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Inspired by contagion models of social belief formation, we develop an epistemically-informed modeling framework, SIS-Vo, in which vaccine-related information propagates on a signed opinion network. Our model allows for heterogeneous…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-05-22 Alessandro Casu , Camilla Quaresmini , Robin Delabays , Lewis Mitchell , Philip E. Paré

Interval-censored competing risks data arise when each study subject may experience an event or failure from one of several causes and the failure time is not observed exactly but rather known to lie in an interval between two successive…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-03-02 Lu Mao , D. Y. Lin , Donglin Zeng

HIV is a retrovirus that attacks the human immune system and can lead to death without proper treatment. In collaboration with the WHO and Wits University, we study how to improve the efficiency of HIV testing with the goal of eventual…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-01-26 Akseli Kangaslahti , Davin Choo , Lingkai Kong , Milind Tambe , Alastair van Heerden , Cheryl Johnson

Survival analysis is a challenging variation of regression modeling because of the presence of censoring, where the outcome measurement is only partially known, due to, for example, loss to follow up. Such problems come up frequently in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-28 Chirag Nagpal , Steve Yadlowsky , Negar Rostamzadeh , Katherine Heller

We develop semiparametric methods for estimating subgroup-specific relative vaccine efficacy against multiple viral strains in a partially vaccinated population. Focusing on observational case-only studies, we address informative…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-12 Lars van der Laan , Peter B. Gilbert

Mitigating entity bias is a critical challenge in Relation Extraction (RE), where models often rely excessively on entities, resulting in poor generalization. This paper presents a novel approach to address this issue by adapting a…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-06-16 Samuel Mensah , Elena Kochkina , Jabez Magomere , Joy Prakash Sain , Simerjot Kaur , Charese Smiley

Viral sequence classification is an important task in pathogen detection, epidemiological surveys and evolutionary studies. Statistical learning methods are widely used to classify and identify viral sequences in samples from environments.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-30 Amine M. Remita , Abdoulaye Baniré Diallo

The outbreak of mutant strains and vaccination behaviors have been the focus of recent epidemiological research, but most existing epidemic models failed to simultaneously capture viral mutation and consider the complexity and behavioral…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-16 Wenjie Zhang , Yusheng Li , Qin Li , Guojun Huang , Minyu Feng

In light of the continuing emergence of new SARS-CoV-2 variants and vaccines, we create a simulation framework for exploring possible infection trajectories under various scenarios. The situations of primary interest involve the interaction…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-01-10 Kory D. Johnson , Annemarie Grass , Daniel Toneian , Mathias Beiglböck , Jitka Polechová

For time-to-event data with finitely many competing risks, the proportional hazards model has been a popular tool for relating the cause-specific outcomes to covariates [Prentice et al. Biometrics 34 (1978) 541--554]. This article studies…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-03-04 Yanqing Sun , Peter B. Gilbert , Ian W. McKeague

Observational data are often used to estimate real-world effectiveness and durability of vaccines. A sequence of trials can be emulated to draw inference from such data while minimizing selection bias, immortal time bias, and confounding.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-03 Justin B. DeMonte , Bonnie E. Shook-Sa , Michael G. Hudgens

Studies of vaccine efficacy often record both the incidence of vaccine-targeted virus strains (primary outcome) and the incidence of non-targeted strains (secondary outcome). However, standard estimates of vaccine efficacy on targeted…

Applications · Statistics 2023-01-02 Lola Etievant , Joshua N. Sampson , Mitchell H. Gail

Applying a ML approach to the temporal variability of the Spike protein sequence enables us to identify, classify and track emerging virus variants. Our analysis is unbiased, in the sense that it does not require any prior knowledge of the…

Qatar has undergone distinct waves of COVID-19 infections, compounded by the emergence of variants, posing additional complexities. This research uniquely delves into the varied efficacy of existing vaccines and the pivotal role of…

Applications · Statistics 2023-12-29 Elizabeth Amona , Indranil Sahoo , Edward Boone , Ryad Ghanam

Assessing immune responses to study vaccines as surrogates of protection plays a central role in vaccine clinical trials. Motivated by three ongoing or pending HIV vaccine efficacy trials, we consider such surrogate endpoint assessment in a…

Applications · Statistics 2008-12-18 Li Qin , Peter B. Gilbert , Dean Follmann , Dongfeng Li

Biological sequence analysis is an essential step toward building a deeper understanding of the underlying functions, structures, and behaviors of the sequences. It can help in identifying the characteristics of the associated organisms,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-07 Taslim Murad , Sarwan Ali , Murray Patterson

Next-generation sequencing technologies have enhanced the scope of Internet-of-Things (IoT) to include genomics for personalized medicine through the increased availability of an abundance of genome data collected from heterogeneous sources…

Population heterogeneity, especially in individuals' contact networks, plays an important role in transmission dynamics of infectious diseases. For vaccine-preventable diseases, outstanding issues like vaccine hesitancy and availability of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-12-29 Alina Glaubitz , Feng Fu

Covariate adjustment is an approach to improve the precision of trial analyses by adjusting for baseline variables that are prognostic of the primary endpoint. Motivated by the SEARCH Universal HIV Test-and-Treat Trial (2013-2017), we tell…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-16 Laura B. Balzer , Mark J. van der Laan , Maya L. Petersen

Pathogen deep-sequencing is an increasingly routinely used technology in infectious disease surveillance. We present a semi-parametric Bayesian Poisson model to exploit these emerging data for inferring infectious disease transmission flows…

Applications · Statistics 2022-01-06 Xiaoyue Xi , Simon EF Spencer , Matthew Hall , M Kate Grabowski , Joseph Kagaayi , Oliver Ratmann