English

On a fractional linear birth--death process

Probability 2013-03-28 v3 Statistics Theory Statistics Theory

Abstract

In this paper, we introduce and examine a fractional linear birth--death process Nν(t)N_{\nu}(t), t>0t>0, whose fractionality is obtained by replacing the time derivative with a fractional derivative in the system of difference-differential equations governing the state probabilities pkν(t)p_k^{\nu}(t), t>0t>0, k0k\geq0. We present a subordination relationship connecting Nν(t)N_{\nu}(t), t>0t>0, with the classical birth--death process N(t)N(t), t>0t>0, by means of the time process T2ν(t)T_{2\nu}(t), t>0t>0, whose distribution is related to a time-fractional diffusion equation. We obtain explicit formulas for the extinction probability p0ν(t)p_0^{\nu}(t) and the state probabilities pkν(t)p_k^{\nu}(t), t>0t>0, k1k\geq1, in the three relevant cases λ>μ\lambda>\mu, λ<μ\lambda<\mu, λ=μ\lambda=\mu (where λ\lambda and μ\mu are, respectively, the birth and death rates) and discuss their behaviour in specific situations. We highlight the connection of the fractional linear birth--death process with the fractional pure birth process. Finally, the mean values ENν(t)\mathbb{E}N_{\nu}(t) and VarNν(t)\operatorname {\mathbb{V}ar}N_{\nu}(t) are derived and analyzed.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1102.1620,
  title  = {On a fractional linear birth--death process},
  author = {Enzo Orsingher and Federico Polito},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1102.1620},
  year   = {2013}
}

Comments

Published in at http://dx.doi.org/10.3150/10-BEJ263 the Bernoulli (http://isi.cbs.nl/bernoulli/) by the International Statistical Institute/Bernoulli Society (http://isi.cbs.nl/BS/bshome.htm)

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