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Machine learning models have traditionally been developed under the assumption that the training and test distributions match exactly. However, recent success in few-shot learning and related problems are encouraging signs that these models…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-15 James Lucas , Mengye Ren , Irene Kameni , Toniann Pitassi , Richard Zemel

For linear systems, many data-driven control methods rely on the behavioral framework, using historical data of the system to predict the future trajectories. However, measurement noise introduces errors in predictions. When the noise is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-08-29 Baiwei Guo , Yuning Jiang , Colin N. Jones , Giancarlo Ferrari-Trecate

Recently, there as been an increasing interest in the use of heavily restricted randomization designs which enforces balance on observed covariates in randomized controlled trials. However, when restrictions are strict, there is a risk that…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-15 Mattias Nordin , Mårten Schultzberg

In the one-parameter regression model with AR(1) and AR(2) errors we find explicit expressions and a continuous approximation of the optimal discrete design for the signed least square estimator. The results are used to derive the optimal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-12 Holger Dette , Andrey Pepelyshev , Anatoly Zhigljavsky

The subspace method is one of the mainstream system identification method of linear systems, and its basic idea is to estimate the system parameter matrices by projecting them into a subspace related to input and output. However, most of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-02-03 Xiangyu Mao , Jianping He , Chengcheng Zhao

In linear regression we wish to estimate the optimum linear least squares predictor for a distribution over $d$-dimensional input points and real-valued responses, based on a small sample. Under standard random design analysis, where the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-08 Michał Dereziński , Manfred K. Warmuth , Daniel Hsu

In practice, there are often explicit constraints on what representations or decisions are acceptable in an application of machine learning. For example it may be a legal requirement that a decision must not favour a particular group.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-03-09 Harrison Edwards , Amos Storkey

For experiments running in field plots or over time, the observations are often correlated due to spatial or serial correlation, which leads to correlated errors in a linear model analyzing the treatment means. Without knowing the exact…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-30 Rena K. Mann , Roderick Edwards , Julie Zhou

While the Bayesian decision-theoretic framework offers an elegant solution to the problem of decision making under uncertainty, one question is how to appropriately select the prior distribution. One idea is to employ a worst-case prior.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-22 Thomas Kleine Buening , Christos Dimitrakakis , Hannes Eriksson , Divya Grover , Emilio Jorge

We study optimal estimation when the likelihood may be misspecified. Building on tools from the theory of decision-making under uncertainty, we analyze a class of axiomatically grounded optimality criteria which nests several existing…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-28 Isaiah Andrews , Ricky Li , Yucheng Shang

Consider the problem of estimating the mean of a Gaussian random vector when the mean vector is assumed to be in a given convex set. The most natural solution is to take the Euclidean projection of the data vector on to this convex set; in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-11-21 Sourav Chatterjee

We address the brittleness of Bayesian experimental design under model misspecification by formulating the problem as a max--min game between the experimenter and an adversarial nature subject to information-theoretic constraints. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-13 Hany Abdulsamad , Sahel Iqbal , Christian A. Naesseth , Takuo Matsubara , Adrien Corenflos

This paper considers the construction of minimum aberration (MA) blocked factorial designs. Based on coding theory, the concept of minimum moment aberration due to Xu [Statist. Sinica 13 (2003) 691--708] for unblocked designs is extended to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Hongquan Xu

The minimax theory for estimating linear functionals is extended to the case of a finite union of convex parameter spaces. Upper and lower bounds for the minimax risk can still be described in terms of a modulus of continuity. However in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 T. Tony Cai , Mark G. Low

The determination of an optimal design for a given regression problem is an intricate optimization problem, especially for models with multivariate predictors. Design admissibility and invariance are main tools to reduce the complexity of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-24 Holger Dette , Xin Liu , Rong-Xian Yue

In spite of the wealth of literature on the theoretical properties of the Lasso, there is very little known when the value of the tuning parameter is chosen using the data, even though this is what actually happens in practice. We give a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-09-02 Sourav Chatterjee , Jafar Jafarov

Learning meaningful representations that maintain the content necessary for a particular task while filtering away detrimental variations is a problem of great interest in machine learning. In this paper, we tackle the problem of learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-01-30 Qizhe Xie , Zihang Dai , Yulun Du , Eduard Hovy , Graham Neubig

In this paper, we study a new notion of scaled minimaxity for sparse estimation in high-dimensional linear regression model. We present more optimistic lower bounds than the one given by the classical minimax theory and hence improve on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-15 Mohamed Ndaoud

We study distributed estimation of a Gaussian mean under communication constraints in a decision theoretical framework. Minimax rates of convergence, which characterize the tradeoff between the communication costs and statistical accuracy,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-11 T. Tony Cai , Hongji Wei

Bayesian analyses combine information represented by different terms in a joint Bayesian model. When one or more of the terms is misspecified, it can be helpful to restrict the use of information from suspect model components to modify…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-27 Xuejun Yu , David J. Nott , Michael Stanley Smith