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Accurately quantifying air-sea fluxes is important for understanding air-sea interactions and improving coupled weather and climate systems. This study introduces a probabilistic framework to represent the highly variable nature of air-sea…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-01-30 Jiarong Wu , Pavel Perezhogin , David John Gagne , Brandon Reichl , Aneesh C. Subramanian , Elizabeth Thompson , Laure Zanna

Information about the waypoints of a moving object, e.g., an airliner in an air traffic control (ATC) problem, should be considered in trajectory modeling and prediction. Due to the ATC regulations, trajectory design criteria, and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-16 Reza Rezaie , X. Rong Li

We demonstrate that embedding physics-driven constraints into machine learning process can dramatically improve accuracy and generalizability of the resulting model. Physics-informed learning is illustrated on the example of analysis of…

Computational Physics · Physics 2021-12-16 Abantika Ghosh , Mohannad Elhamod , Jie Bu , Wei-Cheng Lee , Anuj Karpatne , Viktor A Podolskiy

Trajectory planners of autonomous vehicles usually rely on physical models to predict the vehicle behavior. However, despite their suitability, physical models have some shortcomings. On the one hand, simple models suffer from larger model…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-02-09 Lars Ullrich , Andreas Völz , Knut Graichen

Accurate trajectory prediction has long been a major challenge for autonomous driving (AD). Traditional data-driven models predominantly rely on statistical correlations, often overlooking the causal relationships that govern traffic…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-05-13 Bonan Wang , Haicheng Liao , Chengyue Wang , Bin Rao , Yanchen Guan , Guyang Yu , Jiaxun Zhang , Songning Lai , Chengzhong Xu , Zhenning Li

Past research on pedestrian trajectory forecasting mainly focused on deterministic predictions which provide only point estimates of future states. These future estimates can help an autonomous vehicle plan its trajectory and avoid…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-16 Anshul Nayak , Azim Eskandarian , Zachary Doerzaph

This paper presents a novel approach to pedestrian trajectory prediction for on-board camera systems, which utilizes behavioral features of pedestrians that can be inferred from visual observations. Our proposed method, called…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-10-24 Phillip Czech , Markus Braun , Ulrich Kreßel , Bin Yang

We address the problem of forecasting pedestrian and vehicle trajectories in unknown environments, conditioned on their past motion and scene structure. Trajectory forecasting is a challenging problem due to the large variation in scene…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-04-30 Nachiket Deo , Mohan M. Trivedi

Understanding and modeling snow particle dynamics in the atmosphere remains a significant challenge for atmospheric scientists, hydrologists, and glaciologists. Temporally and spatially varying rates of snow transport, deposition, and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-05-26 Nikolas O. Aksamit , Alex P. Encinas-Bartos , Holt Hancock , Alexander Prokop

Accurately estimating aircraft fuel flow is essential for evaluating new procedures, designing next-generation aircraft, and monitoring the environmental impact of current aviation practices. This paper investigates the generalization…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-25 Gabriel Jarry , Ramon Dalmau , Philippe Very , Junzi Sun

Accurate prediction of atmospheric optical turbulence in localized environments is essential for estimating the performance of free-space optical systems. Macro-meteorological models developed to predict turbulent effects in one environment…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-10-30 Christopher Jellen , Charles Nelson , John Burkhardt , Cody Brownell

Trains are a corner stone of public transport and play an important role in daily life. A challenging task in train operation is to avoid skidding and sliding during fast changes of traction conditions, which can, for example, occur due to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-04-25 Michael Hauck , Patrick Schmidt , Alexander Kobelski , Stefan Streif

Model Predictive Control lacks the ability to escape local minima in nonconvex problems. Furthermore, in fast-changing, uncertain environments, the conventional warmstart, using the optimal trajectory from the last timestep, often falls…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-05 Mohamed-Khalil Bouzidi , Yue Yao , Daniel Goehring , Joerg Reichardt

Many wind speed forecasting approaches have been proposed in literature. In this paper a new statistical approach for jointly predicting wind speed, wind direction and air pressure is introduced. The wind direction and the air pressure are…

Applications · Statistics 2017-07-14 Daniel Ambach , Wolfgang Schmid

Realistic aircraft trajectory models are useful in the design and validation of air traffic management (ATM) systems. Models of aircraft operated under instrument flight rules (IFR) require capturing the variability inherent in how aircraft…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-29 Soyeon Jung , Amelia Hardy , Mykel J. Kochenderfer

Accurate dynamics modeling is essential for quadrotors to achieve precise trajectory tracking in various applications. Traditional physical knowledge-driven modeling methods face substantial limitations in unknown environments characterized…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-07-02 Mengyun Wang , Bo Wang , Yifeng Niu , Chang Wang

We propose a neural network approach to produce probabilistic weather forecasts from a deterministic numerical weather prediction. Our approach is applied to operational surface temperature outputs from the Global Deterministic Prediction…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-04-07 David Landry , Anastase Charantonis , Claire Monteleoni

We present Model Predictive Planning (MPP), a trajectory planner for low-agility vehicles such as a fixed-wing aircraft to navigate obstacle-laden environments. MPP consists of (1) a multi-path planning procedure that identifies candidate…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-17 Matthew T. Wallace , Brett Streetman , Laurent Lessard

This paper studies an adaptive approach for probabilistic wind power forecasting (WPF) including offline and online learning procedures. In the offline learning stage, a base forecast model is trained via inner and outer loop updates of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-08-17 Zichao Meng , Ye Guo , Hongbin Sun

Automated vehicles need to estimate tire-road friction information, as it plays a key role in safe trajectory planning and vehicle dynamics control. Notably, friction is not solely dependent on road surface conditions, but also varies…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-19 Takao Kobayashi , Trey P. Weber , J. Christian Gerdes
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