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We study the large deviations for Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (CIR) processes with small noise and state-dependent fast switching via associated Hamilton-Jacobi equations. As the separation of time scales, when the noise goes to $0$ and the rate of…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-25 Yanyan Hu , Richard C. Kraaij , Fubao Xi

In this paper, we consider a stochastic model based on the Cox- Ingersoll- Ross model (CIR). The stochastic model is parameterized analytically by applying It\^o's calculus and the trend functions of the proposed process is calculated. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-30 Nafidi Ahmed , El Azri Abdenbi

We consider the adaptive test for the parameter change in discretely observed ergodic diffusion processes based on the cusum test. Using two test statistics based on the two quasi-log likelihood functions of the diffusion parameter and the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-30 Yozo Tonaki , Yusuke Kaino , Masayuki Uchida

The present paper investigates Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (CIR) processes of dimension less than 1, with a focus on obtaining an equation of a new type including local times for the square root of the CIR process. We utilize the fact that…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-24 Yuliya Mishura , Andrey Pilipenko , Anton Yurchenko-Tytarenko

The main result of this paper is a functional limit theorem for the sine-process. In particular, we study the limit distribution, in the space of trajectories, for the number of particles in a growing interval. The sine-process has the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-01-12 Alexander I. Bufetov , Andrey V. Dymov

We introduce and study the class of linear transfers between probability distributions and the dual class of Kantorovich operators between function spaces. Linear transfers can be seen as an extension of convex lower semi-continuous…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2019-06-25 Malcolm Bowles , Nassif Ghoussoub

This research presents a comprehensive framework for transitioning financial diffusion models from the risk-neutral (RN) measure to the real-world (RW) measure, leveraging results from probability theory, specifically Girsanov's theorem.…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-20 Mohamed Ben Alaya , Ahmed Kebaier , Djibril Sarr

Regime-switching processes contain two components: continuous component and discrete component, which can be used to describe a continuous dynamical system in a random environment. Such processes have many different properties than general…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-10-26 Jinghai Shao

This work is denoted to studying the tail behavior of Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (CIR) processes with regime-switching. One essential difference shown in this work between CIR process with regime-switching and without regime-switching is that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-07 Tongtong Hou , Jinghai Shao

Diffusion models typically operate in the standard framework of generative modelling by producing continuously-valued datapoints. To this end, they rely on a progressive Gaussian smoothing of the original data distribution, which admits an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-27 Pierre H. Richemond , Sander Dieleman , Arnaud Doucet

We consider the quickest change-point detection problem where the aim is to detect the onset of a pre-specified drift in "live"-monitored standard Brownian motion; the change-point is assumed unknown (nonrandom). The topic of interest is…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-01-18 Aleksey S. Polunchenko , Grigory Sokolov

We employ techniques from optimal transport in order to prove decay of transfer operators associated to iterated functions systems and expanding maps, giving rise to a new proof without requiring a Doeblin-Fortet (or Lasota-Yorke)…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-08-25 Benoit Kloeckner , Artur Lopes , Manuel Stadlbauer

Change-of-measure is a powerful technique used across statistics, probability and analysis. Particularly known as Wald's likelihood ratio identity, the technique enabled the proof of a number of exact and asymptotic optimality results…

Computation · Statistics 2013-10-16 Aleksey S. Polunchenko , Grigory Sokolov , Wenyu Du

In this work we investigate the long-time behavior, that is the existence and characterization of invariant measures as well as convergence of transition probabilities, for Markov processes obtained as the unique mild solution to stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-17 Balint Fárkas , Martin Friesen , Barbara Rüdiger , Dennis Schroers

Obtaining coarse-grained models that accurately incorporate finite-size effects is an important open challenge in the study of complex, multi-scale systems. We apply Langevin regression, a recently developed method for finding stochastic…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2021-10-12 Jordan Snyder , Jared L. Callaham , Steven L. Brunton , J. Nathan Kutz

In this paper, we are concerned with long-time behavior of Euler-Maruyama schemes associated with a range of regime-switching diffusion processes. The key contributions of this paper lie in that existence and uniqueness of numerical…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-24 Jianhai Bao , Jinghai Shao , Chenggui Yuan

We discuss a Markov jump process regarded as a variant of the CIR (Cox-Ingersoll-Ross) model and its infinite-dimensional extension. These models belong to a class of measure-valued branching processes with immigration, whose jump…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-18 Kenji Handa

In this article, we consider McKean stochastic differential equations, as well as their corresponding McKean-Vlasov partial differential equations, which admit a unique stationary state, and we study the linearized It\^o diffusion process…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-05 Grigorios A. Pavliotis , Andrea Zanoni

Graphical continuous Lyapunov models offer a new perspective on modeling causally interpretable dependence structure in multivariate data by treating each independent observation as a one-time cross-sectional snapshot of a temporal process.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-16 Philipp Dettling , Mathias Drton , Mladen Kolar

Regime switching processes have proved to be indispensable in the modeling of various phenomena, allowing model parameters that traditionally were considered to be constant to fluctuate in a Markovian manner in line with empirical findings.…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-03 Filip Lindskog , Abhishek Pal Majumder