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Data-driven modeling is useful for reconstructing nonlinear dynamical systems when the underlying process is unknown or too expensive to compute. Having reliable uncertainty assessment of the forecast enables tools to be deployed to predict…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-01 Mengyang Gu , Yizi Lin , Victor Chang Lee , Diana Qiu

Traditionally, weather predictions are performed with the help of large complex models of physics, which utilize different atmospheric conditions over a long period of time. These conditions are often unstable because of perturbations of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-26 A H M Jakaria , Md Mosharaf Hossain , Mohammad Ashiqur Rahman

Stochastic Model Predictive Control has proved to be an efficient method to plan trajectories in uncertain environments, e.g., for autonomous vehicles. Chance constraints ensure that the probability of collision is bounded by a predefined…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-05-17 Tim Brüdigam , Fulvio di Luzio , Lucia Pallottino , Dirk Wollherr , Marion Leibold

Bayesian estimation with an explicit transitional prior is required for a tracking algorithm to be embedded in most multi-target tracking frameworks. This paper describes a novel approach capable of tracking maneuvering spacecraft with an…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-25 Enrico M. Zucchelli , Brandon A. Jones

Aerial Vehicles follow a guided approach based on Latitude, Longitude and Altitude. This information can be used for calculating the status of maneuvering for the aerial vehicles along the line of trajectory. This is a binary classification…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-07-13 Abhishek Gupta , Sarvesh Thustu , Riti Thakor , Saniya Patil , Raunak Joshi , Ronald Melvin Laban

In the context of aircraft system performance assessment, deep learning technologies allow to quickly infer models from experimental measurements, with less detailed system knowledge than usually required by physics-based modeling. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-09 Houssem Ben Braiek , Thomas Reid , Foutse Khomh

Reliable 4D aircraft trajectory prediction, whether in a real-time setting or for analysis of counterfactuals, is important to the efficiency of the aviation system. Toward this end, we first propose a highly generalizable efficient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-01 Yulin Liu , Mark Hansen

Take-off and landing are the periods of a flight where aircraft are most vulnerable to a ground based rocket attack by terrorists. While aircraft approach and depart from airports on pre-defined flight paths, there is a degree of…

Applications · Statistics 2016-03-31 Willem J. Eerland , Simon Box

The ever-growing use of wind energy makes necessary the optimization of turbine operations through pitch angle controllers and their maintenance with early fault detection. It is crucial to have accurate and robust models imitating the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-28 Alfonso Gijón , Ainhoa Pujana-Goitia , Eugenio Perea , Miguel Molina-Solana , Juan Gómez-Romero

Reliable spacecraft attitude control depends on accurate prediction of attitude dynamics, particularly when model-based strategies such as Model Predictive Control (MPC) are employed, where performance is limited by the quality of the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-02-19 Carlo Cena , Mauro Martini , Marcello Chiaberge

Given an increasingly volatile climate, the relationship between weather and transit ridership has drawn increasing interest. However, challenges stemming from spatio-temporal dependency and non-stationarity have not been fully addressed in…

Applications · Statistics 2022-04-22 Francisco Rowe , Michael Mahony , Sui Tao

Data-based discovery of effective, coarse-grained (CG) models of high-dimensional dynamical systems presents a unique challenge in computational physics and particularly in the context of multiscale problems. The present paper offers a…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-08-26 Sebastian Kaltenbach , Phaedon-Stelios Koutsourelakis

Dealing with meteorological uncertainty poses a major challenge in air traffic management (ATM). Convective weather (commonly referred to as storms or thunderstorms) in particular represents a significant safety hazard that is responsible…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-06-08 Daniel Hentzen , Maryam Kamgarpour , Manuel Soler , Daniel González-Arribas

Wind farm needs prediction models for predictive maintenance. There is a need to predict values of non-observable parameters beyond ranges reflected in available data. A prediction model developed for one machine many not perform well in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-12 Yingjun Shen , Zhe Song , Andrew Kusiak

Neglecting complex aerodynamic effects hinders high-speed yet high-precision multirotor autonomy. In this paper, we present a computationally efficient learning-based model predictive controller that simultaneously optimizes a trajectory…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-02-19 Babak Akbari , Melissa Greeff

Autonomous aerial vehicles necessitate control strategies that balance computational efficiency with robust performance in dynamic operational environments. This paper proposes a model predictive control (MPC) framework for aerial platforms…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-25 Tayyab Manzoor , Yasir Ali , Yuanqing Xia , Lijie You , Yan Wang

Trajectory and intention prediction of traffic participants is an important task in automated driving and crucial for safe interaction with the environment. In this paper, we present a new approach to vehicle trajectory prediction based on…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-06-15 Jannik Quehl , Haohao Hu , Sascha Wirges , Martin Lauer

Accurate modeling of aerodynamic loads is essential for understanding and predicting the responses of complex structural systems. However, these models often rely on simplifications of the true physical forces, introducing assumptions that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-22 Gledson Rodrigo Tondo , Igor Kavrakov , Guido Morgenthal

Accurately predicting the dynamics of robotic systems is crucial for model-based control and reinforcement learning. The most common way to estimate dynamics is by fitting a one-step ahead prediction model and using it to recursively…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-02 Nathan O. Lambert , Albert Wilcox , Howard Zhang , Kristofer S. J. Pister , Roberto Calandra

Effective understanding of the environment and accurate trajectory prediction of surrounding dynamic obstacles are critical for intelligent systems such as autonomous vehicles and wheeled mobile robotics navigating in complex scenarios to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-07-30 Jiachen Li , Hengbo Ma , Masayoshi Tomizuka