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We propose a method to improve the efficiency and accuracy of amortized Bayesian inference by leveraging universal symmetries in the joint probabilistic model of parameters and data. In a nutshell, we invert Bayes' theorem and estimate the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-24 Marvin Schmitt , Desi R. Ivanova , Daniel Habermann , Ullrich Köthe , Paul-Christian Bürkner , Stefan T. Radev

The realistic probability distributions of a previous article are applied to the reconstruction of tracks in constant magnetic field. The complete forms and their schematic approximations produce excellent momentum estimations, drastically…

Instrumentation and Detectors · Physics 2016-06-10 Gregorio Landi , Giovanni E. Landi

A new tool is proposed for finding out the completeness limit in apparent magnitude of a magnitude-redshift sample. The technique, closely related to the statistical test proposed by Efron & Petrosian (1992), presents a real improvement…

Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-24 Stephane Rauzy

Diffusion maps is a manifold learning algorithm widely used for dimensionality reduction. Using a sample from a distribution, it approximates the eigenvalues and eigenfunctions of associated Laplace-Beltrami operators. Theoretical bounds on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-09 Caroline L. Wormell , Sebastian Reich

Event counts are a powerful diagnostic for earthquake analysis. We report on a bimodal distribution of earthquake event counts in the U.S. since 2013. The new peak is about a magnitude M1 with a distribution very similar to that of induced…

Mixture modelling using elliptical distributions promises enhanced robustness, flexibility and stability over the widely employed Gaussian mixture model (GMM). However, existing studies based on the elliptical mixture model (EMM) are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-30 Shengxi Li , Zeyang Yu , Danilo Mandic

Given a random sample from a distribution with density function that depends on an unknown parameter $\theta$, we are interested in accurately estimating the true parametric density function at a future observation from the same…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Mihaela Aslan

The NBSS (normalized biomass size spectrum) is a common, intuitive approach for the study of natural ecosystems. However, very few studies have been dedicated to verifying possible flaws and paradoxes in this widely used method. Evident…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2026-03-26 Ralf Schwamborn

The density estimation is one of the core problems in statistics. Despite this, existing techniques like maximum likelihood estimation are computationally inefficient due to the intractability of the normalizing constant. For this reason an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-14 Tsimboy Olga , Yermek Kapushev , Evgeny Burnaev , Ivan Oseledets

For a general class of gas models ---which includes discrete and continuous Gibbsian models as well as contour or polymer ensembles--- we determine a \emph{diluteness condition} that implies: (1) Uniqueness of the infinite-volume…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2016-10-07 Roberto Fernández , Pablo Groisman , Santiago Saglietti

We propose a new omnibus goodness-of-fit test based on trigonometric moments of probability-integral-transformed data. The test builds on the framework of the LK test introduced by Langholz and Kronmal [J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 86 (1991),…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-31 Alain Desgagné , Frédéric Ouimet

Pair-instability supernovae leave behind no compact remnants, resulting in a predicted gap in the distribution of stellar black-hole masses. Gravitational waves from binary black-hole mergers probe the relevant mass range and analyses of…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2026-05-12 Matthew Mould , Jack Heinzel , Sofia Alvarez-Lopez , Cailin Plunkett , Noah E. Wolfe , Salvatore Vitale

We have extended and improved the statistical test recently developed by Rauzy for assessing the completeness in apparent magnitude of magnitude-redshift surveys. Our improved test statistic retains the robust properties -- specifically…

Astrophysics · Physics 2008-11-26 Russell Johnston , Luis Teodoro , Martin Hendry

Linear regression with the classical normality assumption for the error distribution may lead to an undesirable posterior inference of regression coefficients due to the potential outliers. This paper considers the finite mixture of two…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-12 Yasuyuki Hamura , Kaoru Irie , Shonosuke Sugasawa

The center of gravity is one of the most frequently used algorithm for position reconstruction with different analytical forms for the noise optimization. The error distributions of the different forms are essential instruments to improve…

Instrumentation and Detectors · Physics 2020-12-01 Gregorio Landi , Giovanni E. Landi

We study the reknown deconvolution problem of recovering a distribution function from independent replicates (signal) additively contaminated with random errors (noise), whose distribution is known. We investigate whether a Bayesian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-15 Judith Rousseau , Catia Scricciolo

Accurate modeling of gravitational-wave signals is essential for reliable inference of compact-binary source parameters, particularly for future space-based detectors operating in the milli- and deci-Hertz bands. In this work, we…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2026-01-13 Jin-Zhao Yang , Jia-Hao Zhong , Tao Yang

In randomised trials, continuous endpoints are often measured with some degree of error. This study explores the impact of ignoring measurement error, and proposes methods to improve statistical inference in the presence of measurement…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-30 Linda Nab , Rolf H. H. Groenwold , Paco M. J. Welsing , Maarten van Smeden

Seismicity and faulting within the Earth crust are characterized by many scaling laws that are usually interpreted as qualifying the existence of underlying physical mechanisms associated with some kind of criticality in the sense of phase…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-03-31 Shyam Nandan , Sumit Kumar Ram , Guy Ouillon , Didier Sornette

In an idealistic setting, quantum metrology protocols allow to sense physical parameters with mean squared error that scales as $1/N^2$ with the number of particles involved---substantially surpassing the $1/N$-scaling characteristic to…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-01-05 Jan Kolodynski
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