English

Bayesian model selection with fractional Brownian motion

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability 2018-04-05 v1 Statistical Mechanics

Abstract

We implement Bayesian model selection and parameter estimation for the case of fractional Brownian motion with measurement noise and a constant drift. The approach is tested on artificial trajectories and shown to make estimates that match well with the underlying true parameters, while for model selection the approach has a preference for simple models when the trajectories are finite. The approach is applied to observed trajectories of vesicles diffusing in Chinese hamster ovary cells. Here it is supplemented with a goodness-of-fit test, which is able to reveal statistical discrepancies between the observed trajectories and model predictions.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1804.01365,
  title  = {Bayesian model selection with fractional Brownian motion},
  author = {Jens Krog and Lars H. Jacobsen and Frederik W. Lund and Daniel Wüstner and Michael A. Lomholt},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1804.01365},
  year   = {2018}
}

Comments

10 pages, 5 figures

R2 v1 2026-06-23T01:13:38.387Z