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We propose a discrete time discrete space Markov chain approximation with a Brownian bridge correction for computing curvilinear boundary crossing probabilities of a general diffusion process on a finite time interval. For broad classes of…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-13 Vincent Liang , Konstantin Borovkov

We investigate the increase in efficiency of simulated and parallel tempering MCMC algorithms when using non-reversible updates to give them "momentum". By making a connection to a certain simple discrete Markov chain, we show that, under…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-29 Gareth O. Roberts , Jeffrey S. Rosenthal

This paper addresses distributed parameter estimation in stochastic dynamic systems with quantized measurements, constrained by quantized communication and Markovian switching directed topologies. To enable accurate recovery of the original…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-18 Ying Wang , Jian Guo , Yanlong Zhao , Ji-feng Zhang

The objective of this paper is to study the filtering problem for a system of partially observable processes $(X, Y)$, where $X$ is a non-Markovian pure-jump process representing the signal and $Y$ is a general jump-diffusion which provides…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-02 Elena Bandini , Alessandro Calvia , Katia Colaneri

Controlling dynamical fluctuations in open quantum systems is essential both for our comprehension of quantum nonequilibrium behaviour and for its possible application in near-term quantum technologies. However, understanding these…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-10-07 Federico Carollo , Carlos Pérez-Espigares

This paper considers approximate smoothing for discretely observed non-linear stochastic differential equations. The problem is tackled by developing methods for linearising stochastic differential equations with respect to an arbitrary…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-21 Filip Tronarp , Simo Särkkä

Bisimulation metrics are powerful tools for measuring similarities between stochastic processes, and specifically Markov chains. Recent advances have uncovered that bisimulation metrics are, in fact, optimal-transport distances, which has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-26 Sergio Calo , Anders Jonsson , Gergely Neu , Ludovic Schwartz , Javier Segovia-Aguas

We study a diffusion approximation for a model of stochastic motion of a particle in one spatial dimension. The velocity of the particle is constant but the direction of the motion undergoes random changes with a Poisson clock. Moreover,…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2022-04-21 Adam Bobrowski , Tomasz Komorowski

We study a Markov process with two components: the first component evolves according to one of finitely many underlying Markovian dynamics, with a choice of dynamics that changes at the jump times of the second component. The second…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-14 Bertrand Cloez , Martin Hairer

We present an approximate analytical expression for the escape rate of time-dependent driven stochastic processes with an absorbing boundary such as the driven leaky integrate-and-fire model for neural spiking. The novel approximation is…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Michael Schindler , Peter Talkner , Peter Hänggi

We consider the class of Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes (PDMP), whose state space is $\R\_{+}^{*}$, that possess an increasing deterministic motion and that shrink deterministically when they jump. Well known examples for this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-12 Nathalie Krell

The recently developed short-time linear response algorithm, which predicts the average response of a nonlinear chaotic system with forcing and dissipation to small external perturbation, generally yields high precision of the response…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-04-08 Rafail V. Abramov

This paper introduces Discrete Markov Probabilistic Models (DMPMs), a novel discrete diffusion algorithm for discrete data generation. The algorithm operates in discrete bit space, where the noising process is a continuous-time Markov chain…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-09 Le-Tuyet-Nhi Pham , Dario Shariatian , Antonio Ocello , Giovanni Conforti , Alain Durmus

We present a highly efficient proximal Markov chain Monte Carlo methodology to perform Bayesian computation in imaging problems. Similarly to previous proximal Monte Carlo approaches, the proposed method is derived from an approximation of…

Computation · Statistics 2020-03-20 Luis Vargas , Marcelo Pereyra , Konstantinos C. Zygalakis

In this paper, we consider queueing systems where the dynamics are non-stationary and state-dependent. For performance analysis of these systems, fluid and diffusion models have been typically used. Although they are proven to be…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-08 Young Myoung Ko , Natarajan Gautam

In this paper, we study the diffusion approximation for singularly perturbed stochastic reaction-diffusion equation with a fast oscillating term. The asymptotic limit for the original system is obtained, where an extra Gaussian term…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-08 Longjie Xie , Li Yang

Fluid approximations have seen great success in approximating the macro-scale behaviour of Markov systems with a large number of discrete states. However, these methods rely on the continuous-time Markov chain (CTMC) having a particular…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-10-29 Michalis Michaelides , Jane Hillston , Guido Sanguinetti

We introduce the bivariate jump-diffusion process, comprising two-dimensional diffusion and two-dimensional jumps, that can be coupled to one another. We present a data-driven, non-parametric estimation procedure of higher-order (up to 8)…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2019-12-25 Leonardo Rydin Gorjão , Jan Heysel , Klaus Lehnertz , M. Reza Rahimi Tabar

Time estimation is a fundamental task that underpins precision measurement, global navigation systems, financial markets, and the organisation of everyday life. Many biological processes also depend on time estimation by nanoscale clocks,…

We study a mutliscale jump process introduced in a work by Crudu, Debussche, Muller and Radulescu. Using an adequate coupling, we are able to prove the strong convergence, for the uniform topology, to a piecewise deterministic Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-03 Baptiste Nicolas Huguet
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