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Mistakes/uncertainties in object detection could lead to catastrophes when deploying robots in the real world. In this paper, we measure the uncertainties of object localization to minimize this kind of risk. Uncertainties emerge upon…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-07-03 Yihui He , Jianren Wang

Bayesian inference provides principled uncertainty quantification, but accurate posterior sampling with MCMC can be computationally prohibitive for modern applications. Variational inference (VI) offers a scalable alternative and often…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-14 Laura Battaglia , Stefano Cortinovis , Chris Holmes , David T. Frazier , Jack Jewson

We propose a closed-form (i.e. without expansion in the orbital eccentricities) scheme for computations in perturbation theory in the restricted three-body problem (R3BP) when the massless particle is in an orbit exterior to the one of the…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2023-07-26 Mattia Rossi , Christos Efthymiopoulos

Conformal prediction is an emerging technique for uncertainty quantification that constructs prediction sets guaranteed to contain the true label with a predefined probability. Recent work develops online conformal prediction methods that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-17 Huajun Xi , Kangdao Liu , Hao Zeng , Wenguang Sun , Hongxin Wei

Performing exact posterior inference in complex generative models is often difficult or impossible due to an expensive to evaluate or intractable likelihood function. Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) is an inference framework that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-02-16 Jovana Mitrovic , Dino Sejdinovic , Yee Whye Teh

Screening for ultrahigh dimensional features may encounter complicated issues such as outlying observations, heteroscedasticity or heavy-tailed distribution, multi-collinearity and confounding effects. Standard correlation-based marginal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-27 Xiaochao Xia , Jialiang Li

We study the generalized multidimensional bin packing problem (GVBP) that generalizes both geometric packing and vector packing. Here, we are given $n$ rectangular items where the $i^{\textrm{th}}$ item has width $w(i)$, height $h(i)$, and…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2021-06-29 Arindam Khan , Eklavya Sharma , K. V. N. Sreenivas

Prediction sets can wrap around any ML model to cover unknown test outcomes with a guaranteed probability. Yet, it remains unclear how to use them optimally for downstream decision-making. Here, we propose a decision-theoretic framework…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-10 Tao Wang , Edgar Dobriban

One of the commonly used chemical-inspired approaches in variational quantum computing is the unitary coupled-cluster (UCC) ansatze. Despite being a systematic way of approaching the exact limit, the number of parameters in the standard UCC…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-06-06 Shashank G Mehendale , Bo Peng , Niranjan Govind , Yuri Alexeev

The range closest-pair (RCP) problem is the range-search version of the classical closest-pair problem, which aims to store a given dataset of points in some data structure such that when a query range $X$ is specified, the closest pair of…

Computational Geometry · Computer Science 2018-07-27 Jie Xue

We study principal components regression (PCR) in an asymptotic high-dimensional regression setting, where the number of data points is proportional to the dimension. We derive exact limiting formulas for the estimation and prediction…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-18 Alden Green , Elad Romanov

In order to explore the effects of high levels of electron correlation on the real-time coupled cluster formalism and algorithmic behavior, we introduce a time-dependent implementation of the CC3 singles, doubles and approximate triples…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2025-01-23 Zhe Wang , Håkon Emil Kristiansen , Thomas Bondo Pedersen , T. Daniel Crawford

We derive numerical tight-binding hopping parameters to describe conduction-band dispersion in arbitrary orientational phases of $A_3$C$_{60}$. The parameters are obtained by direct Fourier inversion of the spectra from self-consistent…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-22 S. C. Erwin , E. J. Mele

We propose a new technique, called wild binary segmentation (WBS), for consistent estimation of the number and locations of multiple change-points in data. We assume that the number of change-points can increase to infinity with the sample…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-11-05 Piotr Fryzlewicz

In this paper, we present a robust adaptive model predictive control (MPC) scheme for linear systems subject to parametric uncertainty and additive disturbances. The proposed approach provides a computationally efficient formulation with…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-03-12 Johannes Köhler , Elisa Andina , Raffaele Soloperto , Matthias A. Müller , Frank Allgöwer

In this paper, we propose a regular vine copula based methodology for the fusion of correlated decisions. Regular vine copula is an extremely flexible and powerful graphical model to characterize complex dependence among multiple…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-03-27 Shan Zhang , Lakshmi Narasimhan Theagarajan , Sora Choi , Pramod K. Varshney

In this paper, we develop a theoretical framework for bounding the CVaR of a random variable $X$ using another related random variable $Y$, under assumptions on their cumulative and density functions. Our results yield practical tools for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-31 Yaacov Pariente , Vadim Indelman

For the binary discs packed in two dimensions, the packing fraction of disc assembly becomes lower than that of the monodisperse system when the size ratio is close to unity. We show that the suppressed packing fraction is caused by an…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-10-24 Takashi Odagaki , Tsuyoshi Okubo , Ryusei Ogata , Keiji Okazaki

A simple dynamical model, Biased Random Organization, BRO, appears to produce configurations known as Random Close Packing (RCP) as BRO's densest critical point in dimension $d=3$. We conjecture that BRO likewise produces RCP in any…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-10-17 Sam Wilken , Ashley Z. Guo , Dov Levine , Paul M. Chaikin

Conformal prediction is a distribution-free technique for establishing valid prediction intervals. Although conventionally people conduct conformal prediction in the output space, this is not the only possibility. In this paper, we propose…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-11 Jiaye Teng , Chuan Wen , Dinghuai Zhang , Yoshua Bengio , Yang Gao , Yang Yuan
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