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We extend the quantitative synthesis framework by going beyond the worst-case. On the one hand, classical analysis of two-player games involves an adversary (modeling the environment of the system) which is purely antagonistic and asks for…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2015-11-02 Véronique Bruyère , Emmanuel Filiot , Mickael Randour , Jean-François Raskin

Combining efficient and safe control for safety-critical systems is challenging. Robust methods may be overly conservative, whereas probabilistic controllers require a trade-off between efficiency and safety. In this work, we propose a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-09-16 Tim Brüdigam , Robert Jacumet , Dirk Wollherr , Marion Leibold

We develop a novel procedure for estimating the optimizer of general convex stochastic optimization problems of the form $\min_{x\in\mathcal{X}} \mathbb{E}[F(x,\xi)]$, when the given data is a finite independent sample selected according to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-26 Daniel Bartl , Shahar Mendelson

We present a general framework for optimizing the Conditional Value-at-Risk for dynamical systems using stochastic search. The framework is capable of handling the uncertainty from the initial condition, stochastic dynamics, and uncertain…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-02-16 Ziyi Wang , Oswin So , Keuntaek Lee , Camilo A. Duarte , Evangelos A. Theodorou

In this article, we propose optimal discretization of analog filters (or controllers) based on the theory of sampled-data H-infinity control. We formulate the discretization problem as minimization of the H-infinity norm of the error system…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2013-08-05 Masaaki Nagahara , Yutaka Yamamoto

Robust optimization (RO) tackles data uncertainty by optimizing for the worst-case scenario of an uncertain parameter and, in its basic form, is sometimes criticized for producing overly-conservative solutions. To reduce the level of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-02-21 Milad Dehghani Filabadi , Houra Mahmoudzadeh

We introduce Multistage Conditional Compositional Optimization (MCCO) as a new paradigm for decision-making under uncertainty that combines aspects of multistage stochastic programming and conditional stochastic optimization. MCCO minimizes…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-16 Buse Şen , Yifan Hu , Daniel Kuhn

We study a multiscale stochastic optimal control problem subject to state constraints on the slow variable. To address this class of problems, we develop a rigorous theoretical framework based on singular perturbation analysis, tailored to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-12 Anderson O. Calixto , Bernardo Freitas Paulo da Costa , Glauco Valle

Synthetic control methods can produce misleading counterfactual predictions when outcome series contain unit-specific stochastic trends, a common feature of nonstationary macroeconomic data. Existing remedies, such as pre-filtering or…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-21 Ziyi Liu , Yiqing Xu

We describe and analyze a variance reduction approach for Monte Carlo (MC) sampling that accelerates the estimation of statistics of computationally expensive simulation models using an ensemble of models with lower cost. These lower cost…

Computation · Statistics 2021-05-04 Alex A. Gorodetsky , Gianluca Geraci , Mike Eldred , John D. Jakeman

This paper presents an explicit solution to decentralized control of a class of spatially invariant systems. The problem of optimal $H_2$ decentralized control for cone causal systems is formulated. Using Parseval's identity, the optimal…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-03-14 M. Ehsan Raoufat , Seddik M. Djouadi

We present a heuristic policy and performance bound for risk-sensitive convex stochastic control that generalizes linear-exponential-quadratic regulator (LEQR) theory. Our heuristic policy extends standard, risk-neutral model predictive…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-05-30 Nicholas Moehle

We study issues of robustness in the context of Quantitative Risk Management and Optimization. We develop a general methodology for determining whether a given risk measurement related optimization problem is robust, which we call…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-02-12 Paul Embrechts , Alexander Schied , Ruodu Wang

We consider the Chance Constrained Model Predictive Control problem for polynomial systems subject to disturbances. In this problem, we aim at finding optimal control input for given disturbed dynamical system to minimize a given cost…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-05-04 Ashkan Jasour , Constantino Lagoa

We reveal an interesting convex duality relationship between two problems: (a) minimizing the probability of lifetime ruin when the rate of consumption is stochastic and when the individual can invest in a Black-Scholes financial market;…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2010-08-30 Erhan Bayraktar , Virginia R. Young

The optimal control problem of stochastic systems is commonly solved via robust or scenario-based optimization methods, which are both challenging to scale to long optimization horizons. We cast the optimal control problem of a stochastic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-17 Etienne Buehrle , Christoph Stiller

We consider control of uncertain linear time-varying stochastic systems from the perspective of regret minimization. Specifically, we focus on the problem of designing a feedback controller that minimizes the loss relative to a clairvoyant…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-04 Andrea Martin , Luca Furieri , Florian Dörfler , John Lygeros , Giancarlo Ferrari-Trecate

This paper addresses the problem of utility maximization under uncertain parameters. In contrast with the classical approach, where the parameters of the model evolve freely within a given range, we constrain them via a penalty function. We…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-03-08 Ivan Guo , Nicolas Langrené , Grégoire Loeper , Wei Ning

We consider pessimistic bilevel stochastic programs in which the follower maximizes over a fixed compact convex set a strictly convex quadratic function, whose Hessian depends on the leader's decision. The resulting random variable is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-11-30 Johanna Burtscheidt , Matthias Claus , Sergio Conti , Martin Rumpf , Josua Sassen , Rüdiger Schultz

We develop Hybrid Monte Carlo (HMC) algorithms for constrained Hamiltonian systems of gauge- Higgs models and introduce a new observable for the constraint effective Higgs potential. We use an extension of the so-called Rattle algorithm to…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2020-05-15 Michael Günther , Roman Höllwieser , Francesco Knechtli