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The optimization of expensive black-box functions is ubiquitous in science and engineering. A common solution to this problem is Bayesian optimization (BO), which is generally comprised of two components: (i) a surrogate model and (ii) an…

The Bayesian conjugate gradient method offers probabilistic solutions to linear systems but suffers from poor calibration, limiting its utility in uncertainty quantification tasks. Recent approaches leveraging postiterations to construct…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-13 Niall Vyas , Disha Hegde , Jon Cockayne

Bayesian Optimization (BO) is a technique for sample-efficient black-box optimization that employs probabilistic models to identify promising input locations for evaluation. When dealing with composite-structured functions, such as f=g o h,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-11 Natalie Maus , Zhiyuan Jerry Lin , Maximilian Balandat , Eytan Bakshy

Generalized Bayesian Inference (GBI) tempers a loss with a temperature $\beta > 0$ to mitigate overconfidence and improve robustness under model misspecification, but existing GBI methods typically rely on costly MCMC or SDE-based samplers…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-25 Shiyi Sun , Geoff K. Nicholls , Jeong Eun Lee

We present two algorithms for Bayesian optimization in the batch feedback setting, based on Gaussian process upper confidence bound and Thompson sampling approaches, along with frequentist regret guarantees and numerical results.

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-05 Sayak Ray Chowdhury , Aditya Gopalan

The computational efficiency of approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) has been improved by using surrogate models such as Gaussian processes (GP). In one such promising framework the discrepancy between the simulated and observed data is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-08-07 Marko Järvenpää , Aki Vehtari , Pekka Marttinen

Bayesian optimization (BO) has proven to be an effective paradigm for the global optimization of expensive-to-sample systems. One of the main advantages of BO is its use of Gaussian processes (GPs) to characterize model uncertainty which…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-30 Leonardo D. González , Victor M. Zavala

Bayesian optimization (BO) primarily uses Gaussian processes (GP) as the key surrogate model, mostly with a simple stationary and separable kernel function such as the squared-exponential kernel with automatic relevance determination…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-29 Mengying Lei , Lijun Sun

Black-box zero-th order optimization is a central primitive for applications in fields as diverse as finance, physics, and engineering. In a common formulation of this problem, a designer sequentially attempts candidate solutions, receiving…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-08 Yunchuan Zhang , Sangwoo Park , Osvaldo Simeone

Bayesian optimisation (BO) has been a successful approach to optimise functions which are expensive to evaluate and whose observations are noisy. Classical BO algorithms, however, do not account for errors about the location where…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-22 Rafael Oliveira , Lionel Ott , Fabio Ramos

Bayesian Optimization (BO) is a surrogate-assisted global optimization technique that has been successfully applied in various fields, e.g., automated machine learning and design optimization. Built upon a so-called infill-criterion and…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2020-07-03 Elena Raponi , Hao Wang , Mariusz Bujny , Simonetta Boria , Carola Doerr

This work proposes an adaptive sequential Monte Carlo sampling algorithm to solve Bayesian inverse problems in scenarios where likelihood evaluations are costly but can be approximated using a surrogate model built from previous evaluations…

Computation · Statistics 2025-08-26 Frederic Cerou , Patrick Heas , Mathias Rousset

We propose a novel sparse spectrum approximation of Gaussian process (GP) tailored for Bayesian optimization. Whilst the current sparse spectrum methods provide desired approximations for regression problems, it is observed that this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-09 Ang Yang , Cheng Li , Santu Rana , Sunil Gupta , Svetha Venkatesh

A central problem in the theory of empirical Bayes is to control the regret (excess risk) of a learned Bayes rule by the Hellinger distance between the estimated and true marginal densities. In the normal means model, the classical result…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-05 Jiafeng Chen , Yihong Wu

Gaussian processes are the model of choice in Bayesian optimization and active learning. Yet, they are highly dependent on cleverly chosen hyperparameters to reach their full potential, and little effort is devoted to finding good…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-16 Carl Hvarfner , Erik Hellsten , Frank Hutter , Luigi Nardi

Tempering is a popular tool in Bayesian computation, being used to transform a posterior distribution $p_1$ into a reference distribution $p_0$ that is more easily approximated. Several algorithms exist that start by approximating $p_0$ and…

Computation · Statistics 2025-09-16 Mengxin Xi , Zheyang Shen , Marina Riabiz , Nicolas Chopin , Chris J. Oates

Scientists continue to develop increasingly complex mechanistic models to reflect their knowledge more realistically. Statistical inference using these models can be challenging since the corresponding likelihood function is often…

Computation · Statistics 2026-01-07 Joshua J Bon , David J Warne , David J Nott , Christopher Drovandi

Adjustable hyperparameters of machine learning models typically impact various key trade-offs such as accuracy, fairness, robustness, or inference cost. Our goal in this paper is to find a configuration that adheres to user-specified limits…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-05 Bracha Laufer-Goldshtein , Adam Fisch , Regina Barzilay , Tommi Jaakkola

Gaussian process upper confidence bound (GP-UCB) is a theoretically promising approach for black-box optimization; however, the confidence parameter $\beta$ is considerably large in the theorem and chosen heuristically in practice. Then,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-13 Shion Takeno , Yu Inatsu , Masayuki Karasuyama

Controller tuning is crucial for closed-loop performance but often involves manual adjustments. Although Bayesian optimization (BO) has been established as a data-efficient method for automated tuning, applying it to large and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-11-26 Alexander von Rohr , David Stenger , Dominik Scheurenberg , Sebastian Trimpe