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Parameter inference is a fundamental problem in data-driven modeling. Given observed data that is believed to be a realization of some parameterized model, the aim is to find parameter values that are able to explain the observed data. In…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2016-04-20 Carlo Albert , Simone Ulzega , Ruedi Stoop

Vessel trajectory prediction is a critical component for ensuring maritime traffic safety and avoiding collisions. Due to the inherent uncertainty in vessel behavior, trajectory prediction systems must adopt a multimodal approach to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-03-12 Jin Wenzhe , Tang Haina , Zhang Xudong

We introduce a scheme for deriving an optimally-parametrised Langevin dynamics of few collective variables from data generated in molecular dynamics simulations. The drift and the position-dependent diffusion profiles governing the Langevin…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-08-22 Cristian Micheletti , Giovanni Bussi , Alessandro Laio

The influence of rough surfaces on fluid flow is characterized by the downward shift in the logarithmic layer of velocity and temperature profiles, namely the velocity roughness function $\Delta U^+$ and the corresponding temperature…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-02-20 Simon Dalpke , Jiasheng Yang , Pourya Forooghi , Bettina Frohnapfel , Alexander Stroh

This paper describes a method for deriving approximate equations for irrotational water waves. The method is based on a 'relaxed' variational principle, i.e., on a Lagrangian involving as many variables as possible. This formulation is…

Classical Physics · Physics 2020-02-20 Didier Clamond , Denys Dutykh

Guided wave-based techniques have been used extensively in Structural Health Monitoring (SHM). Models using guided waves can provide information from both time and frequency domains to make themselves accurate and robust. Probabilistic SHM…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-06 Yiming Fan , Fotis Kopsaftopoulos

We consider stochastic programs conditional on some covariate information, where the only knowledge of the possible relationship between the uncertain parameters and the covariates is reduced to a finite data sample of their joint…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-11-23 Adrián Esteban-Pérez , Juan M. Morales

Maritime vessel maneuvers, characterized by their inherent complexity and indeterminacy, requires vessel trajectory prediction system capable of modeling the multi-modality nature of future motion states. Conventional stochastic trajectory…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-10-15 Changlin Li , Yanglei Gan , Tian Lan , Yuxiang Cai , Xueyi Liu , Run Lin , Qiao Liu

Risk assessment in casualty insurance, such as flood risk, traditionally relies on extreme-value methods that emphasizes rare events. These approaches are well-suited for characterizing tail risk, but do not capture the broader dynamics of…

Applications · Statistics 2025-10-22 Samuel Perreault , Silvana M. Pesenti , Daniyal Shahzad

Degradation data are essential for determining the reliability of high-end products and systems, especially when covering multiple degradation characteristics (DCs). Modern degradation studies not only measure these characteristics but also…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-09 Zhengzhi Lin , Xiao Liu , Yisha Xiang , Yili Hong

We introduce a data-driven approach to the modelling and analysis of viscous fluid mechanics. Instead of including constitutive laws for the fluid's viscosity in the mathematical model, we suggest to directly use experimental data. Only a…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2023-04-19 Christina Lienstromberg , Stefan Schiffer , Richard Schubert

Granular dynamics driven by fluid flow is ubiquitous in many industrial and natural processes, such as fluvial and coastal sediment transport. Yet, their complex multiphysics nature challenges the accuracy and efficiency of numerical…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-01-08 Mojtaba Jandaghian , Ahmad Shakibaeinia

A method is developed to estimate the properties of a global hydrodynamic instability in turbulent flows from measurement data of the limit-cycle oscillations. For this purpose, the flow dynamics are separated in deterministic contributions…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-04-21 Moritz Sieber , C. Oliver Paschereit , Kilian Oberleithner

Longitudinal Dispersion(LD) is the dominant process of scalar transport in natural streams. An accurate prediction on LD coefficient(Dl) can produce a performance leap in related simulation. The emerging machine learning(ML) techniques…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-07-28 Yifeng Zhao , Pei Zhang , S. A. Galindo-Torres , Stan Z. Li

Stochastic vegetation-water dynamical systems play a pivotal role in ecological stability, biodiversity, water resource management, and adaptation to climate change. This research proposes a machine learning-based method for analyzing rare…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-02-29 Yang Li , Shenglan Yuan , Shengyuan Xu

The dynamics of Lagrangian particles in turbulence play a crucial role in mixing, transport, and dispersion in complex flows. Their trajectories exhibit highly non-trivial statistical behavior, motivating the development of surrogate models…

Reconstructions of Lagrangian drift, for example for objects lost at sea, are often uncertain due to unresolved physical phenomena within the data. Uncertainty is usually overcome by introducing stochasticity into the drift, but this…

Score-based diffusion models currently constitute the state of the art in continuous generative modeling. These methods are typically formulated via overdamped or underdamped Ornstein--Uhlenbeck-type stochastic differential equations, in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-22 Herlock Rahimi

Stochastic processes generated by non-stationary distributions are difficult to represent with conventional models such as Gaussian processes. This work presents Recurrent Autoregressive Flows as a method toward general stochastic process…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-20 John Mern , Peter Morales , Mykel J. Kochenderfer

Thermodynamics with internal variables is a common approach in continuum mechanics to model inelastic (i.e., non-equilibrium) material behavior. While this approach is computationally and theoretically attractive, it currently lacks a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-01-31 Weilun Qiu , Shenglin Huang , Celia Reina