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Friction modeling has always been a challenging problem due to the complexity of real physical systems. Although a few state-of-the-art structured data-driven methods show their efficiency in nonlinear system modeling, deterministic…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-28 Rui Dai , Giulio Evangelisti , Sandra Hirche

Ensemble learning is a mainstay in modern data science practice. Conventional ensemble algorithms assign to base models a set of deterministic, constant model weights that (1) do not fully account for individual models' varying accuracy…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-02 Jeremiah Zhe Liu , John Paisley , Marianthi-Anna Kioumourtzoglou , Brent A. Coull

Generative Bayesian Filtering (GBF) provides a powerful and flexible framework for performing posterior inference in complex nonlinear and non-Gaussian state-space models. Our approach extends Generative Bayesian Computation (GBC) to…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-07 Edoardo Marcelli , Sean O'Hagan , Veronika Rockova

Parametric partial differential equations (PDEs) serve as fundamental mathematical tools for modeling complex physical phenomena, yet repeated high-fidelity numerical simulations across parameter spaces remain computationally prohibitive.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-08 Pucheng Tang , Hongqiao Wang , Wenzhou Lin , Qian Chen , Heng Yong

Accurate and interpretable bearing fault classification is critical for ensuring the reliability of rotating machinery, particularly under variable operating conditions where domain shifts can significantly degrade model performance. This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-12 Tasfiq E. Alam , Md Manjurul Ahsan , Shivakumar Raman

The increasing significance of digital twin technology across engineering and industrial domains, such as aerospace, infrastructure, and automotive, is undeniable. However, the lack of detailed application-specific information poses…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-27 AS Desai , Navaneeth N , S Adhikari , S Chakraborty

Earth observation from satellite sensory data poses challenging problems, where machine learning is currently a key player. In recent years, Gaussian Process (GP) regression has excelled in biophysical parameter estimation tasks from…

Purely data driven approaches for machine learning present difficulties when data is scarce relative to the complexity of the model or when the model is forced to extrapolate. On the other hand, purely mechanistic approaches need to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-16 Mauricio A. Álvarez , David Luengo , Neil D. Lawrence

We present a framework for fine-tuning flow-matching generative models to enforce physical constraints and solve inverse problems in scientific systems. Starting from a model trained on low-fidelity or observational data, we apply a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-28 Jan Tauberschmidt , Sophie Fellenz , Sebastian J. Vollmer , Andrew B. Duncan

Machine learning force fields (MLFFs) have emerged as a sophisticated tool for cost-efficient atomistic simulations approaching DFT accuracy, with recent message passing MLFFs able to cover the entire periodic table. We present an invariant…

Spectral submanifolds (SSMs) have emerged as accurate and predictive model reduction tools for dynamical systems defined either by equations or data sets. While finite-elements (FE) models belong to the equation-based class of problems,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-12-18 Mattia Cenedese , Jacopo Marconi , George Haller , Shobhit Jain

The local geometrical randomness of metal foams brings complexities to the performance prediction of porous structures. Although the relative density is commonly deemed as the key factor, the stochasticity of internal cell sizes and shapes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-04 Da Chen , Nima Emami , Shahed Rezaei , Philipp L. Rosendahl , Bai-Xiang Xu , Jens Schneider , Kang Gao , Jie Yang

State-space models are successfully used in many areas of science, engineering and economics to model time series and dynamical systems. We present a fully Bayesian approach to inference \emph{and learning} (i.e. state estimation and system…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-12-18 Roger Frigola , Fredrik Lindsten , Thomas B. Schön , Carl E. Rasmussen

We introduce a generative learning framework to model high-dimensional parametric systems using gradient guidance and virtual observations. We consider systems described by Partial Differential Equations (PDEs) discretized with structured…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-02 Han Gao , Sebastian Kaltenbach , Petros Koumoutsakos

Predicting the behavior of a dynamical system from noisy observations of its past outputs is a classical problem encountered across engineering and science. For linear systems with Gaussian inputs, the Kalman filter -- the best linear…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Usman Akram , Haris Vikalo

Learning a Gaussian Mixture Model (GMM) is hard when the number of parameters is too large given the amount of available data. As a remedy, we propose restricting the GMM to a Gaussian Markov Random Field Mixture Model (GMRF-MM), as well as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-25 Shahaf E. Finder , Eran Treister , Oren Freifeld

We propose a dynamic factor model (DFM) where the latent factors are linked to observed variables with unknown and potentially nonlinear functions. The key novelty and source of flexibility of our approach is a nonparametric observation…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-09-08 Tony Chernis , Niko Hauzenberger , Haroon Mumtaz , Michael Pfarrhofer

Modeling high-dimensional, nonlinear dynamic structural systems under natural hazards presents formidable computational challenges, especially when simultaneously accounting for uncertainties in external loads and structural parameters.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-13 Haimiti Atila , Seymour M. J. Spence

Neural density estimators have proven remarkably powerful in performing efficient simulation-based Bayesian inference in various research domains. In particular, the BayesFlow framework uses a two-step approach to enable amortized parameter…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-10 Marvin Schmitt , Paul-Christian Bürkner , Ullrich Köthe , Stefan T. Radev

Online joint estimation of unknown parameters and states in a dynamical system with uncertainty quantification is crucial in many applications. For example, digital twins dynamically update their knowledge of model parameters and states to…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-01 Liliang Wang , Alex Gorodetsky