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We describe a variational approximation method for efficient inference in large-scale probabilistic models. Variational methods are deterministic procedures that provide approximations to marginal and conditional probabilities of interest.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-05-30 T. S. Jaakkola , M. I. Jordan

In this paper new tests for the independence of two high-dimensional vectors are investigated. We consider the case where the dimension of the vectors increases with the sample size and propose multivariate analysis of variance-type…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-19 Taras Bodnar , Holger Dette , Nestor Parolya

For a multivariate normal distribution, the sparsity of the covariance and precision matrices encodes complete information about independence and conditional independence properties. For general distributions, the covariance and precision…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-09-22 Rebecca E Morrison , Ricardo Baptista , Estelle L Basor

Moderate deviation principles for stochastic differential equations driven by a Poisson random measure (PRM) in finite and infinite dimensions are obtained. Proofs are based on a variational representation for expected values of positive…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-01-29 Amarjit Budhiraja , Paul Dupuis , Arnab Ganguly

We introduce the notion of p*-values (p*-variables), which generalizes p-values (p-variables) in several senses. The new notion has four natural interpretations: operational, probabilistic, Bayesian, and frequentist. A main example of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-02-24 Ruodu Wang

The purpose of this paper is to investigate the deviation inequalities and the moderate deviation principle of the least squares estimators of the unknown parameters of general $p$th-order bifurcating autoregressive processes, under…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-04-12 Hacène Djellout , Valère Bitseki Penda

In this paper we study the almost sure conditional central limit theorem in its functional form for a class of random variables satisfying a projective criterion. Applications to strongly mixing processes and non irreducible Markov chains…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-07 Jérôme Dedecker , Florence Merlevède , Magda Peligrad

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are used to estimate features of interest of a distribution. The Monte Carlo error in estimation has an asymptotic normal distribution whose multivariate nature has so far been ignored in the MCMC…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-05 Dootika Vats , James M. Flegal , Galin L. Jones

Here I prove non-central limit theorems for non-linear functionals of vector valued stationary random fields under appropriate conditions. They are the multivariate versions of the results in paper\cite{2}. Previously A. M. Arcones…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-31 Peter Major

Percentiles and more generally, quantiles are commonly used in various contexts to summarize data. For most distributions, there is exactly one quantile that is unbiased. For distributions like the Gaussian that have the same mean and…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-11 Rohit Pandey

Robust estimation of a mean vector, a topic regarded as obsolete in the traditional robust statistics community, has recently surged in machine learning literature in the last decade. The latest focus is on the sub-Gaussian performance and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-22 Yijun Zuo

Suppose X is a random vector, that is distributed uniformly in some n-dimensional convex set. It was conjectured that when the dimension n is very large, there exists a non-zero vector u, such that the distribution of the real random…

Metric Geometry · Mathematics 2009-11-11 B. Klartag

Recently a considerable interest has been paid on the estimation problem of the realized volatility and covolatility by using high-frequency data of financial price processes in financial econometrics. Threshold estimation is one of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-01 Hacène Djellout , Hui Jiang

The average result of a weak measurement of some observable $A$ can, under post-selection of the measured quantum system, exceed the largest eigenvalue of $A$. The nature of weak measurements, as well as the presence of post-selection and…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2014-11-13 Matthew F. Pusey

Weak values are average quantities,therefore investigating their associated variance is crucial in understanding their place in quantum mechanics. We develop the concept of a position-postselected weak variance of momentum as cohesively as…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-08-10 M. R. Feyereisen

Diversities are a generalization of metric spaces in which a non-negative value is assigned to all finite subsets of a set, rather than just to pairs of points. Here we provide an analogue of the theory of negative type metrics for…

Metric Geometry · Mathematics 2018-09-19 Pei Wu , David Bryant , Paul F. Tupper

Cram\'er type moderate deviation theorems quantify the accuracy of the relative error of the normal approximation and provide theoretical justifications for many commonly used methods in statistics. In this paper, we develop a new…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-07 Qi-Man Shao , Wen-Xin Zhou

Variational methods are widely used for approximate posterior inference. However, their use is typically limited to families of distributions that enjoy particular conjugacy properties. To circumvent this limitation, we propose a family of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-06-22 Samuel Gershman , Matt Hoffman , David Blei

This paper derives central limit and bootstrap theorems for probabilities that sums of centered high-dimensional random vectors hit hyperrectangles and sparsely convex sets. Specifically, we derive Gaussian and bootstrap approximations for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-09 Victor Chernozhukov , Denis Chetverikov , Kengo Kato

This paper is focused on the moderate-deviations analysis of binary hypothesis testing. The analysis relies on a concentration inequality for discrete-parameter martingales with bounded jumps, where this inequality forms a refinement to the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Igal Sason