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It is widely accepted that the Bayesian ideal observer (IO) should be used to guide the objective assessment and optimization of medical imaging systems. The IO employs complete task-specific information to compute test statistics for…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-02-03 Weimin Zhou

Our paper deals with inferring simulator-based statistical models given some observed data. A simulator-based model is a parametrized mechanism which specifies how data are generated. It is thus also referred to as generative model. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-01-01 Michael U. Gutmann , Jukka Corander

Bayesian optimal experimental design has immense potential to inform the collection of data so as to subsequently enhance our understanding of a variety of processes. However, a major impediment is the difficulty in evaluating optimal…

Computation · Statistics 2018-03-14 David J. Price , Nigel G. Bean , Joshua V. Ross , Jonathan Tuke

The optimal instant of observation of astrophysical phenomena for objects that vary on human time-sales is an important problem, as it bears on the cost-effective use of usually scarce observational facilities. In this paper we address this…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-02-15 Miguel Videla , Rene A. Mendez , Jorge F. Silva , Marcos E. Orchard

In this paper, we propose an approximate Bayesian computation approach to perform a multiple target tracking within a binary sensor network. The nature of the binary sensors (getting closer - moving away information) do not allow the use of…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-10-17 Adrien Ickowicz

We consider two active binary-classification problems with atypical objectives. In the first, active search, our goal is to actively uncover as many members of a given class as possible. In the second, active surveying, our goal is to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-11-11 Roman Garnett , Yamuna Krishnamurthy , Xuehan Xiong , Jeff Schneider , Richard Mann

State estimation or filtering serves as a fundamental task to enable intelligent decision-making in applications such as autonomous vehicles, robotics, healthcare monitoring, smart grids, intelligent transportation, and predictive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-16 Aamir Hussain Chughtai

A Bayesian network is a widely used probabilistic graphical model with applications in knowledge discovery and prediction. Learning a Bayesian network (BN) from data can be cast as an optimization problem using the well-known…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-09-01 Zhenyu A. Liao , Charupriya Sharma , James Cussens , Peter van Beek

We investigate the performance of the scan (maximum likelihood ratio statistic) and of the average likelihood ratio statistic in the problem of detecting a deterministic signal with unknown spatial extent in the prototypical univariate…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-02-26 Hock Peng Chan , Guenther Walther

A general Bayesian framework for model selection on random network models regarding their features is considered. The goal is to develop a principle Bayesian model selection approach to compare different fittable, not necessarily nested,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-30 Papamichalis Marios

The human visual environment is comprised of different surfaces that are distributed in space. The parts of a scene that are visible at any one time are governed by the occlusion of overlapping objects. In this work we consider "dead…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Swantje Mahncke , Malte Ott

Lobster eye telescopes are ideal monitors to detect X-ray transients, because they could observe celestial objects over a wide field of view in X-ray band. However, images obtained by lobster eye telescopes are modified by their unique…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2023-02-08 Peng Jia , Wenbo Liu , Yuan Liu , Haiwu Pan

Bayesian optimal experimental design is a sub-field of statistics focused on developing methods to make efficient use of experimental resources. Any potential design is evaluated in terms of a utility function, such as the (theoretically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-21 Noble Kennamer , Steven Walton , Alexander Ihler

We present a novel stochastic approach to binary optimization for optimal experimental design (OED) for Bayesian inverse problems governed by mathematical models such as partial differential equations. The OED utility function, namely, the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-06-28 Ahmed Attia , Sven Leyffer , Todd Munson

The optimal selection of experimental conditions is essential to maximizing the value of data for inference and prediction, particularly in situations where experiments are time-consuming and expensive to conduct. We propose a general…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-12-04 Xun Huan , Youssef M. Marzouk

We investigate methods for parameter learning from incomplete data that is not missing at random. Likelihood-based methods then require the optimization of a profile likelihood that takes all possible missingness mechanisms into account.…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-07-02 Manfred Jaeger

Set classification aims to classify a set of observations as a whole, as opposed to classifying individual observations separately. To formally understand the unfamiliar concept of binary set classification, we first investigate the optimal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-29 Zhao Ren , Sungkyu Jung , Xingye Qiao

We implement Bayesian model selection and parameter estimation for the case of fractional Brownian motion with measurement noise and a constant drift. The approach is tested on artificial trajectories and shown to make estimates that match…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-04-05 Jens Krog , Lars H. Jacobsen , Frederik W. Lund , Daniel Wüstner , Michael A. Lomholt

We introduce a novel Bayesian approach for variable selection using Gaussian process regression, which is crucial for enhancing interpretability and model regularization. Our method employs nearest neighbor Gaussian processes, serving as…

Bayesian optimization is a popular formalism for global optimization, but its computational costs limit it to expensive-to-evaluate functions. A competing, computationally more efficient, global optimization framework is optimistic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-05 Julia Grosse , Cheng Zhang , Philipp Hennig