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The quality of data representation in deep learning methods is directly related to the prior model imposed on the representations; however, generally used fixed priors are not capable of adjusting to the context in the data. To address this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-03-18 Rakesh Chalasani , Jose C. Principe

We study adaptive pooling under predictive heterogeneity in high-dimensional multivariate time series forecasting, where global models improve statistical efficiency but may fail to capture heterogeneous predictive structure, while naive…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-16 Ziling Ma , Ángel López Oriona , Hernando Ombao , Ying Sun

Accurate traffic flow forecasting is essential for the development of intelligent transportation systems (ITS), supporting tasks such as traffic signal optimization, congestion management, and route planning. Traditional models often fail…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2025-11-03 Zhuo Zheng , Lingran Meng , Ziyu Lin

Accurate forecasting of three-dimensional (3D) cloud fields is important for atmospheric analysis and short-range numerical weather prediction, yet it remains challenging because cloud evolution involves cross-layer interactions, nonlocal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-01 Fu Wang , Qifeng Lu , Xinyu Long , Meng Zhang , Xiaofei Yang , Weijia Cao , Xiaowen Chu

Unsupervised fault detection in multivariate time series plays a vital role in ensuring the stable operation of complex systems. Traditional methods often assume that normal data follow a single Gaussian distribution and identify anomalies…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-01 Hong Liu , Xiuxiu Qiu , Yiming Shi , Miao Xu , Zelin Zang , Zhen Lei

The recent increase in data availability and reliability has led to a surge in the development of learning-based model predictive control (MPC) frameworks for robot systems. Despite attaining substantial performance improvements over their…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-08-02 Kong Yao Chee , Thales C. Silva , M. Ani Hsieh , George J. Pappas

The rapid expansion of cloud services and their unpredictable workload demands present significant challenges in resource management. Traditional resource management approaches, primarily based on static rules and thresholds, often fail to…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2024-07-30 Boyang Yan

This study proposes an unsupervised anomaly detection method for distributed backend service systems, addressing practical challenges such as complex structural dependencies, diverse behavioral evolution, and the absence of labeled data.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-14 Yun Zi , Ming Gong , Zhihao Xue , Yujun Zou , Nia Qi , Yingnan Deng

Although pre-trained transformers and reprogrammed text-based LLMs have shown strong performance on time series tasks, the best-performing architectures vary widely across tasks, with most models narrowly focused on specific areas, such as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-27 Shanghua Gao , Teddy Koker , Owen Queen , Thomas Hartvigsen , Theodoros Tsiligkaridis , Marinka Zitnik

Randomly masking and predicting word tokens has been a successful approach in pre-training language models for a variety of downstream tasks. In this work, we observe that the same idea also applies naturally to sequential decision-making,…

Many organizations routinely analyze large datasets using systems for distributed data-parallel processing and clusters of commodity resources. Yet, users need to configure adequate resources for their data processing jobs. This requires…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2022-06-02 Lauritz Thamsen , Dominik Scheinert , Jonathan Will , Jonathan Bader , Odej Kao

Although deep learning-based methods have shown great success in spatiotemporal predictive learning, the framework of those models is designed mainly by intuition. How to make spatiotemporal forecasting with theoretical guarantees is still…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-26 Tongyi Liang , Han-Xiong Li

Current deep learning models for dynamics forecasting struggle with generalization. They can only forecast in a specific domain and fail when applied to systems with different parameters, external forces, or boundary conditions. We propose…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-13 Rui Wang , Robin Walters , Rose Yu

Recent innovations in diffusion probabilistic models have paved the way for significant progress in image, text and audio generation, leading to their applications in generative time series forecasting. However, leveraging such abilities to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-07 Yuansan Liu , Sudanthi Wijewickrema , Dongting Hu , Christofer Bester , Stephen O'Leary , James Bailey

Local climate information is crucial for impact assessment and decision-making, yet coarse global climate simulations cannot capture small-scale phenomena. Current statistical downscaling methods infer these phenomena as temporally…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-24 Jonathan Schmidt , Luca Schmidt , Felix Strnad , Nicole Ludwig , Philipp Hennig

The nonlinear nature of chaotic systems results in extreme sensitivity to initial conditions and highly intricate dynamical behaviors, posing fundamental challenges for accurately predicting their evolution. To overcome the limitation that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-18 Junwen Ma , Mingyu Ge , Yisen Wang , Yong Zhang , Weicheng Fu

Self-supervised representation learning, particularly through contrastive methods like TS2Vec, has advanced the analysis of time series data. However, these models often falter in forecasting tasks because their objective functions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-01 Ganeshan Niroshan , Uthayasanker Thayasivam

Multi-task learning (MTL) has become an essential machine learning tool for addressing multiple learning tasks simultaneously and has been effectively applied across fields such as healthcare, marketing, and biomedical research. However, to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-02 Yang Sui , Qi Xu , Yang Bai , Annie Qu

Probabilistic forecasting provides a principled framework for uncertainty quantification in dynamical systems by representing predictions as probability distributions rather than deterministic trajectories. However, existing forecasting…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-27 Tianlin Yang , Hailiang Du , Louis Aslett

Accurate quantification of uncertainty in neural network predictions remains a central challenge for scientific applications involving high-dimensional, correlated data. While existing methods capture either aleatoric or epistemic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-26 Harrison J. Goldwyn , Mitchell Krock , Johann Rudi , Daniel Getter , Julie Bessac