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Forecasters often use common information and hence make common mistakes. We propose a new approach, Factor Graphical Model (FGM), to forecast combinations that separates idiosyncratic forecast errors from the common errors. FGM exploits the…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-05-19 Tae-Hwy Lee , Ekaterina Seregina

Functional Principal Components Analysis (FPCA) provides a parsimonious, semi-parametric model for multivariate, sparsely-observed functional data. Frequentist FPCA approaches estimate principal components (PCs) from the data, then…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-11 Joseph Sartini , Scott Zeger , Ciprian Crainiceanu

Feature selection (FS) is a process which attempts to select more informative features. In some cases, too many redundant or irrelevant features may overpower main features for classification. Feature selection can remedy this problem and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-06-07 A. Nisthana Parveen , H. Hannah Inbarani , E. N. Sathishkumar

A high-dimensional $r$-factor model for an $n$-dimensional vector time series is characterised by the presence of a large eigengap (increasing with $n$) between the $r$-th and the $(r+1)$-th largest eigenvalues of the covariance matrix.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-09 Matteo Barigozzi , Haeran Cho

In this article, we propose a factor-adjusted multiple testing (FAT) procedure based on factor-adjusted p-values in a linear factor model involving some observable and unobservable factors, for the purpose of selecting skilled funds in…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-04 Wei Lan , Lilun Du

Incorporating covariates into functional principal component analysis (PCA) can substantially improve the representation efficiency of the principal components and predictive performance. However, many existing functional PCA methods do not…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-22 Fei Ding , Shiyuan He , David E. Jones , Jianhua Z. Huang

The fundamental matrix (FM) describes the geometric relations that exist between two images of the same scene. Different error criteria are used for estimating FMs from an input set of correspondences. In this paper, the accuracy and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-06-27 Mohammed E. Fathy , Ashraf S. Hussein , Mohammed F. Tolba

In this paper, we set up the theoretical foundations for a high-dimensional functional factor model approach in the analysis of large cross-sections (panels) of functional time series (FTS). We first establish a representation result…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-14 Shahin Tavakoli , Gilles Nisol , Marc Hallin

In this paper, We propose a new style panel data factor stochastic volatility model with observable factors and unobservable factors based on the multivariate stochastic volatility model, which is mainly composed of three parts, such as the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-09 Guobin Fang , Huimin Ma , Michelle Xia , Bo Zhang

This paper considers fixed effects (FE) estimation for linear panel data models under possible model misspecification when both the number of individuals, $n$, and the number of time periods, $T$, are large. We first clarify the probability…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-03-12 Antonio F. Galvao , Kengo Kato

Auxiliary information is frequently utilized in survey sampling to improve the efficiency of estimators of the finite population mean. However, the simultaneous use of multiple auxiliary variables often induces multicollinearity, which…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-30 Rajesh Singh , Shobh Nath Tiwari

We consider forecasting a single time series when there is a large number of predictors and a possible nonlinear effect. The dimensionality was first reduced via a high-dimensional (approximate) factor model implemented by the principal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-12-29 Jianqing Fan , Lingzhou Xue , Jiawei Yao

Compared with linear time invariant systems, linear periodic system can describe the periodic processes arising from nature and engineering more precisely. However, the time-varying system parameters increase the difficulty of the research…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-03-16 Jiachen Qian , Zhisheng Duan , Peihu Duan , Zhongkui Li

The matrix factor model has drawn growing attention for its advantage in achieving two-directional dimension reduction simultaneously for matrix-structured observations. In this paper, we propose a simple iterative least squares algorithm…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-02 Yong He , Ran Zhao , Wen-Xin Zhou

Nonparametric modeling approaches show very promising results in the area of system identification and control. A naturally provided model confidence is highly relevant for system-theoretical considerations to provide guarantees for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-19 Thomas Beckers , Jonas Umlauft , Sandra Hirche

This paper continues the research devoted to the design of numerically stable square-root implementations for the maximum correntropy criterion Kalman filtering (MCC-KF). In contrast to the previously obtained results, here we reveal the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-07 Maria V. Kulikova

This paper studies the principal component (PC) method-based estimation of weak factor models with sparse loadings. We uncover an intrinsic near-sparsity preservation property for the PC estimators of loadings, which comes from the…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-11-08 Jie Wei , Yonghui Zhang

Software quality assurance activities become increasingly difficult as software systems become more and more complex and continuously grow in size. Moreover, testing becomes even more expensive when dealing with large-scale systems. Thus,…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2023-10-27 Xhulja Shahini , Domenic Bubel , Andreas Metzger

Functional principal component analysis has become the most important dimension reduction technique in functional data analysis. Based on B-spline approximation, functional principal components (FPCs) can be efficiently estimated by the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-10 Shiyuan He , Hanxuan Ye , Kejun He

Large-dimensional factor model has drawn much attention in the big-data era, in order to reduce the dimensionality and extract underlying features using a few latent common factors. Conventional methods for estimating the factor model…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-02 Yong He , Xinbing Kong , Long Yu , Xinsheng Zhang