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The long-term progression of neurodegenerative diseases is commonly conceptualized as a spatiotemporal diffusion process that consists of a graph diffusion process across the structural brain connectome and a localized reaction process…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-12 Tiantian He , Keyue Jiang , An Zhao , Anna Schroder , Elinor Thompson , Sonja Soskic , Frederik Barkhof , Daniel C. Alexander

A number of transmission models for airborne pathogens transmission, as required to understand airborne infectious diseases such as COVID-19, have been proposed independently from each other, at different scales, and by researchers from…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-09-07 Fatih Gulec , Baris Atakan , Falko Dressler

We propose a new model that describes the dynamics of epidemic spreading on connected graphs. Our model consists in a PDE-ODE system where at each vertex of the graph we have a standard SIR model and connexions between vertices are given by…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-11-25 Christophe Besse , Grégory Faye

Investigations on airborne transmission of pathogens constitute a rapidly expanding field, primarily focused on understanding the expulsion patterns of respiratory particulates from infected hosts and their dispersion in confined spaces.…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-03-08 Saikat Basu , Abir Malakar , Mohammad Mehedi Hasan Akash

The outbreak of COVID-19 in 2020 has led to a surge in the interest in the mathematical modeling of infectious diseases. Disease transmission may be modeled as compartmental models, in which the population under study is divided into…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-10-27 Malú Grave , Alvaro L. G. A. Coutinho

We present an epidemiological model for vector-borne diseases that includes within-host viral load and antibody dynamics using structured transport equations. By incorporating the internal dynamics into the infected and recovered host…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2026-05-26 Paulo Amorim , Maria Soledad Aronna , Debora de Oliveira Medeiros

The spread of infectious disease and the evolution of antigenically distinct strains are often modeled separately, despite strong feedbacks mediated by host immune memory and heterogeneous contacts. To tackle this challenging problem, we…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-04-01 Davide Zanchetta , Vittoria Bettio , Sandro Azaele , Manlio De Domenico

Infectious disease spread is a multi-scale process composed of within-host (biological) and between-host (social) drivers and disentangling them from each other is a central challenge in epidemiology. Here, we introduce VIBES, a multi-scale…

Human mobility is a key factor in spatial disease dynamics and related phenomena. In computational models host mobility is typically modelled by diffusion in space or on metapolulation networks. Alternatively, an effective force of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-03-07 Vitaly Belik , Theo Geisel , Dirk Brockmann

This paper investigates the dynamics of infectious diseases with a non-exponentially distributed infectious period. This is achieved by considering a multi-stage infection model on networks. Using pairwise approximation with a standard…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-11-23 N. Sherborne , K. B. Blyuss , I. Z. Kiss

Navigation of microorganisms is controlled by internal processes ultimately sensitive to mechanical or chemical signaling encountered along the path. In many natural environments, such as porous soils or physiological ducts, motile species…

In this study, we develop and analyze a nested multi-scale model for COVID -19 disease that integrates within-host scale and between-host scale sub-models. First, the well-posedness of the multi-scale model is discussed, followed by the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-08-30 Bishal Chhetri , D. K. K Vamsi , Carani Sanjeevi

We introduce a flexible, scalable Bayesian inference framework for nonlinear dynamical systems characterised by distinct and hierarchical variability at the individual, group, and population levels. Our model class is a generalisation of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-03 Geoffrey Roeder , Paul K. Grant , Andrew Phillips , Neil Dalchau , Edward Meeds

Epidemic spreading of infectious diseases is ubiquitous and has often considerable impact on public health and economic wealth. The large variability in spatio-temporal patterns of epidemics prohibits simple interventions and demands for a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2010-11-25 Christel Kamp

We show that disease transmission models in a spatially heterogeneous environment can have a large number of coexisting endemic equilibria. A general compartmental model is considered to describe the spread of an infectious disease in a…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2014-04-01 Diána H. Knipl , Gergely Röst

The study of infectious disease propagation is essential for understanding and controlling epidemics. One of the most useful tools for gaining insights into the spread of infectious diseases is mathematical modelling. In terms of…

In the infectious disease literature, significant effort has been devoted to studying dynamics at a single scale. For example, compartmental models describing population-level dynamics are often formulated using differential equations. In…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-04-16 Yuan Yin , Jennifer A. Flegg , Mark B. Flegg

Disease outbreaks, such as those of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome in 2003 and the 2009 pandemic A(H1N1) influenza, have highlighted the potential for airborne transmission in indoor environments. Respirable pathogen-carrying droplets…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-01-10 M. Robinson , N. I. Stilianakis , Y. Drossinos

To be fully useful for public health practice, models for epidemic response must be able to do more than predict -- it is also important to incorporate the mechanisms underlying transmission dynamics to enable policymakers and practitioners…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-05-26 Jiale Tan , Marisa C. Eisenberg

Increasingly, experimentalists and modellers alike have come to recognise the important role of spatial structure in infection dynamics. Almost invariably, spatial computational models of viral infections - as with in vitro experimental…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-04-11 Thomas Williams , James M. McCaw , James M. Osborne