of reality, which forbids…

Physics and Society · Physics 2010-04-27 Malgorzata Snarska , Jakub Krzych

This study presents the Adaptive Minimum-Variance Portfolio (AMVP) framework and the Adaptive Minimum-Risk Rate (AMRR) metric, innovative tools designed to optimize portfolios dynamically in volatile and nonstationary financial markets.…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-01-28 Ayush Jha , Abootaleb Shirvani , Ali Jaffri , Svetlozar T. Rachev , Frank J. Fabozzi

Model-based reinforcement learning approaches carry the promise of being data efficient. However, due to challenges in learning dynamics models that sufficiently match the real-world dynamics, they struggle to achieve the same asymptotic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-17 Ignasi Clavera , Jonas Rothfuss , John Schulman , Yasuhiro Fujita , Tamim Asfour , Pieter Abbeel

We consider an optimal investment and risk control problem for an insurer under the mean-variance (MV) criterion. By introducing a deterministic auxiliary process defined forward in time, we formulate an alternative time-consistent problem…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-12 Yang Shen , Bin Zou

Sequential decision making, commonly formalized as Markov Decision Process (MDP) optimization, is a important challenge in artificial intelligence. Two key approaches to this problem are reinforcement learning (RL) and planning. This paper…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-01 Thomas M. Moerland , Joost Broekens , Aske Plaat , Catholijn M. Jonker

Model-predictive-control (MPC) offers an optimal control technique to establish and ensure that the total operation cost of multi-energy systems remains at a minimum while fulfilling all system constraints. However, this method presumes an…