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Supervised learning of time series data has been extensively studied for the case of a categorical target variable. In some application domains, e.g., energy, environment and health monitoring, it occurs that the target variable is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-11 Dominique Gay , Alexis Bondu , Vincent Lemaire , Marc Boullé

Many applications involve reasoning about time durations before a critical event happens--also called time-to-event outcomes. When will a customer cancel a subscription, a coma patient wake up, or a convicted criminal reoffend?…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-03 George H. Chen

Survival analysis is crucial for many medical applications, but remains challenging for modern machine learning due to limited data, censoring, and the heterogeneity of tabular covariates. While the prior-fitted paradigm, which relies on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Dmitrii Seletkov , Paul Hager , Georgios Kaissis , Rickmer Braren , Daniel Rueckert , Raphael Rehms

The covariance matrix plays a fundamental role in many modern exploratory and inferential statistical procedures, including dimensionality reduction, hypothesis testing, and regression. In low-dimensional regimes, where the number of…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-12 Philippe Boileau , Nima S. Hejazi , Mark J. van der Laan , Sandrine Dudoit

Accurate vehicle trajectory prediction is crucial for ensuring safe and efficient autonomous driving. This work explores the integration of Transformer based model with Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) based technique to enhance spatial and…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-12-19 Chandra Raskoti , Weizi Li

Predicting patient survival probabilities based on observed covariates is an important assessment in clinical practice. These patient-specific covariates are often measured over multiple follow-up appointments. It is then of interest to…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-11 Annabel L. Davies , Anthony C. C. Coolen , Tobias Galla

Survival analysis, or time-to-event analysis, is an important and widespread problem in healthcare research. Medical research has traditionally relied on Cox models for survival analysis, due to their simplicity and interpretability. Cox…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-25 Mike Van Ness , Tomas Bosschieter , Natasha Din , Andrew Ambrosy , Alexander Sandhu , Madeleine Udell

Online identification of post-contingency transient stability is essential in power system control, as it facilitates the grid operator to decide and coordinate system failure correction control actions. Utilizing machine learning methods…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-05-23 James J. Q. Yu , David J. Hill , Albert Y. S. Lam , Jiatao Gu , Victor O. K. Li

Transformers have demonstrated impressive strength in long-term series forecasting. Existing prediction research mostly focused on mapping past short sub-series (lookback window) to future series (forecast window). The longer training…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-22 Julong Young , Junhui Chen , Feihu Huang , Jian Peng

Traditional survival analysis methods often struggle with complex time-dependent data,failing to capture and interpret dynamic characteristics adequately.This study aims to evaluate the performance of three long-sequence…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-22 Runquan Zhang , Jiawen Jiang , Xiaoping Shi

In survival analysis, estimating the conditional survival function given predictors is often of interest. There is a growing trend in the development of deep learning methods for analyzing censored time-to-event data, especially when…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-13 Sehwan Kim , Rui Wang , Wenbin Lu

Balanced representation learning methods have been applied successfully to counterfactual inference from observational data. However, approaches that account for survival outcomes are relatively limited. Survival data are frequently…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-04 Paidamoyo Chapfuwa , Serge Assaad , Shuxi Zeng , Michael J. Pencina , Lawrence Carin , Ricardo Henao

This article analyzes the problem of estimating the time until an event occurs, also known as survival modeling. We observe through substantial experiments on large real-world datasets and use-cases that populations are largely…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-13 David Hubbard , Benoit Rostykus , Yves Raimond , Tony Jebara

We propose a versatile framework for survival analysis that combines advanced concepts from statistics with deep learning. The presented framework is based on piecewise exponential models and thereby supports various survival tasks, such as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-02 Philipp Kopper , Sebastian Pölsterl , Christian Wachinger , Bernd Bischl , Andreas Bender , David Rügamer

Data preprocessing is often paid little attention in machine learning, despite its potentially significant impact on model performance. While automated machine learning pipelines are starting to recognize and integrate data preprocessing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-27 Yousef Koka , David Selby , Gerrit Großmann , Kathan Pandya , Sebastian Vollmer

Estimating the causal effect of time-varying treatments on survival outcomes is a challenging task in many domains, particularly in medicine where treatment protocols adapt over time. While recent advances in representation learning have…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-06 Ayoub Abraich

We discuss causal mediation analyses for survival data and propose a new approach based on the additive hazards model. The emphasis is on a dynamic point of view, that is, understanding how the direct and indirect effects develop over time.…

Vehicle trajectory prediction is crucial for advancing autonomous driving and advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS), enhancing road safety and traffic efficiency. While traditional methods have laid foundational work, modern deep…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-19 Junwei You , Haotian Shi , Keshu Wu , Keke Long , Sicheng Fu , Sikai Chen , Bin Ran

Time-varying covariates in longitudinal studies frequently evolve through reciprocal feedback, undergo role reversal, and reflect unobserved individual heterogeneity. Standard statistical frameworks often assume fixed covariate roles and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-27 Niloofar Ramezani , Pascal Nitiema , Jeffrey R. Wilson

The paper develops a Transformer architecture for estimating dynamic factors from multivariate time series data under flexible identification assumptions. Performance on small datasets is improved substantially by using a conventional…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-21 Oliver Snellman
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