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We present a method to find the maximum magnitude of any supply-shortfall service that an aggregator of energy storage devices is able to sell to a grid operator. This is first demonstrated in deterministic settings, then applied to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-05-12 Michael P. Evans , Simon H. Tindemans , David Angeli , Goran Strbac

We consider continuous-time stochastic optimal control problems featuring Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) in the objective. The major difficulty in these problems arises from time-inconsistency, which prevents us from directly using…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-05-27 Christopher W. Miller , Insoon Yang

We introduce a variant of the Hybrid Monte Carlo (HMC) algorithm to address large-deviation statistics in stochastic hydrodynamics. Based on the path-integral approach to stochastic (partial) differential equations, our HMC algorithm…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-10-29 G. Margazoglou , L. Biferale , R. Grauer , K. Jansen , D. Mesterházy , T. Rosenow , R. Tripiccione

An adaptive controller with bounded l2-gain from disturbances to errors is derived for linear time-invariant systems with uncertain parameters restricted to a finite set. The gain bound refers to the closed loop system, including the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-09 Anders Rantzer

We consider a multi-period stochastic control problem where the multivariate driving stochastic factor of the system has known marginal distributions but uncertain dependence structure. To solve the problem, we propose to implement the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-09-13 Erhan Bayraktar , Tao Chen

This paper proposes strategies for designing a system whose computational model is subject to aleatory and epistemic uncertainty. Aleatory variables, which are caused by randomness in physical parameters, are draws from a possibly unknown…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-18 Luis G. Crespo

We study the numerical solution of nonlinear partially observed optimal stopping problems. The system state is taken to be a multi-dimensional diffusion and drives the drift of the observation process, which is another multi-dimensional…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2010-01-20 Mike Ludkovski

Sampling rare events in metastable dynamical systems is often a computationally expensive task and one needs to resort to enhanced sampling methods such as importance sampling. Since we can formulate the problem of finding optimal…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-10-05 Enric Ribera Borrell , Jannes Quer , Lorenz Richter , Christof Schütte

Time-consistency is an essential requirement in risk sensitive optimal control problems to make rational decisions. An optimization problem is time consistent if its solution policy does not depend on the time sequence of solving the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-03-26 Yinlam Chow , Marco Pavone

Estimating risk measures such as large loss probabilities and Value-at-Risk is fundamental in financial risk management and often relies on computationally intensive nested Monte Carlo methods. While Multi-Level Monte Carlo (MLMC)…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-23 Alexandre Boumezoued , Adel Cherchali , Vincent Lemaire , Gilles Pagès , Mathieu Truc

Model Predictive Control is an extremely effective control method for systems with input and state constraints. Model Predictive Control performance heavily depends on the accuracy of the open-loop prediction. For systems with uncertainty…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-07-27 Francesco Micheli , John Lygeros

We present a predictive feedback control method for a class of quasilinear hyperbolic systems with one boundary control input. Assuming exact model knowledge, convergence to the origin, or tracking at the uncontrolled boundary, are achieved…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-03-18 Timm Strecker , Ole Morten Aamo , Michael Cantoni

The considered optimal control problem of a stochastic power system, is to select the set of power supply vectors which infimizes the probability that the phase-angle differences of any power flow of the network, endangers the transient…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-01-31 Zhen Wang , Kaihua Xi , Aijie Cheng , Hai Xiang Lin , Jan H. van Schuppen

We consider a class of finite time horizon nonlinear stochastic optimal control problem, where the control acts additively on the dynamics and the control cost is quadratic. This framework is flexible and has found applications in many…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-04-26 Ajay Jasra , Jeremy Heng , Yaxian Xu , Adrian N. Bishop

When designing optimal controllers for any system, it is often the case that the true state of the system is unknown to the controller, for example due to noisy measurements or partially observable states. Incomplete state information must…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-01-23 Kendra Lesser , Meeko Oishi

Recent low-thrust space missions have highlighted the importance of designing trajectories that are robust against uncertainties. In its complete form, this process is formulated as a nonlinear constrained stochastic optimal control…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-02-25 Naoya Ozaki , Stefano Campagnola , Ryu Funase

We develop methods to solve general optimal stopping problems with opportunities to stop that arrive randomly. Such problems occur naturally in applications with market frictions. Pivotal to our approach is that our methods operate on…

Probabilistic control design is founded on the principle that a rational agent attempts to match modelled with an arbitrary desired closed-loop system trajectory density. The framework was originally proposed as a tractable alternative to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-16 Tom Lefebvre

This tutorial describes recently developed general optimality conditions for Markov Decision Processes that have significant applications to inventory control. In particular, these conditions imply the validity of optimality equations and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-06-06 Eugene A. Feinberg

We consider a class of exit time stochastic control problems for diffusion processes with discounted criterion, where the controller can utilize a given amount of resource, called "fuel". In contrast to the vast majority of existing…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-01-30 Dmitry B. Rokhlin , Georgii Mironenko