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We introduce a nonstationary spatio-temporal statistical model for gridded data on the sphere. The model specifies a computationally convenient covariance structure that depends on heterogeneous geography. Widely used statistical models on…

Applications · Statistics 2016-02-25 Stefano Castruccio , Joseph Guinness

Recent advances in local models for point processes have highlighted the need for flexible methodologies to account for the spatial heterogeneity of external covariates influencing process intensity. In this work, we introduce tessellated…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-11 Nicoletta D'Angelo

We propose a spatio-temporal data-fusion framework for point data and gridded data with variables observed on different spatial supports. A latent Gaussian field with a Mat\'ern-SPDE prior provides a continuous space representation, while…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-19 Weiyue Zheng , Andrew Elliott , Claire Miller , Marian Scott

Accurate modeling of spatial dependence is pivotal in analyzing spatial data, influencing parameter estimation and predictions. The spatial structure of the data significantly impacts valid statistical inference. Existing models for areal…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-11 Lucas da Cunha Godoy , Marcos Oliveira Prates , Jun Yan

Data derived from remote sensing or numerical simulations often have a regular gridded structure and are large in volume, making it challenging to find accurate spatial models that can fill in missing grid cells or simulate the process…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-07 Sweta Rai , Douglas W. Nychka , Soutir Bandyopadhyay

In a spatial-temporal model, structural change and/or spatial heterogeneity can easily affect estimation of parameters. Following the spatial-temporal model in [1], we develop a nonparametric procedure for test-ing the presence of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-07 Ruby Anne E. Lemence , Erniel B. Barrios

Surface temperature is a fundamental Essential Climate Variable, serving as a primary indicator of climate change and exerting a profound influence on ecosystems, agriculture, and human livelihoods. Although existing research provides a…

Applications · Statistics 2026-03-16 John Bagiliko , David Stern , Denis Ndanguza

Climate classification plays a vital role in agricultural planning, hydrological studies, and climate science. One of the most widely used systems for classifying global climate zones is the K\"oppen-Trewartha (KT) classification. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-07 Stephen Tivenan , Indranil Sahoo , Yanjun Qian

Accurately forecasting urban development and its environmental and climate impacts critically depends on realistic models of the spatial structure of the built environment, and of its dependence on key factors such as population and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-24 Adrian Albert , Jasleen Kaur , Emanuele Strano , Marta Gonzalez

We propose a novel Bayesian framework for changepoint detection in large-scale spherical spatiotemporal data, with broad applicability in environmental and climate sciences. Our approach models changepoints as spatially dependent…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-16 Samantha Shi-Jun , Bo Li

The process of desertification in the semi-arid climatic zone is considered by many as a catastrophic regime shift, since the positive feedback of vegetation density on growth rates yields a system that admits alternative steady states.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-02-07 Haim Weissmann , Rafi Kent , Yaron Michael , Nadav M. Shnerb

Precipitation exceedance probabilities are widely used in engineering design, risk assessment, and floodplain management. While common approaches like NOAA Atlas 14 assume that extreme precipitation characteristics are stationary over time,…

Applications · Statistics 2025-02-05 Yuchen Lu , Ben Seiyon Lee , James Doss-Gollin

Obtaining high-resolution maps of precipitation data can provide key insights to stakeholders to assess a sustainable access to water resources at urban scale. Mapping a nonstationary, sparse process such as precipitation at very high…

Applications · Statistics 2023-02-08 Jiachen Zhang , Matthew Bonas , Diogo Bolster , Geir-Arne Fuglstad , Stefano Castruccio

Despite the widespread utilization of Gaussian process models for versatile nonparametric modeling, they exhibit limitations in effectively capturing abrupt changes in function smoothness and accommodating relationships with heteroscedastic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-09-01 Taehee Lee , Jun S. Liu

In Earth sciences, unobserved factors exhibit non-stationary spatial distributions, causing the relationships between features and targets to display spatial heterogeneity. In geographic machine learning tasks, conventional statistical…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-02-11 Siqi Du , Hongsheng Huang , Kaixin Shen , Ziqi Liu , Shengjun Tang

While current state-of-the-art Scene Change Detection (SCD) approaches achieve impressive results in well-trained research data, they become unreliable under unseen environments and different temporal conditions; in-domain performance drops…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-03-14 Jaewoo Kim , Uehwan Kim

Extreme precipitation events occurring over large spatial domains pose substantial threats to societies because they can trigger compound flooding, landslides, and infrastructure failures across wide areas. A hybrid framework for spatial…

Applications · Statistics 2025-09-15 Zimu Wang , Yifan Wu , Daning Bi

Autonomous robots are increasingly deployed to estimate spatiotemporal fields (e.g., wind, temperature, gas concentration) that vary across space and time. We consider environments divided into non-overlapping regions with distinct spatial…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Kaleb Ben Naveed , Haejoon Lee , Dimitra Panagou

Focusing on regression based analysis of extremes in a presence of systematically missing covariates, this work presents a data-driven spatio-temporal regression based clustering of threshold excesses. It is shown that in a presence of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-02 Olga Kaiser , Dimitri Igdalov , Olivia Martius , Illia Horenko

Spatial heteroskedasticity refers to stochastically changing variances and covariances in space. Such features have been observed in, for example, air pollution and vegetation data. We study how volatility modulated moving averages can…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-20 Michele Nguyen , Almut E. D. Veraart
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