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We investigate the convergence to (quasi--)equilibrium of a density dependent Markov chain in~${\mathbb Z}^d$, whose drift satisfies a system of ordinary differential equations having an attractive fixed point. For a sequence of such…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-21 Andrew Barbour , Graham Brightwell , Malwina Luczak

Focusing on hybrid diffusion dynamics involving continuous dynamics as well as discrete events, this article investigates the explicit approximations for nonlinear switching diffusion systems modulated by a Markov chain. Different kinds of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-12-08 Hongfu Yang , Xiaoyue Li

In this paper, we provide strong $L_2$-rates of approximation of the integral-type functionals of Markov processes by integral sums. We improve the method developed in [2]. Under assumptions on the process formulated only in terms of its…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-13 Iurii Ganychenko

Many probabilistic inference problems such as stochastic filtering or the computation of rare event probabilities require model analysis under initial and terminal constraints. We propose a solution to this bridging problem for the widely…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-05-28 Michael Backenköhler , Luca Bortolussi , Gerrit Großmann , Verena Wolf

The challenging problem of conducting fully Bayesian inference for the reaction rate constants governing stochastic kinetic models (SKMs) is considered. Given the challenges underlying this problem, the Markov jump process representation is…

Computation · Statistics 2019-01-10 Andrew Golightly , Emma Bradley , Tom Lowe , Colin S. Gillespie

Markov jump processes (or continuous-time Markov chains) are a simple and important class of continuous-time dynamical systems. In this paper, we tackle the problem of simulating from the posterior distribution over paths in these models,…

Computation · Statistics 2013-10-21 Vinayak Rao , Yee Whye Teh

The Kramers-Moyal analysis is a well established approach to analyze stochastic time series from complex systems. If the sampling interval of a measured time series is too low, systematic errors occur in the analysis results. These errors…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-08-06 Christoph Honisch , Rudolf Friedrich , Florian Hörner , Cornelia Denz

We propose to describe the time evolution of quasi-stationary fluctuations near QCD critical point by a system of stochastic Boltzmann-Langevin-Vlasov-type equations. We derive the equations and study the system analytically in the…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2014-11-20 M. A. Stephanov

We establish a recursive representation that fully decouples jumps from a large class of multivariate inhomogeneous stochastic differential equations with jumps of general time-state dependent unbounded intensity, not of L\'evy-driven type…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-04 Qinjing Qiu , Reiichiro Kawai

Motivated by reduction of computational complexity, this work develops sign-error adaptive filtering algorithms for estimating time-varying system parameters. Different from the previous work on sign-error algorithms, the parameters are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-11-17 Araz Hashemi , G. Yin , Le Yi Wang

We consider the task of generating discrete-time realisations of a nonlinear multivariate diffusion process satisfying an It\^o stochastic differential equation conditional on an observation taken at a fixed future time-point. Such…

Computation · Statistics 2016-04-26 Gavin A. Whitaker , Andrew Golightly , Richard J. Boys , Chris Sherlock

Discrete diffusion models, like continuous diffusion models, generate high-quality samples by gradually undoing noise applied to datapoints with a Markov process. Gradual generation in theory comes with many conceptual benefits; for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Alan N. Amin , Nate Gruver , Andrew Gordon Wilson

We consider the diffusive limit of a typical pure-jump Markovian control problem as the intensity of the driving Poisson process tends to infinity. We show that the convergence speed is provided by the H\"older constant of the Hessian of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-08-19 Marc Abeille , Bruno Bouchard , Lorenzo Croissant

Diffusion approximation provides weak approximation for stochastic gradient descent algorithms in a finite time horizon. In this paper, we introduce new tools motivated by the backward error analysis of numerical stochastic differential…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-05 Yuanyuan Feng , Tingran Gao , Lei Li , Jian-Guo Liu , Yulong Lu

Markov jump processes are continuous-time stochastic processes which describe dynamical systems evolving in discrete state spaces. These processes find wide application in the natural sciences and machine learning, but their inference is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-05 David Berghaus , Kostadin Cvejoski , Patrick Seifner , Cesar Ojeda , Ramses J. Sanchez

We derive fluctuation-response inequalities for Markov jump processes that link the fluctuations of general observables to the response to perturbations in the transition rates within a unified framework. These inequalities are derived…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-11-14 Euijoon Kwon , Hyun-Myung Chun , Hyunggyu Park , Jae Sung Lee

We propose a method for approximating the large deviation rate function of time-integrated observables of diffusion processes, used in statistical physics to characterize the fluctuations of nonequilibrium systems. The method is based on…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-01-15 Pelerine Tsobgni Nyawo , Hugo Touchette

In classical Markov jump processes, current fluctuations can only be reduced at the cost of increased dissipation. To explore how quantum effects influence this trade-off, we analyze the uncertainty of steady-state currents in Markovian…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-07-09 Paul Menczel , Eetu Loisa , Kay Brandner , Christian Flindt

We study the contribution of advection by thermal velocity fluctuations to the effective diffusion coefficient in a mixture of two identical fluids. The steady-state diffusive flux in a finite system subject to a concentration gradient is…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2015-05-27 A. Donev , A. de la Fuente , J. B. Bell , A. L. Garcia

In the context of nonparametric Bayesian estimation a Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm is devised and implemented to sample from the posterior distribution of the drift function of a continuously or discretely observed one-dimensional…

Computation · Statistics 2017-06-08 Frank van der Meulen , Moritz Schauer , Harry van Zanten
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