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Recently a likelihood-based methodology has been developed by the Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP) with a view to testing and ranking seismicity models. We analyze this approach from the standpoint of possible…

Geophysics · Physics 2011-08-19 George Molchan

We present the first method for assessing the relevance of a model-based clustering result in a general framework. Standard validation criteria, like the adjusted Rand index, rely on external labels to assess partition accuracy;…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-30 Salima El Kolei , Matthieu Marbac

This paper studies estimation of and inference on a distribution function $F$ that is concave on the nonnegative half line and admits a density function $f$ with potentially unbounded support. When $F$ is strictly concave, we show that the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-12 Zheng Fang

We develop a new technique for proving distribution testing lower bounds for properties defined by inequalities involving the bin probabilities of the distribution in question. Using this technique we obtain new lower bounds for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-02 Yuqian Cheng , Daniel M. Kane , Zhicheng Zheng

We revisit the outlier hypothesis testing framework of Li \emph{et al.} (TIT 2014) and derive fundamental limits for the optimal test under the generalized Neyman-Pearson criterion. In outlier hypothesis testing, one is given multiple…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-02-15 Lin Zhou , Yun Wei , Alfred Hero

In numerous instances, the generalized exponential distribution can be used as an alternative to the most widely used non-regular family of distributions: Weibull, gamma, lognormal with three-parameters when analyzing lifetime or any skewed…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-03 Kiran Prajapat , Sharmishtha Mitra , Debasis Kundu

The marginal likelihood or evidence in Bayesian statistics contains an intrinsic penalty for larger model sizes and is a fundamental quantity in Bayesian model comparison. Over the past two decades, there has been steadily increasing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-08-12 Anirban Bhattacharya , Debdeep Pati , Sean Plummer

Earthquakes cause lasting changes in static equilibrium, resulting in global deformation fields that can be observed. Consequently, deformation measurements such as those provided by satellite based InSAR monitoring can be used to infer an…

Geophysics · Physics 2022-06-01 G. J. van Zwieten , E. H. van Brummelen , R. F. Hanssen

When building a geometric scene understanding system for autonomous vehicles, it is crucial to know when the system might fail. Most contemporary approaches cast the problem as depth regression, whose output is a depth value for each pixel.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-12-16 Gengshan Yang , Peiyun Hu , Deva Ramanan

Closed-form expressions for the ringdown complex amplitudes of nonspinning unequal-mass binaries in arbitrarily eccentric orbits are presented. They are built upon 237 numerical simulations contained within the RIT catalog, through the…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2024-10-22 Gregorio Carullo

Application of the exact statistical inference frequently leads to a non-standard probability distributions of the considered estimators or test statistics. The exact distributions of many estimators and test statistics can be specified by…

Computation · Statistics 2018-01-09 Viktor Witkovský

Motivation: Illumina BeadArray technology includes negative control features that allow a precise estimation of the background noise. As an alternative to the background subtraction proposed in BeadStudio which leads to an important loss of…

Applications · Statistics 2012-09-19 Sandra Plancade , Yves Rozenholc , Eiliv Lund

Finite mixtures of multivariate normal distributions have been widely used in empirical applications in diverse fields such as statistical genetics and statistical finance. Testing the number of components in multivariate normal mixture…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-11 Hiroyuki Kasahara , Katsumi Shimotsu

Models for forecasting earthquakes are currently tested prospectively in well-organized testing centers, using data collected after the models and their parameters are completely specified. The extent to which these models agree with the…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-12-23 Andrew Bray , Frederic Paik Schoenberg

Two recently introduced model based bias corrected estimators for proportion of true null hypotheses ($\pi_0$) under multiple hypotheses testing scenario have been restructured for exponentially distributed random observations available for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-28 Aniket Biswas , Gaurangadeb Chattopadhyay , Aditya Chatterjee

We propose a Bayesian test of normality for univariate or multivariate data against alternative nonparametric models characterized by Dirichlet process mixture distributions. The alternative models are based on the principles of embedding…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-12 Surya T. Tokdar , Ryan Martin

Modern machine learning embeddings provide powerful compression of high-dimensional data, yet they typically destroy the geometric structure required for classical likelihood-based statistical inference. This paper develops a rigorous…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-30 Deniz Akdemir

The property of perfectness plays an important role in the theory of Bayesian networks. First, the existence of perfect distributions for arbitrary sets of variables and directed acyclic graphs implies that various methods for reading…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-12-12 Christopher Meek , David Maxwell Chickering

The construction of a well tuned probability distributions is illustrated in synthetic way, these probability distributions produce faithful realizations of the impact point distributions for particles in silicon strip detector. Their use…

Instrumentation and Detectors · Physics 2016-05-17 Gregorio Landi , Giovanni E. Landi

There are many application papers that solve elliptic boundary value problems by meshless methods, and they use various forms of generalized stiffness matrices that approximate derivatives of functions from values at scattered nodes…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-12-23 Robert Schaback