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Related papers: Crypto Pricing with Hidden Factors

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Blockchain-based cryptocurrencies prioritize transactions based on their fees, creating a unique kind of fee market. Empirically, this market has failed to yield stable equilibria with predictable prices for desired levels of service. We…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2019-01-23 Soumya Basu , David Easley , Maureen O'Hara , Emin Gün Sirer

Recently, cryptocurrencies have attracted a growing interest from investors, practitioners and researchers. Nevertheless, few studies have focused on the predictability of them. In this paper we propose a new and comprehensive study about…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-27 Roy Cerqueti , Massimiliano Giacalone , Raffaele Mattera

This study replicates the findings of Wang et al. (2017) on reference-dependent preferences and their impact on the risk-return trade-off in the Chinese stock market, a unique context characterized by high retail investor participation,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-28 Penggan Xu

Analyzing the effect of business cycle on rating transitions has been a subject of great interest these last fifteen years, particularly due to the increasing pressure coming from regulators for stress testing. In this paper, we consider…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-02 Areski Cousin , Jérôme Lelong , Tom Picard

Financial derivatives are contracts that can have a complex payoff dependent upon underlying benchmark assets. In this work, we present a quantum algorithm for the Monte Carlo pricing of financial derivatives. We show how the relevant…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2018-08-23 Patrick Rebentrost , Brajesh Gupt , Thomas R. Bromley

While attention is a predictor for digital asset prices, and jumps in Bitcoin prices are well-known, we know little about its alternatives. Studying high frequency crypto data gives us the unique possibility to confirm that cross market…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-10-19 Danial Saef , Odett Nagy , Sergej Sizov , Wolfgang Karl Härdle

We show that the higher-order terms and interactions of the common sparse linear factors are significantly priced in the cross-section of equity returns. A higher-order model with only a small number of selected higher-order terms from six…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-25 Nicola Borri , Denis Chetverikov , Yukun Liu , Aleh Tsyvinski

The review introduces the history of cryptocurrencies, offering a description of the blockchain technology behind them. Differences between cryptocurrencies and the exchanges on which they are traded have been shown. The central part…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-10 Marcin Wątorek , Stanisław Drożdż , Jarosław Kwapień , Ludovico Minati , Paweł Oświęcimka , Marek Stanuszek

On a periodic basis, publicly traded companies are required to report fundamentals: financial data such as revenue, operating income, debt, among others. These data points provide some insight into the financial health of a company.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-04-27 John Alberg , Zachary C. Lipton

We propose a portfolio allocation method based on risk factor budgeting using convex Nonnegative Matrix Factorization (NMF). Unlike classical factor analysis, PCA, or ICA, NMF ensures positive factor loadings to obtain interpretable…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-06-13 Bruno Spilak , Wolfgang Karl Härdle

We present an algorithm for the decomposition of periodic financial return data into orthogonal factors of expected return and "systemic", "productive", and "nonproductive" risk. Generally, when the number of funds does not exceed the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-11-19 Vic Norton

This study investigates the impact of data source diversity on the performance of cryptocurrency forecasting models by integrating various data categories, including technical indicators, on-chain metrics, sentiment and interest metrics,…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-16 Giorgos Demosthenous , Chryssis Georgiou , Eliada Polydorou

The rapid growth of the stock market has attracted many investors due to its potential for significant profits. However, predicting stock prices accurately is difficult because financial markets are complex and constantly changing. This is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-17 Abdelatif Hafid , Maad Ebrahim , Ali Alfatemi , Mohamed Rahouti , Diogo Oliveira

At present, cryptocurrencies have become a global phenomenon in financial sectors as it is one of the most traded financial instruments worldwide. Cryptocurrency is not only one of the most complicated and abstruse fields among financial…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-05-20 Reaz Chowdhury , M. Arifur Rahman , M. Sohel Rahman , M. R. C. Mahdy

This article proposes a new method for the estimation of the parameters of a simple linear regression model which accounts for the role of co-moments in non-Gaussian distributions being based on the minimization of a quartic loss function.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-03-18 Giuseppe arbia

Modeling counterparty risk is computationally challenging because it requires the simultaneous evaluation of all the trades with each counterparty under both market and credit risk. We present a multi-Gaussian process regression approach,…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-10-18 Stéphane Crépey , Matthew Dixon

Cryptocurrency markets have many of the characteristics of 20th century commodities markets, making them an attractive candidate for trend following strategies. We present a decade of evidence from the infancy of bitcoin, showcasing the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-09-28 Evans Rozario , Samuel Holt , James West , Shaun Ng

This paper discusses the dynamics of intraday prices of twelve cryptocurrencies during last months' boom and bust. The importance of this study lies on the extended coverage of the cryptoworld, accounting for more than 90\% of the total…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-08-07 Aurelio F. Bariviera , Luciano Zunino , Osvaldo A. Rosso

Predicting corporate default risk has long been a crucial topic in the finance field, as bankruptcies impose enormous costs on market participants as well as the economy as a whole. This paper aims to forecast frailty correlated default…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-22 Ha Nguyen

A cryptocurrency is a digital asset maintained by a decentralised system using cryptography. Investors in this emerging digital market are exploring the profitability potential of portfolios in place of single coins. Portfolios are…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-04-06 Ruixue Jing , Luis Enrique Correa Rocha
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