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The mathematical essence in life insurance spins around the search of the nu\-me\-ri\-cal characteristics of the random variables $T_x$, $\nu^{T_x}$, $T_x\nu^{T_x}$, etc., where $\nu$ (deterministic) denotes the discount multiplier and…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-13 Andrius Grigutis , Eglė Matulevičiūtė , Mindaugas Venckevičius

In life insurance, life tables are used to estimate the survival distribution of individuals from a given population. However, these tables only provide survival probabilities at integer ages but no information about the distribution of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-19 Jean-Loup Dupret , Edouard Motte

In this paper, we investigate a complex variation of the standard joint life annuity policy by introducing three distinct contingent benefits for the surviving member(s) of a couple, along with a contingent benefit for their beneficiaries…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-17 Kira Henshaw , Cedric H. A. Koffi , Olivier Menoukeu Pamen , Raghid Zeineddine

In usual demographic analysis, force of mortality is a function of one variable, that is, of age. In this article bi-variate and multivariate force of mortality functions are introduced for the first time to explain mortality differentials.…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-02-26 Swagata Mitra , Pratyush Singh , Arni S. R. Srinivasa Rao

We develop a pricing rule for life insurance under stochastic mortality in an incomplete market by assuming that the insurance company requires compensation for its risk in the form of a pre-specified instantaneous Sharpe ratio. Our…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Virginia R. Young

In this paper, we introduce and examine a fractional linear birth--death process $N_{\nu}(t)$, $t>0$, whose fractionality is obtained by replacing the time derivative with a fractional derivative in the system of difference-differential…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-28 Enzo Orsingher , Federico Polito

We have developed a model for a life insurance policy. In this model the net gain is calculated by computer simulation for a particular type of lifetime distribution function. We observed that the net gain becomes maximum for a particular…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-24 M. Acharyya , A. B. Acharyya

\noindent The modal age at death is an increasingly used measure for understanding longevity and mortality patterns. However, existing estimation methods focus on point estimates, overlooking the inherent variability and uncertainty in…

Applications · Statistics 2025-10-07 Silvio C. Patricio , Paola Vazquez-Castillo

It is known, but perhaps not well-known, that when the mortality is assumed to be of Gompertz-Makeham-type, the expected remaining life-length and the commutation functions used for calculating the expected values of various types of life…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-03-02 Andreas Nordvall Lagerås

In this article, we provide different representations for a time-fractional birth and death process $N_{\alpha}(t)$, whose transition probabilities are governed by a time-fractional system of differential equations. More specifically, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-30 Jorge Littin

Like density functions, period life-table death counts are nonnegative and have a constrained integral, and thus live in a constrained nonlinear space. Implementing established modelling and forecasting methods without obeying these…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-02 Han Lin Shang , Steven Haberman

Gompertz's law tells us that for humans above the age of 35 the death rate increases exponentially with a doubling time of about 10 years. Here, we show that the same law continues to hold even for ages over 100. Beyond 106 there is so far…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-02-17 Peter Richmond , Bertrand M. Roehner

The significance of mortality modeling extends across multiple research areas, ranging from life insurance valuation to optimal lifetime decision-making. Existing approaches, such as mortality laws and factor-based models, often fall short…

Applications · Statistics 2024-10-23 Xiaobai Zhu , Kenneth Q. Zhou , Zijia Wang

This paper is devoted to the study of a fractional version of non-linear $\mathpzc{M}^\nu(t)$, $t>0$, linear $M^\nu (t)$, $t>0$ and sublinear $\mathfrak{M}^\nu (t)$, $t>0$ death processes. Fractionality is introduced by replacing the usual…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-02 Enzo Orsingher , Federico Polito , Ludmila Sakhno

Recent theoretical results establish that time-consistent valuations (i.e. pricing operators) can be created by backward iteration of one-period valuations. In this paper we investigate the continuous-time limits of well-known actuarial…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2011-09-09 Antoon Pelsser

We consider a compositional data analysis approach to forecasting the age distribution of death counts. Using the age-specific period life-table death counts in Australia obtained from the Human Mortality Database, the compositional data…

Applications · Statistics 2020-09-22 Han Lin Shang , Steven Haberman

Estimation of the complete distribution of a random variable is a useful primitive for both manual and automated decision making. This problem has received extensive attention in the i.i.d. setting, but the arbitrary data dependent setting…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-01 Paul Mineiro , Steven R. Howard

This paper develops a continuous-time filtering framework for estimating a hazard rate subject to an unobservable change-point. This framework naturally arises in both financial and insurance applications, where the default intensity of a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-12 Matteo Buttarazzi , Claudia Ceci

In this paper we present a numerical valuation of variable annuities with combined Guaranteed Minimum Withdrawal Benefit (GMWB) and Guaranteed Minimum Death Benefit (GMDB) under optimal policyholder behaviour solved as an optimal stochastic…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-04-10 Xiaolin Luo , Pavel V. Shevchenko

W. D. Hamilton's celebrated formula for the age-specific force of natural selection furnishes predictions for senescent mortality due to mutation accumulation, at the price of reliance on a linear approximation. Applying to Hamilton's…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2008-07-04 Kenneth W. Wachter , Steven N. Evans , David R. Steinsaltz
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