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Variable importance is defined as a measure of each regressor's contribution to model fit. Using R^2 as the fit criterion in linear models leads to the Shapley value (LMG) and proportionate value (PMVD) as variable importance measures.…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-08 Charles D. Coleman

In this paper we introduce a metric aimed at helping machine learning practitioners quickly summarize and communicate the overall importance of each feature in any black-box machine learning prediction model. Our proposed metric, based on a…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-27 Nickalus Redell

Reliability-oriented sensitivity analysis aims at combining both reliability and sensitivity analyses by quantifying the influence of each input variable of a numerical model on a quantity of interest related to its failure. In particular,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-25 Julien Demange-Chryst , François Bachoc , Jérôme Morio

Shapley values have seen widespread use in machine learning as a way to explain model predictions and estimate the importance of covariates. Accurately explaining models is critical in real-world models to both aid in decision making and to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-19 Daniel de Marchi , Michael Kosorok , Scott de Marchi

We introduce a variable importance measure to quantify the impact of individual input variables to a black box function. Our measure is based on the Shapley value from cooperative game theory. Many measures of variable importance operate by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-05 Masayoshi Mase , Art B. Owen , Benjamin Seiler

There is much interest lately in explainability in statistics and machine learning. One aspect of explainability is to quantify the importance of various features (or covariates). Two popular methods for defining variable importance are…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-13 Isabella Verdinelli , Larry Wasserman

Quantifying the importance of each training point to a learning task is a fundamental problem in machine learning and the estimated importance scores have been leveraged to guide a range of data workflows such as data summarization and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-27 Ruoxi Jia , Fan Wu , Xuehui Sun , Jiacen Xu , David Dao , Bhavya Kailkhura , Ce Zhang , Bo Li , Dawn Song

In the era of "big data", it is becoming more of a challenge to not only build state-of-the-art predictive models, but also gain an understanding of what's really going on in the data. For example, it is often of interest to know which, if…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-15 Brandon M. Greenwell , Bradley C. Boehmke , Andrew J. McCarthy

With now well-recognized non-negligible model selection uncertainty, data analysts should no longer be satisfied with the output of a single final model from a model selection process, regardless of its sophistication. To improve…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-03 Chenglong Ye , Yi Yang , Yuhong Yang

This paper makes the case for using Shapley value to quantify the importance of random input variables to a function. Alternatives based on the ANOVA decomposition can run into conceptual and computational problems when the input variables…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-03-22 Art B. Owen , Clémentine Prieur

Deciding whether a model provides a good description of data is often based on a goodness-of-fit criterion summarized by a p-value. Although there is considerable confusion concerning the meaning of p-values, leading to their misuse, they…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-05-29 Frederik Beaujean , Allen Caldwell , Daniel Kollar , Kevin Kroeninger

Variable importance (VI) methods are often used for hypothesis generation, feature selection, and scientific validation. In the standard VI pipeline, an analyst estimates VI for a single predictive model with only the observed features.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-15 Jon Donnelly , Srikar Katta , Emanuele Borgonovo , Cynthia Rudin

In clinical prediction settings the importance of a high-dimensional feature like genomics is often assessed by evaluating the change in predictive performance when adding it to a set of traditional clinical variables. This approach is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-06 Mark A. van de Wiel , Jeroen Goedhart , Martin Jullum , Kjersti Aas

Variational Inference (VI) is a popular alternative to asymptotically exact sampling in Bayesian inference. Its main workhorse is optimization over a reverse Kullback-Leibler divergence (RKL), which typically underestimates the tail of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-01 Ghassen Jerfel , Serena Wang , Clara Fannjiang , Katherine A. Heller , Yian Ma , Michael I. Jordan

Variable importance is central to scientific studies, including the social sciences and causal inference, healthcare, and other domains. However, current notions of variable importance are often tied to a specific predictive model. This is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-11 Jiayun Dong , Cynthia Rudin

The Shapley value is one of the most widely used measures of feature importance partly as it measures a feature's average effect on a model's prediction. We introduce joint Shapley values, which directly extend Shapley's axioms and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-11 Chris Harris , Richard Pymar , Colin Rowat

Given a model $f$ that predicts a target $y$ from a vector of input features $\pmb{x} = x_1, x_2, \ldots, x_M$, we seek to measure the importance of each feature with respect to the model's ability to make a good prediction. To this end, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-03 Luke Merrick

Importance sampling approximates expectations with respect to a target measure by using samples from a proposal measure. The performance of the method over large classes of test functions depends heavily on the closeness between both…

Computation · Statistics 2016-09-01 Daniel Sanz-Alonso

Variable importance (VI) tools describe how much covariates contribute to a prediction model's accuracy. However, important variables for one well-performing model (for example, a linear model $f(\mathbf{x})=\mathbf{x}^{T}\beta$ with a…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-24 Aaron Fisher , Cynthia Rudin , Francesca Dominici

Variable selection or importance measurement of input variables to a machine learning model has become the focus of much research. It is no longer enough to have a good model, one also must explain its decisions. This is why there are so…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-01 Vincent Lemaire , Fabrice Clérot , Marc Boullé
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