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Conformal prediction for graph neural networks (GNNs) offers a promising framework for quantifying uncertainty, enhancing GNN reliability in high-stakes applications. However, existing methods predominantly focus on static graphs,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-04 Tuo Wang , Jian Kang , Yujun Yan , Adithya Kulkarni , Dawei Zhou

Node centralities play a pivotal role in network science, social network analysis, and recommender systems. In temporal data, static path-based centralities like closeness or betweenness can give misleading results about the true importance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-11 Franziska Heeg , Ingo Scholtes

This study aims to compare multiple deep learning-based forecasters for the task of predicting volatility using multivariate data. The paper evaluates a range of models, starting from simpler and shallower ones and progressing to deeper and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-06-26 Wenbo Ge , Pooia Lalbakhsh , Leigh Isai , Artem Lensky , Hanna Suominen

As a core task in intelligent transportation systems, traffic forecasting plays a critical role in urban traffic management. Accurate traffic forecasting relies on modeling complex spatiotemporal dependencies, which is inherently…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Ruiwen Gu , Yahao Liu , Zhenyu Liu , Qitai Tan , Xiao-Ping Zhang

Accurate forecasting of citywide traffic flow has been playing critical role in a variety of spatial-temporal mining applications, such as intelligent traffic control and public risk assessment. While previous work has made significant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-11 Xiyue Zhang , Chao Huang , Yong Xu , Lianghao Xia , Peng Dai , Liefeng Bo , Junbo Zhang , Yu Zheng

This work evaluates the effectiveness of spatiotemporal Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) for multi-store retail sales forecasting and compares their performance against ARIMA, LSTM, and XGBoost baselines. Using weekly sales data from 45 Walmart…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-25 Manish Singh , Arpita Dayama

In the complex landscape of multivariate time series forecasting, achieving both accuracy and interpretability remains a significant challenge. This paper introduces the Fuzzy Transformer (Fuzzformer), a novel recurrent neural network…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-10-02 Miha Ožbot , Igor Škrjanc , Vitomir Štruc

Cellular traffic prediction is an indispensable part for intelligent telecommunication networks. Nevertheless, due to the frequent user mobility and complex network scheduling mechanisms, cellular traffic often inherits complicated…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2023-03-02 Xing Wang , Kexin Yang , Zhendong Wang , Junlan Feng , Lin Zhu , Juan Zhao , Chao Deng

Unsupervised graph representation learning aims to learn low-dimensional node embeddings without supervision while preserving graph topological structures and node attributive features. Previous graph neural networks (GNN) require a large…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-04 Yanqiao Zhu , Yichen Xu , Feng Yu , Shu Wu , Liang Wang

In recent years, graph neural networks (GNNs) combined with variants of recurrent neural networks (RNNs) have reached state-of-the-art performance in spatiotemporal forecasting tasks. This is particularly the case for traffic forecasting,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-09 Naghmeh Shafiee Roudbari , Zachary Patterson , Ursula Eicker , Charalambos Poullis

Traditional stock market prediction approaches commonly utilize the historical price-related data of the stocks to forecast their future trends. As the Web information grows, recently some works try to explore financial news to improve the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-01-03 Xi Zhang , Yunjia Zhang , Senzhang Wang , Yuntao Yao , Binxing Fang , Philip S. Yu

Transportation remains a major contributor to greenhouse gas emissions, highlighting the urgency of transitioning toward sustainable alternatives such as electric vehicles (EVs). Yet, uneven spatial distribution and irregular utilization of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-10 Jose Tupayachi , Mustafa C. Camur , Kevin Heaslip , Xueping Li

Accurately forecasting dynamic processes on graphs, such as traffic flow or disease spread, remains a challenge. While Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) excel at modeling and forecasting spatio-temporal data, they often lack the ability to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-30 Zakaria Elabid , Lena Sasal , Daniel Busby , Abdenour Hadid

Spatial-temporal graph modeling is an important task to analyze the spatial relations and temporal trends of components in a system. Existing approaches mostly capture the spatial dependency on a fixed graph structure, assuming that the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-04 Zonghan Wu , Shirui Pan , Guodong Long , Jing Jiang , Chengqi Zhang

Heterogeneous data are commonly adopted as the inputs for some models that predict the future trends of some observations. Existing predictive models typically ignore the inconsistencies and imperfections in heterogeneous data while also…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-10 Zhengjing Ma , Gang Mei , Salvatore Cuomo , Francesco Piccialli

Highway traffic modeling and forecasting approaches are critical for intelligent transportation systems. Recently, deep-learning-based traffic forecasting methods have emerged as state of the art for a wide range of traffic forecasting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-21 Tanwi Mallick , Prasanna Balaprakash , Eric Rask , Jane Macfarlane

We introduce U-shaped encoder-decoder graph neural networks (U-GNNs) for stochastic graph signal generation using denoising diffusion processes. The architecture learns node features at different resolutions with skip connections between…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-23 Yigit Berkay Uslu , Samar Hadou , Sergio Rozada , Shirin Saeedi Bidokhti , Alejandro Ribeiro

Traffic forecasting is important in intelligent transportation systems of webs and beneficial to traffic safety, yet is very challenging because of the complex and dynamic spatio-temporal dependencies in real-world traffic systems. Prior…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-07 Yuchen Fang , Yanjun Qin , Haiyong Luo , Fang Zhao , Liang Zeng , Bo Hui , Chenxing Wang

The effectiveness of Spatio-temporal Graph Neural Networks (STGNNs) in time-series applications is often limited by their dependence on fixed, hand-crafted input graph structures. Motivated by insights from the Topological Data Analysis…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-20 Viet The Nguyen , Duy Anh Pham , An Thai Le , Jans Peter , Gunther Gust

Accurately forecasting transportation demand is crucial for efficient urban traffic guidance, control and management. One solution to enhance the level of prediction accuracy is to leverage graph convolutional networks (GCN), a neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-08 Zhengyong Chen , Hongde Wu , Noel E. O'Connor , Mingming Liu