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This work presents a probabilistic digital twin framework for response prediction in dynamical systems governed by misspecified physics. The approach integrates Gaussian Process Latent Force Models (GPLFM) and Bayesian Neural Networks…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-01 Sahil Kashyap , Rajdip Nayek

Digital technologies can be used to gather accurate information about the behavior of structural components for improving systems design, as well as for enabling advanced Structural Health Monitoring strategies. New avenues for achieving…

Applications · Statistics 2023-06-29 Silvia Vettori , Emilio Di Lorenzo , Bart Peeters , Eleni Chatzi

The problem of combined state and input estimation of linear structural systems based on measured responses and a priori knowledge of structural model is considered. A novel methodology using Gaussian process latent force models is proposed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-22 Rajdip Nayek , Souvik Chakraborty , Sriram Narasimhan

Enhancing seismic fragility and risk assessment of nuclear power plants relies on accurate prediction of reactor building responses to seismic hazards, which can be further improved through dynamic analysis of high-fidelity finite element…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-27 Taro Yaoyama , Sangwon Lee , Minoru Matsubara , Kenzo Kodera , Takeshi Ugata , Tatsuya Itoi

Bayesian modelling of dynamic systems must achieve a compromise between providing a complete mechanistic specification of the process while retaining the flexibility to handle those situations in which data is sparse relative to model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-02 Daniel J. Tait , Bruce J. Worton

An approach for the identification of discontinuous and nonsmooth nonlinear forces, as those generated by frictional contacts, in mechanical systems that can be approximated by a single-degree-of-freedom model is presented. To handle the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-07-26 Luca Marino , Alice Cicirello

Modelling the behaviour of highly nonlinear dynamical systems with robust uncertainty quantification is a challenging task which typically requires approaches specifically designed to address the problem at hand. We introduce a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-01-25 Thomas Baldwin-McDonald , Mauricio A. Álvarez

Machine learning force fields (MLFFs) are a promising approach to balance the accuracy of quantum mechanics with the efficiency of classical potentials, yet selecting an optimal model amid increasingly diverse architectures that delivers…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-09 Bangchen Yin , Yue Yin , Yuda W. Tang , Hai Xiao

Long-span bridges are subjected to a multitude of dynamic excitations during their lifespan. To account for their effects on the structural system, several load models are used during design to simulate the conditions the structure is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-21 Gledson Rodrigo Tondo , Igor Kavrakov , Guido Morgenthal

Latent force models (LFM) are principled approaches to incorporating solutions to differential equations within non-parametric inference methods. Unfortunately, the development and application of LFMs can be inhibited by their computational…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-05-30 Steven Reece , Stephen Roberts , Siddhartha Ghosh , Alex Rogers , Nicholas Jennings

Latent force models (LFMs) are hybrid models combining mechanistic principles with non-parametric components. In this article, we shall show how LFMs can be equivalently formulated and solved using the state variable approach. We shall also…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-02-20 Jouni Hartikainen , Simo Sarkka

Hierarchical computational methods for multiscale mechanics such as the FE$^2$ and FE-FFT methods are generally accompanied by high computational costs. Data-driven approaches are able to speed the process up significantly by enabling to…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-11-03 Jan Niklas Fuhg , Michele Marino , Nikolaos Bouklas

Ensemble forecast based on physics-informed models is one of the most widely used forecast algorithms for complex turbulent systems. A major difficulty in such a method is the model error that is ubiquitous in practice. Data-driven machine…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-11-24 Nan Chen , Yingda Li

This paper deals with the state estimation of non-linear and non-Gaussian systems with an emphasis on the numerical solution to the Bayesian recursive relations. In particular, this paper builds upon the Lagrangian grid-based filter (GbF)…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-20 Jindřich Duník , Jan Krejčí , Jakub Matoušek , Marek Brandner , Yeongkwon Choe

For real-life nonlinear systems, the exact form of nonlinearity is often not known and the known governing equations are often based on certain assumptions and approximations. Such representation introduced model-form error into the system.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-04-20 Shailesh Garg , Souvik Chakraborty , Budhaditya Hazra

Science-based simulation tools such as Finite Element (FE) models are routinely used in scientific and engineering applications. While their success is strongly dependent on our understanding of underlying governing physical laws, they…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-31 Navid Zobeiry , Anoush Poursartip

In this paper, we propose a model's sparse representation based on reduced mixed generalized multiscale finite element (GMsFE) basis methods for elliptic PDEs with random inputs. Mixed generalized multiscale finite element method (GMsFEM)…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-04-05 Lijian Jiang , Qiuqi Li

When deploying machine learning estimators in science and engineering (SAE) domains, it is critical to avoid failed estimations that can have disastrous consequences, e.g., in aero engine design. This work focuses on detecting and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Ruiyuan Kang , Tingting Mu , Panos Liatsis , Dimitrios C. Kyritsis

Identifying dynamical system (DS) is a vital task in science and engineering. Traditional methods require numerous calls to the DS solver, rendering likelihood-based or least-squares inference frameworks impractical. For efficient parameter…

Computation · Statistics 2024-09-19 Ying Zhou , Jinglai Li , Xiang Zhou , Hongqiao Wang

Concurrent multiscale finite element analysis (FE2) is a powerful approach for high-fidelity modeling of materials for which a suitable macroscopic constitutive model is not available. However, the extreme computational effort associated…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-07-16 I. B. C. M. Rocha , P. Kerfriden , F. P. van der Meer
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