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We discuss Bayesian model uncertainty analysis and forecasting in sequential dynamic modeling of multivariate time series. The perspective is that of a decision-maker with a specific forecasting objective that guides thinking about relevant…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-07 Isaac Lavine , Michael Lindon , Mike West

The booming air transportation industry inevitably burdens air traffic controllers' workload, causing unexpected human factor-related incidents. Current air traffic control systems fail to consider spoken instructions for traffic…

Sound · Computer Science 2024-10-21 Dongyue Guo , Zheng Zhang , Bo Yang , Jianwei Zhang , Hongyu Yang , Yi Lin

This study examines the predictability of artificial intelligence (AI) models for weather prediction. Using a simple deep-learning architecture based on convolutional long short-term memory and the ERA5 data for training, we show that…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-10-07 Chanh Kieu

Designing effective Unmanned Aerial Vehicle(UAV)-assisted routing protocols is challenging due to changing topology, limited battery capacity, and the dynamic nature of communication environments. Current protocols prioritize optimizing…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2024-08-20 N P Sharvari , Dibakar Das , Jyotsna Bapat , Debabrata Das

Time Series Forecasting is at the core of many practical applications such as sales forecasting for business, rainfall forecasting for agriculture and many others. Though this problem has been extensively studied for years, it is still…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-23 Anirban Chatterjee , Subhadip Paul , Uddipto Dutta , Smaranya Dey

This work contributes to the development of neural forecasting models with novel randomization-based learning methods. These methods improve the fitting abilities of the neural model, in comparison to the standard method, by generating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-06 Grzegorz Dudek

Time series forecasting has become an increasingly popular research area due to its critical applications in various real-world domains such as traffic management, weather prediction, and financial analysis. Despite significant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-22 Ninghui Feng , Songning Lai , Jiayu Yang , Fobao Zhou , Zhenxiao Yin , Hang Zhao

Accurate forecasting of multivariate time series remains challenging due to the need to capture both short-term fluctuations and long-range temporal dependencies. Transformer-based models have emerged as a powerful approach, but their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-26 Aymane Harkati , Moncef Garouani , Olivier Teste , Julien Aligon , Mohamed Hamlich

Diffusion models achieve remarkable success in processing images and text, and have been extended to special domains such as time series forecasting (TSF). Existing diffusion-based approaches for TSF primarily focus on modeling…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-04-29 Chen Su , Yuanhe Tian , Yan Song

In cloud manufacturing, unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) can support both product collection and mobile edge computing (MEC). This joint operation forms a hybrid scheduling problem, where physical logistics decisions are coupled with…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Hanwen Zhang , Dusit Niyato , Wei Zhang , Xin Lou , Malcolm Yoke Hean Low

Aerial robots are increasingly being utilized for environmental monitoring and exploration. However, a key challenge is efficiently planning paths to maximize the information value of acquired data as an initially unknown environment is…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-03-04 Julius Rückin , Liren Jin , Marija Popović

Robots are frequently tasked to gather relevant sensor data in unknown terrains. A key challenge for classical path planning algorithms used for autonomous information gathering is adaptively replanning paths online as the terrain is…

As distributed artificial intelligence (AI) and multi-agent architectures grow increasingly complex, the need for adaptive, context-aware routing becomes paramount. This paper introduces an enhanced, adaptive routing algorithm tailored for…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2025-03-12 Theodor Panayotov , Ivo Emanuilov

In this paper we investigate forecasting coevolving time series that feature intricate dependencies and nonstationary dynamics by using an LLM Large Language Models approach We propose a novel modeling approach named ContextAware ARLLM…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Etienne Tajeuna , Patrick Asante Owusu , Armelle Brun , Shengrui Wang

Many applications in different domains produce large amount of time series data. Making accurate forecasting is critical for many decision makers. Various time series forecasting methods exist which use linear and nonlinear models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-19 Ümit Çavuş Büyükşahin , Şeyda Ertekin

Time series forecasting in the air cargo industry presents unique challenges due to volatile market dynamics and the significant impact of accurate forecasts on generated revenue. This paper explores a comprehensive approach to demand…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-15 Abhinav Garg , Naman Shukla , Maarten Wormer

Conventional time-series forecasting methods typically aim to minimize overall prediction error, without accounting for the varying importance of different forecast ranges in downstream applications. We propose a training methodology that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-15 Luca-Andrei Fechete , Mohamed Sana , Fadhel Ayed , Nicola Piovesan , Wenjie Li , Antonio De Domenico , Tareq Si Salem

In nonlinear dynamical systems, tipping refers to a critical transition from one steady state to another, typically catastrophic, steady state, often resulting from a saddle-node bifurcation. Recently, the machine-learning framework of…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-04-09 Smita Deb , Zheng-Meng Zhai , Mulugeta Haile , Ying-Cheng Lai

Time Series Analysis is widely used in various real-world applications such as weather forecasting, financial fraud detection, imputation for missing data in IoT systems, and classification for action recognization. Mixture-of-Experts…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Xingjian Wu , Zhengyu Li , Hanyin Cheng , Xiangfei Qiu , Jilin Hu , Chenjuan Guo , Bin Yang

Tree-based models have been successfully applied to a wide variety of tasks, including time series forecasting. They are increasingly in demand and widely accepted because of their comparatively high level of interpretability. However, many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-03 Matthias Jakobs , Amal Saadallah