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Infectious disease dynamics operate across multiple biological scales, with within-host viral dynamics being a key driver of between-host transmission. However, while models that explicitly link these scales exist, none have been developed…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-23 Dylan J. Morris , Lauren Kennedy , Andrew J. Black

Mathematical models of infectious disease transmission typically neglect within-host dynamics. Yet within-host dynamics - including pathogen replication, host immune responses, and interactions with microbiota - are crucial not only for…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-12-20 Cameron A. Smith , Ben Ashby

This paper introduces a novel hybrid model combining Partial Differential Equations (PDEs) and Ordinary Differential Equations (ODEs) to simulate infectious disease dynamics across geographic regions. By leveraging the spatial detail of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-11-18 Kristina Kehrer , Martin Weiser , Tim Conrad

The risk of indoor airborne transmission among co-located individuals is generally non-uniform, which remains a critical challenge for public health modelling. Thus, we present CompARE, an integrated risk assessment framework for indoor…

Partial differential equation (PDE) models for infectious diseases, while less common than their ordinary differential equation (ODE) counterparts, have found successful applications for many years. Such models are typically of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-27 Alex Viguerie , Malú Grave , Alvaro L. G. A. Coutinho , Alessandro Veneziani , Thomas J. R. Hughes

A novel predictive modeling framework for the spread of infectious diseases using high dimensional partial differential equations is developed and implemented. A scalar function representing the infected population is defined on a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-06 Sashikumaar Ganesan , Deepak Subramani

In this work we propose a novel space-dependent multiscale model for the spread of infectious diseases in a two-dimensional spatial context on realistic geographical scenarios. The model couples a system of kinetic transport equations…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-12-21 Walter Boscheri , Giacomo Dimarco , Lorenzo Pareschi

Partial differential equation (PDE) models for infectious disease have received renewed interest in recent years. Most models of this type extend classical compartmental formulations with additional terms accounting for spatial dynamics,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-04-29 Pierluigi Colli , Gabriela Marinoschi , Elisabetta Rocca , Alex Viguerie

In this paper, we first propose a diffusive pathogen infection model with general incidence rate which incorporates cell-to-cell transmission. By applying the theory of monotone dynamical systems, we prove that the model admits the global…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2026-02-24 Shohel Ahmed

Understanding infectious disease spread remains a critical public health challenge, particularly given the interplay between household dynamics and community transmission patterns. Traditional epidemiological models often oversimplify these…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-21 Houda Yaqine , Christiane Fuchs

The SIR model is one of the most prototypical compartmental models in epidemiology. Generalizing this ordinary differential equation (ODE) framework into a spatially distributed partial differential equation (PDE) model is a considerable…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-07-11 Su Yang , Weiqi Chu , Panayotis Kevrekidis

We introduce a kinetic model that couples the movement of a population of individuals with the dynamics of a pathogen in the same population. We consider that transmission occurs when a susceptible and an infectious individual are…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2026-01-30 Carolina Strecht-Fernandes , Fabio A. C. C. Chalub

Within-host models of COVID-19 infection dynamics enable the merits of different forms of antiviral therapy to be assessed in individual patients. A stochastic agent-based model of COVID-19 intracellular dynamics is introduced here, that…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2021-12-22 Farzad Fatehi , Richard J Bingham , Eric C Dykeman , Peter G Stockley , Reidun Twarock

Infection by distinct Dengue virus serotypes and host immunity are intricately linked. In particular, certain levels of cross-reactive antibodies in the host may actually enhance infection severity leading to Dengue hemorrhagic fever (DHF).…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-12-19 Hayriye Gulbudak , Cameron J. Browne

We develop and analyze a lattice difference equation (LDE) framework to model the spatial dynamics of invasion in populations. This framework extends beyond classical integro-difference and reaction-diffusion models by incorporating spatial…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-08-13 Eddy Kwessi

We study a stochastic epidemic model with multiple patches (locations), where individuals in each patch are categorized into three compartments, Susceptible, Infected and Recovered/Removed, and may migrate from one patch to another in any…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-21 Guodong Pang , Etienne Pardoux

Computational multi-scale pandemic modelling remains a major and timely challenge. Here we identify specific requirements for a new class of models simulating pandemics across three scales: (1) pathogen evolution, often punctuated by the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-08-04 Quang Dang Nguyen , Sheryl L. Chang , Carl J. E. Suster , Rebecca J. Rockett , Vitali Sintchenko , Tania C. Sorrell , Mikhail Prokopenko

We develop a new structured compartmental model for the coevolutionary dynamics between susceptible and infectious individuals in heterogeneous SI epidemiological systems. In this model, the susceptible compartment is structured by a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-10-10 Tommaso Lorenzi , Elisa Paparelli , Andrea Tosin

A current challenge for disease modeling and public health is understanding pathogen dynamics across scales since their ecology and evolution ultimately operate on several coupled scales. This is particularly true for vector-borne diseases,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-12-19 Hayriye Gulbudak

Despite being similar in structure, functioning, and size viral pathogens enjoy very different mostly well-defined ways of life. They occupy their hosts for a few days (influenza), for a few weeks (measles), or even lifelong (HCV), which…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-01 Alexander Lange
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