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Multivariate time series (MTS) forecasting is an essential problem in many fields. Accurate forecasting results can effectively help decision-making. To date, many MTS forecasting methods have been proposed and widely applied. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-16 Ziheng Duan , Haoyan Xu , Yida Huang , Jie Feng , Yueyang Wang

Time series forecasting has gained lots of attention recently; this is because many real-world phenomena can be modeled as time series. The massive volume of data and recent advancements in the processing power of the computers enable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-01 Manie Tadayon , Yumi Iwashita

Many real-world ubiquitous applications, such as parking recommendations and air pollution monitoring, benefit significantly from accurate long-term spatio-temporal forecasting (LSTF). LSTF makes use of long-term dependency between spatial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-02 Wei Shao , Zhiling Jin , Shuo Wang , Yufan Kang , Xiao Xiao , Hamid Menouar , Zhaofeng Zhang , Junshan Zhang , Flora Salim

Traffic flow forecasting is a highly challenging task due to the dynamic spatial-temporal road conditions. Graph neural networks (GNN) has been widely applied in this task. However, most of these GNNs ignore the effects of time-varying road…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-13 Zhengdao Li , Wei Li , Kai Hwang

Accurate forecasting of multivariate time series is an extensively studied subject in finance, transportation, and computer science. Fully mining the correlation and causation between the variables in a multivariate time series exhibits…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-25 Weijun Chen , Yanze Wang , Chengshuo Du , Zhenglong Jia , Feng Liu , Ran Chen

Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) have recently become increasingly popular due to their ability to learn complex systems of relations or interactions arising in a broad spectrum of problems ranging from biology and particle physics to social…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-12 Emanuele Rossi , Ben Chamberlain , Fabrizio Frasca , Davide Eynard , Federico Monti , Michael Bronstein

Traffic flow prediction plays a critical role in the intelligent transportation system, and it is also a challenging task because of the underlying complex Spatio-temporal patterns and heterogeneities evolving across time. However, most…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-12-24 Jiyao Wang , Zehua Peng , Yijia Zhang , Dengbo He , Lei Chen

In the realm of applications where data dynamically evolves across spatial and temporal dimensions, Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) are often complemented by sequence modeling architectures, such as RNNs and transformers, to effectively model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-02 Osama Ahmad , Omer Abdul Jalil , Usman Nazir , Murtaza Taj

Traffic forecasting is one canonical example of spatial-temporal learning task in Intelligent Traffic System. Existing approaches capture spatial dependency with a pre-determined matrix in graph convolution neural operators. However, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-08 Chen Weikang , Li Yawen , Xue Zhe , Li Ang , Wu Guobin

The investment on the stock market is prone to be affected by the Internet. For the purpose of improving the prediction accuracy, we propose a multi-task stock prediction model that not only considers the stock correlations but also…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-05-22 Jieyun Huang , Yunjia Zhang , Jialai Zhang , Xi Zhang

Forecasting future events is a fundamental challenge for temporal knowledge graphs (tKG). As in real life predicting a mean function is most of the time not sufficient, but the question remains how confident can we be about our prediction?…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-13 Soeren Nolting , Zhen Han , Volker Tresp

Traffic flow forecasting is of great significance for improving the efficiency of transportation systems and preventing emergencies. Due to the highly non-linearity and intricate evolutionary patterns of short-term and long-term traffic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-01 Xu Chen , Yuanxing Zhang , Lun Du , Zheng Fang , Yi Ren , Kaigui Bian , Kunqing Xie

Recurrent Neural Networks were, until recently, one of the best ways to capture the timely dependencies in sequences. However, with the introduction of the Transformer, it has been proven that an architecture with only attention-mechanisms…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-19 Radostin Cholakov , Todor Kolev

In this paper we seek to demonstrate the predictability of stock market returns and explain the nature of this return predictability. To this end, we introduce investors with different investment horizons into the news-driven, analytic,…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-03-30 Dimitri Kroujiline , Maxim Gusev , Dmitry Ushanov , Sergey V. Sharov , Boris Govorkov

This paper presents performance analysis of hybrid model comprise of concordance and Genetic Programming (GP) to forecast financial market with some existing models. This scheme can be used for in depth analysis of stock market. Different…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-05-16 Mahesh S. Khadka , K. M. George , N. Park , J. B. Kim

Temporal graph neural networks (TGNNs) outperform regular GNNs by incorporating time information into graph-based operations. However, TGNNs adopt specialized models (e.g., TGN, TGAT, and APAN ) and require tailored training frameworks…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-19 Qiang Huang , Xiao Yan , Xin Wang , Susie Xi Rao , Zhichao Han , Fangcheng Fu , Wentao Zhang , Jiawei Jiang

Learning representations for graphs plays a critical role in a wide spectrum of downstream applications. In this paper, we summarize the limitations of the prior works in three folds: representation space, modeling dynamics and modeling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-07 Li Sun , Zhongbao Zhang , Jiawei Zhang , Feiyang Wang , Hao Peng , Sen Su , Philip S. Yu

We propose a unified multi-tasking framework to represent the complex and uncertain causal process of financial market dynamics, and then to predict the movement of any type of index with an application on the monthly direction of the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-04-29 Djoumbissie David Romain

This paper introduces a global stock market volatility forecasting model that enhances forecasting accuracy and practical utility in real-world financial decision-making by integrating dynamic graph structures and encompassing all active…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-17 Zhengyang Chi , Junbin Gao , Chao Wang

Accurate flood forecasting remains a challenge for water-resource management, as it demands modeling of local, time-varying runoff drivers (e.g., rainfall-induced peaks, baseflow trends) and complex spatial interactions across a river…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-03 Aishwarya Sarkar , Autrin Hakimi , Xiaoqiong Chen , Hai Huang , Chaoqun Lu , Ibrahim Demir , Ali Jannesari
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