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Generalized (non-Markovian) diffusion equations with different memory kernels and subordination schemes based on random time change in the Brownian diffusion process are popular mathematical tools for description of a variety of non-Fickian…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-03-24 A. Chechkin , I. M. Sokolov

Using a probabilistic approach, we derive some interesting combinatorial identities involving gamma and beta functions. These results generalize certain well-known combinatorial identities involving binomial coefficients and special…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-15 Palaniappan Vellaisamy , Puja Pandey

In this paper, we introduce a generalized fractional negative binomial process (GFNBP) by time changing the fractional Poisson process with an independent Mittag-Leffler (ML) Levy subordinator. We study its distributional properties and its…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-21 Ritik Soni , Ashok Kumar Pathak

This article presents a new continuous-time modelling framework for multivariate time series of counts which have an infinitely divisible marginal distribution. The model is based on a mixed moving average process driven by L\'{e}vy noise -…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-11 Almut E. D. Veraart

We extend classic characterisations of posterior distributions under Dirichlet process and gamma random measures priors to a dynamic framework. We consider the problem of learning, from indirect observations, two families of time-dependent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-23 Omiros Papaspiliopoulos , Matteo Ruggiero , Dario Spanò

In this work we consider time series with a finite number of discrete point changes. We assume that the data in each segment follows a different probability density functions (pdf). We focus on the case where the data in all segments are…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Ali Mohammad-Djafari , Olivier Feron

We consider a generalization of the variance-gamma (generalized asymmetric Laplace) distribution, defined as a normal mean - variance mixture with a gamma mixing distribution. While this model is typically studied in the univariate setting,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-04 Tomasz J. Kozubowski , Andrey Sarantsev , James A. Spiker

Time-changed stochastic processes have attracted great attention and wide interests due to their extensive applications, especially in financial time series, biology and physics. This paper pays attention to a special stochastic process,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-11-13 Yao Chen , Xudong Wang , Weihua Deng

We introduce a new dynamical system for sequentially observed multivariate count data. This model is based on the gamma--Poisson construction---a natural choice for count data---and relies on a novel Bayesian nonparametric prior that ties…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-01-23 Aaron Schein , Mingyuan Zhou , Hanna Wallach

The study of distributed order calculus usually concerns about fractional derivatives of the form $\int_0^1 \partial^\alpha u \, m(d\alpha)$ for some measure $m$, eventually a probability measure. In this paper an approach based on L\'evy…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-20 Bruno Toaldo

In this paper, we develop a method to model and estimate several, _dependent_ count processes, using granular data. Specifically, we develop a multivariate Cox process with shot noise intensities to jointly model the arrival process of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-19 Benjamin Avanzi , Gregory Clive Taylor , Bernard Wong , Xinda Yang

While there is an increasing amount of literature about Bayesian time series analysis, only a few Bayesian nonparametric approaches to multivariate time series exist. Most methods rely on Whittle's Likelihood, involving the second order…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-11-27 Alexander Meier , Claudia Kirch , Renate Meyer

There exist only a few known examples of subordinators for which the transition probability density can be computed explicitly along side an expression for its L\'evy measure and Laplace exponent. Such examples are useful in several areas…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-25 James Burridge , Mateusz Kwaśnicki , Alexey Kuznetsov , Andreas Kyprianou

Numerous studies grounded on Hawkes processes have been carried out in many fields including finance, biology and social network. Hawkes processes form a class of selfexciting simple point processes. In this article, we consider a general…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-22 Bartholomé Vieille , Rachid Senoussi , Samuel Soubeyrand

We review autoregressive models for the analysis of multivariate count time series. In doing so, we discuss the choice of a suitable distribution for a vectors of count random variables. This review focus on three main approaches taken for…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-21 Konstantinos Fokianos

In this paper, we study a generalized version of the Poisson-type process by time-changing it with the geometric counting process. Our work generalizes the work done by Meoli (2023) \cite{meoli2023some}. We defined the geometric…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-27 Neha Gupta , Aditya Maheshwari , Dheeraj Goyal

A new discrete-time shot noise Cox process for spatiotemporal data is proposed. The random intensity is driven by a dependent sequence of latent gamma random measures. Some properties of the latent process are derived, such as an…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-17 Federico Bassetti , Roberto Casarin , Matteo Iacopini

The first passage time process of a L\'evy subordinator with heavy-tailed L\'evy measure has long-range dependent paths. The random fluctuations that appear under two natural schemes of summation and time scaling of such stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-04-02 Ingemar Kaj , Anders Martin-Löf

Using the concept of self-decomposable subordinators introduced in Gardini et al. [11], we build a new bivariate Normal Inverse Gaussian process that can capture stochastic delays. In addition, we also develop a novel path simulation scheme…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-11-10 Matteo Gardini , Piergiacomo Sabino , Emanuela Sasso

We derive a Dickman approximation for the small jumps of a large class of multivariate L\'evy processes. We then apply this approximation to develop a simulation method for the class of general multivariate gamma distributions (GMGD). A…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-19 Michael Grabchak , Xingnan Zhang