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Latent variable models are popularly used to measure latent factors (e.g., abilities and personalities) from large-scale assessment data. Beyond understanding these latent factors, the covariate effect on responses controlling for latent…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-12 Jing Ouyang , Chengyu Cui , Kean Ming Tan , Gongjun Xu

Long-run covariance matrix estimation is the building block of time series inference. The corresponding difference-based estimator, which avoids detrending, has attracted considerable interest due to its robustness to both smooth and abrupt…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-29 Lujia Bai , Weichi Wu

In epidemiological research, modeling the cumulative effects of time-dependent exposures on survival outcomes presents a challenge due to their intricate temporal dynamics. Conventional spline-based statistical methods, though effective,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-01 Kang-Chung Yang , Shinsheng Yuan

We perform a comparative analysis of transformer-based models designed for modeling tabular data, specifically on an industry-scale dataset. While earlier studies demonstrated promising outcomes on smaller public or synthetic datasets, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-27 Usneek Singh , Piyush Arora , Shamika Ganesan , Mohit Kumar , Siddhant Kulkarni , Salil R. Joshi

We propose a novel method for predicting time-to-event in the presence of cure fractions based on flexible survivals models integrated into a deep neural network framework. Our approach allows for non-linear relationships and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-11 Victor Medina-Olivares , Stefan Lessmann , Nadja Klein

This paper aims to study the prediction of the bank stability index based on the Time Series Transformer model. The bank stability index is an important indicator to measure the health status and risk resistance of financial institutions.…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-06 Wenying Sun , Zhen Xu , Wenqing Zhang , Kunyuan Ma , You Wu , Mengfang Sun

Multivariate time-series data are frequently observed in critical care settings and are typically characterized by sparsity (missing information) and irregular time intervals. Existing approaches for learning representations in this domain…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-17 Sindhu Tipirneni , Chandan K. Reddy

This paper studies identification and inference in transformation models with endogenous censoring. Many kinds of duration models, such as the accelerated failure time model, proportional hazard model, and mixed proportional hazard model,…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-07-05 Shosei Sakaguchi

Survival analysis is a critical tool for the modelling of time-to-event data, such as life expectancy after a cancer diagnosis or optimal maintenance scheduling for complex machinery. However, current neural network models provide an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-12-06 Fabio Luis de Mello , J Mark Wilkinson , Visakan Kadirkamanathan

Survival analysis, which estimates the probability of event occurrence over time from censored data, is fundamental in numerous real-world applications, particularly in high-stakes domains such as healthcare and risk assessment. Despite…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-26 Yu Liu , Weiyao Tao , Tong Xia , Simon Knight , Tingting Zhu

Machine learning models -- deep neural networks in particular -- have performed remarkably well on benchmark datasets across a wide variety of domains. However, the ease of finding adversarial counter-examples remains a persistent problem…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-13 Charles Meyers , Mohammad Reza Saleh Sedghpour , Tommy Löfstedt , Erik Elmroth

Accurate prediction of disease trajectories is critical for early identification and timely treatment of patients at risk. Conventional methods in survival analysis are often constrained by strong parametric assumptions and limited in their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-28 Daniel Jarrett , Jinsung Yoon , Mihaela van der Schaar

We study the transformed hazards model with time-dependent covariates observed intermittently for the censored outcome. Existing work assumes the availability of the whole trajectory of the time-dependent covariates, which is unrealistic.…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-19 Dayu Sun , Zhuowei Sun , Xingqiu Zhao , Hongyuan Cao

We introduce a numerically tractable formulation of Bayesian joint models for longitudinal and survival data. The longitudinal process is modelled using generalised linear mixed models, while the survival process is modelled using a…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-23 Danilo Alvares , Francisco Javier Rubio

Time series forecasting is an important task in many fields ranging from supply chain management to weather forecasting. Recently, Transformer neural network architectures have shown promising results in forecasting on common time series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-08 Rares Cristian , Pavithra Harsha , Clemente Ocejo , Georgia Perakis , Brian Quanz , Ioannis Spantidakis , Hamza Zerhouni

Survival analysis predicts the time until an event of interest, such as failure or death, but faces challenges due to censored data, where some events remain unobserved. Ensemble-based models, like random survival forests and gradient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-10 Lev V. Utkin , Semen P. Khomets , Vlada A. Efremenko , Andrei V. Konstantinov , Natalya M. Verbova

While there are many well-developed data science methods for classification and regression, there are relatively few methods for working with right-censored data. Here, we present "survival stacking": a method for casting survival analysis…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-29 Erin Craig , Chenyang Zhong , Robert Tibshirani

The vector autoregressive (VAR) model has been used to describe the dependence within and across multiple time series. This is a model for stationary time series which can be extended to allow the presence of a deterministic trend in each…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-14 Xixi Li , Jingsong Yuan

Objective: Survival analysis is central to medical prediction, yet large language models (LLMs) are rarely used as end-to-end survival models because censoring prevents straightforward supervised fine-tuning. Here we present LLMSurvival, a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Yishu Wei , Hexin Dong , Yi Lin , Jiahe Qian , Yi Liu , Yifan Peng

Many real-world problems can be naturally described by mathematical formulas. The task of finding formulas from a set of observed inputs and outputs is called symbolic regression. Recently, neural networks have been applied to symbolic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-24 Martin Vastl , Jonáš Kulhánek , Jiří Kubalík , Erik Derner , Robert Babuška