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The work concerns deviation estimates for multivalued McKean-Vlasov stochastic differential equations. First of all, we prove the large deviation principle for them by the weak convergence approach. Then the central limit theorem for them…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-10 Kun Fang , Huijie Qiao

We prove that moderate deviations for empirical measures for countable nonhomogeneous Markov chains hold under the assumption of uniform convergence of transition probability matrices for countable nonhomogeneous Markov chains in Ces\`aro…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-16 Mingzhou Xu , Kun Cheng

The geometric median, a notion of center for multivariate distributions, has gained recent attention in robust statistics and machine learning. Although conceptually distinct from the mean (i.e., expectation), we demonstrate that both are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-19 Richard Schwank , Mathias Drton

We obtain large and moderate deviation estimates, as well as concentration inequalities, for a class of nonuniformly expanding maps with stretched exponential decay of correlations. In the large deviation regime, we also exhibit examples…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-26 C Cuny , J Dedecker , F Merlevède

We obtain moderate deviations theorems and exponential (Bernstein type) concentration inequalities for "nonconventional" sums of the form $S_N=\sum_{n=1}^N (F(\xi_{q_1(n)},\xi_{q_2(n)},...,\xi_{q_\ell(n)})-\bar F)$.

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-11 Yeor Hafouta

In meta analysis, multiple hypothesis testing and many other methods, p-values are utilized as inputs and assumed to be uniformly distributed over the unit interval under the null hypotheses. If data used to generate p-values have discrete…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-24 Joshua Habiger , Pratyaydipta Rudra

We prove the large deviation principle for several entropy and cross entropy estimators based on return times and waiting times on shift spaces over finite alphabets. We consider shift-invariant probability measures satisfying some…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-07 Noé Cuneo , Renaud Raquépas

This work considers the problem of estimating the distance between two covariance matrices directly from the data. Particularly, we are interested in the family of distances that can be expressed as sums of traces of functions that are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-19 Roberto Pereira , Xavier Mestre , Davig Gregoratti

Given $n$ independent random marked $d$-vectors $X_i$ with a common density, define the measure $\nu_n = \sum_i \xi_i $, where $\xi_i$ is a measure (not necessarily a point measure) determined by the (suitably rescaled) set of points near…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Mathew D. Penrose

We consider Markov chains which are polynomially mixing, in a weak sense expressed in terms of the space of functions on which the mixing speed is controlled. In this context, we prove polynomial large and moderate deviations inequalities.…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-22 J Dedecker , Sébastien Gouëzel , F Merlevède

We provide a detailed importance sampling analysis for variance reduction in stochastic volatility models. The optimal change of measure is obtained using a variety of results from large and moderate deviations: small-time, large-time,…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-02 Marc Geha , Antoine Jacquier , Zan Zuric

We consider data transmission across discrete memoryless channels (DMCs) using variable-length codes with feedback. We consider the family of such codes whose rates are $\rho_N$ below the channel capacity $C$, where $\rho_N$ is a positive…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-05-17 Lan V. Truong , Vincent Y. F. Tan

The Moderate Deviations Principle (MDP) is well-understood for sums of independent random variables, worse understood for stationary random sequences, and scantily understood for random fields. An upper bound for a new class of random…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-16 Boris Tsirelson

We study generalized bootstrap confidence regions for the mean of a random vector whose coordinates have an unknown dependency structure. The random vector is supposed to be either Gaussian or to have a symmetric and bounded distribution.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-07-02 Sylvain Arlot , Gilles Blanchard , Etienne Roquain

Consider Ginibre's ensemble of $N \times N$ non-Hermitian random matrices in which all entries are independent complex Gaussians of mean zero and variance $\frac{1}{N}$. As $N \uparrow \infty$ the normalized counting measure of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Brian Rider

Increasing practical interest has been shown in regression problems where the errors, or disturbances, are centred in a way that reflects particular characteristics of the mechanism that generated the data. In economics this occurs in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-07 Peter Hall , Ingrid Van Keilegom

In the present paper, we consider the Pearson chi-square statistic defined on a finite alphabet which is assumed to dynamically vary as the sample size increases, and establish its moderate deviation principle.

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-19 Zhenhong Yu , Yu Miao

By extending the methods in Peligrad et al. (2014a, b), we establish exact moderate and large deviation asymptotics for linear random fields with independent innovations. These results are useful for studying nonparametric regression with…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-01 Hailin Sang , Yimin Xiao

The uncertainty or the variability of the data may be treated by considering, rather than a single value for each data, the interval of values in which it may fall. This paper studies the derivation of basic description statistics for…

Computation · Statistics 2008-12-18 Marie Chavent , Jérôme Saracco

Bitseki and Delmas (2021) have studied recently the central limit theorem for kernel estimator of invariant density in bifurcating Markov chains models. We complete their work by proving a moderate deviation principle for this estimator.…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-03 S. Valère Bitseki Penda
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