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Parameter estimation and associated uncertainty quantification is an important problem in dynamical systems characterized by ordinary differential equation (ODE) models that are often nonlinear. Typically, such models have analytically…

Computation · Statistics 2024-03-26 Wai Meng Kwok , Sarat Chandra Dass , George Streftaris

A wide body of work has applied the concept of critical slowing down to estimate the stability of different Earth system components. Most of them -- such as global vegetation -- are inherently non-stationary, for example due to strong…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-04-28 Taylor Smith , Andreas Morr , Christof Schötz , Niklas Boers

Pervasive across diverse domains, stochastic systems exhibit fluctuations in processes ranging from molecular dynamics to climate phenomena. The Langevin equation has served as a common mathematical model for studying such systems, enabling…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-05-01 Youngkyoung Bae , Seungwoong Ha , Hawoong Jeong

Latent Diffusion Models (LDMs) are known to have an unstable generation process, where even small perturbations or shifts in the input noise can lead to significantly different outputs. This hinders their applicability in applications…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-09-23 Yifan Zhou , Zeqi Xiao , Shuai Yang , Xingang Pan

A canonical algorithm for log-concave sampling is the Langevin Algorithm, aka the Langevin Diffusion run with some discretization stepsize $\eta > 0$. This discretization leads the Langevin Algorithm to have a stationary distribution…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-22 Jason M. Altschuler , Kunal Talwar

We propose a new Stein self-repulsive dynamics for obtaining diversified samples from intractable un-normalized distributions. Our idea is to introduce Stein variational gradient as a repulsive force to push the samples of Langevin dynamics…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-16 Mao Ye , Tongzheng Ren , Qiang Liu

Autonomous Vehicles (AVs) are often tested in simulation to estimate the probability they will violate safety specifications. Two common issues arise when using existing techniques to produce this estimation: If violations occur rarely,…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-07-25 Craig Innes , Subramanian Ramamoorthy

Early detection of anomalies in medical images such as brain MRI is highly relevant for diagnosis and treatment of many conditions. Supervised machine learning methods are limited to a small number of pathologies where there is good…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-12-05 Alexander Frotscher , Jaivardhan Kapoor , Thomas Wolfers , Christian F. Baumgartner

We develop an instanton approach to the non-equilibrium dynamics in one-dimensional random environments. The long time behavior is controlled by rare fluctuations of the disorder potential and, accordingly, by the tail of the distribution…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-10-31 A. V. Lopatin , V. M. Vinokur

We consider numerical methods for thermodynamic sampling, i.e. computing sequences of points distributed according to the Gibbs-Boltzmann distribution, using Langevin dynamics and overdamped Langevin dynamics (Brownian dynamics). A wide…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-01-13 Benedict Leimkuhler , Charles Matthews , Gabriel Stoltz

Black-box variational inference (BBVI) with Gaussian mixture families offers a flexible approach for approximating complex posterior distributions without requiring gradients of the target density. However, standard numerical optimization…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-29 Baojun Che , Yifan Chen , Daniel Zhengyu Huang , Xinying Mao , Weijie Wang

Adaptive or dynamic signal sampling in sensing systems can adapt subsequent sampling strategies based on acquired signals, thereby potentially improving image quality and speed. This paper proposes a Bayesian method for adaptive sampling…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-02-28 Guanhua Wang , Douglas C. Noll , Jeffrey A. Fessler

This paper aims to address the unsupervised video anomaly detection (VAD) problem, which involves classifying each frame in a video as normal or abnormal, without any access to labels. To accomplish this, the proposed method employs…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-07-20 Anil Osman Tur , Nicola Dall'Asen , Cigdem Beyan , Elisa Ricci

The sparse identification of nonlinear dynamics (SINDy) has been established as an effective method to learn interpretable models of dynamical systems from data. However, for high-dimensional slow-fast dynamical systems, the regression…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-07-02 Diemen Delgado-Cano , Erick Kracht , Urban Fasel , Benjamin Herrmann

In Part I (arXiv:1911.00619) of this article, we proposed an importance sampling algorithm to compute rare-event probabilities in forward uncertainty quantification problems. The algorithm, which we termed the "Bayesian Inverse Monte Carlo…

Computation · Statistics 2019-11-06 Siddhant Wahal , George Biros

Automatic Differentiation Variational Inference (ADVI) is a useful tool for efficiently learning probabilistic models in machine learning. Generally approximate posteriors learned by ADVI are forced to be unimodal in order to facilitate use…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-25 Warren R. Morningstar , Sharad M. Vikram , Cusuh Ham , Andrew Gallagher , Joshua V. Dillon

Inverse problems constrained by partial differential equations are often ill-conditioned due to noisy and incomplete data or inherent non-uniqueness. A prominent example is full waveform inversion, which estimates Earth's subsurface…

Geophysics · Physics 2026-03-03 Ali Siahkoohi , Kamal Aghazade , Ali Gholami

We consider the problem of approximating the Langevin dynamics of inertial particles being transported by a background flow. In particular, we study an acceleration corrected advection-diffusion approximation to the Langevin dynamics, a…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-24 Yoichiro Mori , Chanoknun Sintavanuruk , Truong-Son P. Van

We present an iterative framework to improve the amortized approximations of posterior distributions in the context of Bayesian inverse problems, which is inspired by loop-unrolled gradient descent methods and is theoretically grounded in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-16 Rafael Orozco , Ali Siahkoohi , Mathias Louboutin , Felix J. Herrmann

Learning dynamics from dissipative chaotic systems is notoriously difficult due to their inherent instability, as formalized by their positive Lyapunov exponents, which exponentially amplify errors in the learned dynamics. However, many of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-07 Yair Schiff , Zhong Yi Wan , Jeffrey B. Parker , Stephan Hoyer , Volodymyr Kuleshov , Fei Sha , Leonardo Zepeda-Núñez