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Bayesian modelling of dynamic systems must achieve a compromise between providing a complete mechanistic specification of the process while retaining the flexibility to handle those situations in which data is sparse relative to model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-02 Daniel J. Tait , Bruce J. Worton

Modelling the behaviour of highly nonlinear dynamical systems with robust uncertainty quantification is a challenging task which typically requires approaches specifically designed to address the problem at hand. We introduce a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-01-25 Thomas Baldwin-McDonald , Mauricio A. Álvarez

We introduce Latent Gaussian Process Regression which is a latent variable extension allowing modelling of non-stationary multi-modal processes using GPs. The approach is built on extending the input space of a regression problem with a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-09-19 Erik Bodin , Neill D. F. Campbell , Carl Henrik Ek

We incorporate discrete and continuous time Markov processes as building blocks into probabilistic graphical models with latent and observed variables. We introduce the automatic Backward Filtering Forward Guiding (BFFG) paradigm (Mider et…

Computation · Statistics 2022-11-02 Frank van der Meulen , Moritz Schauer

A complete understanding of physical systems requires models that are accurate and obeys natural conservation laws. Recent trends in representation learning involve learning Lagrangian from data rather than the direct discovery of governing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-10 Tapas Tripura , Souvik Chakraborty

This paper introduces an innovative approach for representing Gaussian fermionic states, pivotal in quantum spin systems and fermionic models, within a range of alternative quantum bases. We focus on transitioning these states from the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-06-24 Babak Tarighi , Reyhaneh Khasseh , M. A. Rajabpour

An old problem in multivariate statistics is that linear Gaussian models are often unidentifiable, i.e. some parameters cannot be uniquely estimated. In factor (component) analysis, an orthogonal rotation of the factors is unidentifiable,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-04 Aapo Hyvärinen , Ilyes Khemakhem , Ricardo Monti

We present a physics-informed Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) model to predict the phase angle, angular speed, and wind mechanical power from a limited number of measurements. In the traditional data-driven GPR method, the form of the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-06-29 Ramakrishna Tipireddy , Alexandre Tartakovsky

This paper proposes a statistical verification framework using Gaussian processes (GPs) for simulation-based verification of stochastic nonlinear systems with parametric uncertainties. Given a small number of stochastic simulations, the…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-10-03 John F. Quindlen , Ufuk Topcu , Girish Chowdhary , Jonathan P. How

We propose a novel method for maximum likelihood-based parameter inference in nonlinear and/or non-Gaussian state space models. The method is an iterative procedure with three steps. At each iteration a particle filter is used to estimate…

Computation · Statistics 2016-03-22 Johan Dahlin , Fredrik Lindsten

Application of multigrid solvers in shifted linear systems is studied. We focus on accelerating the rational approximation needed for simulating single flavor operators. This is particularly useful, in the case of twisted mass fermions for…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2019-02-20 Constantia Alexandrou , Simone Bacchio , Jacob Finkenrath

In this paper is proposed a novel incremental iterative Gauss-Newton-Markov-Kalman filter method for state estimation of dynamic models given noisy measurements. The mathematical formulation of the proposed filter is based on the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-09-17 Bojana Rosic

We propose an iterative method for joint state and parameter estimation using measurements on a time interval [0,T] for systems that are backward output stabilizable. Since this time interval is fixed, errors in initial state may have a big…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-09-23 Atte Aalto

This paper addresses the problem of robust process and sensor fault reconstruction for nonlinear systems. The proposed method augments the system dynamics with an approximated internal linear model of the combined contribution of known…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-04-12 Farhad Ghanipoor , Carlos Murguia , Peyman Mohajerin Esfahani , Nathan van de Wouw

Digital technologies can be used to gather accurate information about the behavior of structural components for improving systems design, as well as for enabling advanced Structural Health Monitoring strategies. New avenues for achieving…

Applications · Statistics 2023-06-29 Silvia Vettori , Emilio Di Lorenzo , Bart Peeters , Eleni Chatzi

Lagrangian averaging is a valuable tool for the analysis and modelling of multiscale processes in fluid dynamics. The numerical computation of Lagrangian (time) averages from simulation data is challenging, however. It can be carried out by…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-12-23 Abhijeet Minz , Lois E. Baker , Hossein A. Kafiabad , Jacques Vanneste

Accurate state estimation for robotic systems evolving on Lie group manifolds, such as legged robots, is a prerequisite for achieving agile control. However, this task is challenged by nonlinear observation models defined on curved…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-04-14 Tianyi Zhang , Wenhan Cao , Chang Liu , Yao Lyu , Shengbo Eben Li

Accurate assessment of systematic uncertainties is an increasingly vital task in physics studies, where large, high-dimensional datasets, like those collected at the Large Hadron Collider, hold the key to new discoveries. Common approaches…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-02 Alexis Romero , Kyle Cranmer , Daniel Whiteson

This work develops a duality theory for partially observed linear Gaussian models in discrete time. The state process evolves according to a causal but non-Markovian (or higher-order Gauss-Markov) structure, captured by a lower-triangular…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-07 Aditya Kudre , Heng-Sheng Chang , Prashant G. Mehta

Novel constructions of empirical controllability and observability gramians for nonlinear systems for subsequent use in a balanced truncation style of model reduction are proposed. The new gramians are based on a generalisation of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Marissa Condon , Rossen I. Ivanov