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Envelope model also known as multivariate regression model was proposed to solve the multiple response regression problems. It measures the linear association between predictors and multiple responses by using the minimal reducing subspace…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-07 Bochao Jia

Genomic surveillance of infectious diseases allows monitoring circulating and emerging variants and quantifying their epidemic potential. However, due to the high costs associated with genomic sequencing, only a limited number of samples…

This study explores the vaccine prioritization strategy to reduce the overall burden of the pandemic when the supply is limited. Existing methods conduct macro-level or simplified micro-level vaccine distribution by assuming the homogeneous…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-05-10 Lu Ling , Washim Uddin Mondal , Satish V , Ukkusuri

We study the performance of shape-constrained methods for evaluating immune response profiles from early-phase vaccine trials. The motivating problem for this work involves quantifying and comparing the IgG binding immune responses to the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-01 Nilanjana Laha , Zoe Moodie , Ying Huang , Alex Luedtke

Inferring concerted changes among biological traits along an evolutionary history remains an important yet challenging problem. Besides adjusting for spurious correlation induced from the shared history, the task also requires sufficient…

In two harmonized efficacy studies to prevent HIV infection through multiple infusions of the monoclonal antibody VRC01, a key objective is to evaluate whether the serum concentration of VRC01, which changes cyclically over time along with…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-26 Yunda Huang , Yuanyuan Zhang , Zong Zhang , Peter B. Gilbert

We consider the optimal allocation of (perfect) vaccine in an heterogeneous SIS model. Using a coupling approach, we explain how different models for the heterogeneity of the population lead to the same Pareto frontier in the cost/loss…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-08 Jean-François Delmas , Dylan Dronnier , Pierre-André Zitt

Estimates of national immunization coverage are crucial for guiding policy and decision-making in national immunization programs and setting the global immunization agenda. WHO and UNICEF estimates of national immunization coverage (WUENIC)…

In this work we develop a stochastic model of acute HIV infection, based on the well-known standard model, that allows us to simulate the complex mutation pathways of HIV escape from multiple CTL responses. Under this model, we describe two…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-08-16 Sivan Leviyang

Tumor is heterogeneous - a tumor sample usually consists of a set of subclones with distinct transcriptional profiles and potentially different degrees of aggressiveness and responses to drugs. Understanding tumor heterogeneity is therefore…

Applications · Statistics 2017-02-28 Fangzheng Xie , Mingyuan Zhou , Yanxun Xu

Incorporating social factors into disease prevention and control efforts is an important undertaking of behavioral epidemiology. The interplay between disease transmission and human health behaviors, such as vaccine uptake, results in…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-02-16 Marzena Fügenschuh , Feng Fu

The rates of escape and reversion in response to selection pressure arising from the host immune system, notably the cytotoxic T-lymphocyte (CTL) response, are key factors determining the evolution of HIV. Existing methods for estimating…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-02-12 Duncan Palmer , John Frater , Rodney Philips , Angela McLean , Gil McVean

The detection of rare variants is important for understanding the genetic heterogeneity in mixed samples. Recently, next-generation sequencing (NGS) technologies have enabled the identification of single nucleotide variants (SNVs) in mixed…

Genomics · Quantitative Biology 2016-04-25 Fan Zhang , Patrick Flaherty

Conventional survival analysis approaches estimate risk scores or individualized time-to-event distributions conditioned on covariates. In practice, there is often great population-level phenotypic heterogeneity, resulting from (unknown)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-03 Paidamoyo Chapfuwa , Chunyuan Li , Nikhil Mehta , Lawrence Carin , Ricardo Henao

The COVID-19 pandemic demonstrated that fast and accurate analysis of continually collected infectious disease surveillance data is crucial for situational awareness and policy making. Coalescent-based phylodynamic analysis can use genetic…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-29 Catalina M. Medina , Julia A. Palacios , Volodymyr M. Minin

The human body is able to generate a diverse set of high affinity antibodies, the soluble form of B cell receptors (BCRs), that bind to and neutralize invading pathogens. The natural development of BCRs must be understood in order to design…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-09 Amrit Dhar , Duncan K. Ralph , Vladimir N. Minin , Frederick A. Matsen

With the continuous rise of the COVID-19 cases worldwide, it is imperative to ensure that all those vulnerable countries lacking vaccine resources can receive sufficient support to contain the risks. COVAX is such an initiative operated by…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2022-01-20 Navpreet Kaur , Jason Hughes , Juntao Chen

Suppose we have a Bayesian model which combines evidence from several different sources. We want to know which model parameters most affect the estimate or decision from the model, or which of the parameter uncertainties drive the decision…

Applications · Statistics 2021-11-25 Christopher Jackson , Anne Presanis , Stefano Conti , Daniela De Angelis

Motivation: HIV is difficult to treat because its virus mutates at a high rate and mutated viruses easily develop resistance to existing drugs. If the relationships between mutations and drug resistances can be determined from historical…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2019-07-08 Li Xing , Mary Lesperance , Xuekui Zhang

Incorporating vaccination into mathematical models appears deceptively simple: models integrate vaccine-derived protections, such as reduced susceptibility to infection, using parameters informed by empirical estimates of vaccine efficacy…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-19 Casey E. Middleton , Oliver Eales , James M. McCaw , Freya M. Shearer
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