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AI-based systems, such as Google's GenCast, have recently redefined the state of the art in weather forecasting, offering more accurate and timely predictions of both everyday weather and extreme events. While these systems are on the verge…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2025-04-23 Erik Imgrund , Thorsten Eisenhofer , Konrad Rieck

This study examines the predictability of artificial intelligence (AI) models for weather prediction. Using a simple deep-learning architecture based on convolutional long short-term memory and the ERA5 data for training, we show that…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-10-07 Chanh Kieu

This work studies the threats of adversarial attack on multivariate probabilistic forecasting models and viable defense mechanisms. Our studies discover a new attack pattern that negatively impact the forecasting of a target time series via…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-17 Linbo Liu , Youngsuk Park , Trong Nghia Hoang , Hilaf Hasson , Jun Huan

Current adversarial attacks on motion estimation, or optical flow, optimize small per-pixel perturbations, which are unlikely to appear in the real world. In contrast, adverse weather conditions constitute a much more realistic threat…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-07-28 Jenny Schmalfuss , Lukas Mehl , Andrés Bruhn

One of the most important obligations of privacy-enhancing technologies is to bring confidentiality and privacy to users' browsing activities on the Internet. The website fingerprinting attack enables a local passive eavesdropper to predict…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2021-04-14 Amir Mahdi Sadeghzadeh , Behrad Tajali , Rasool Jalili

Forecasting irregular time series presents significant challenges due to two key issues: the vulnerability of models to mean regression, driven by the noisy and complex nature of the data, and the limitations of traditional error-based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-02 Heejeong Nam , Jihyun Kim , Jimin Yeom

Deep learning-based weather forecasting (DLWF) models have recently demonstrated significant performance gains over gold-standard physics-based simulation tools. However, these models are potentially vulnerable to adversarial attacks, which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Yue Deng , Asadullah Hill Galib , Xin Lan , Jack Gunn , Pang-Ning Tan , Lifeng Luo

Modern deep learning techniques, which mimic traditional numerical weather prediction (NWP) models and are derived from global atmospheric reanalysis data, have caused a significant revolution within a few years. In this new paradigm, our…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-02-14 Minjong Cheon , Daehyun Kang , Yo-Hwan Choi , Seon-Yu Kang

Predicting rare extreme events such as wildfires from meteorological data requires models that remain reliable under evolving environmental conditions. This problem is inherently long-tailed: wildfire events are rare but high-impact, while…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Enyi Jiang , Wu Sun

Trajectory prediction is essential for autonomous vehicles (AVs) to plan correct and safe driving behaviors. While many prior works aim to achieve higher prediction accuracy, few study the adversarial robustness of their methods. To bridge…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-20 Yulong Cao , Chaowei Xiao , Anima Anandkumar , Danfei Xu , Marco Pavone

Trajectory prediction is an integral component of modern autonomous systems as it allows for envisioning future intentions of nearby moving agents. Due to the lack of other agents' dynamics and control policies, deep neural network (DNN)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-09 Kaiyuan Tan , Jun Wang , Yiannis Kantaros

Machine learning based traffic forecasting models leverage sophisticated spatiotemporal auto-correlations to provide accurate predictions of city-wide traffic states. However, existing methods assume a reliable and unbiased forecasting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-07 Fan Liu , Hao Liu , Wenzhao Jiang

In this paper we investigate the usage of adversarial perturbations for the purpose of privacy from human perception and model (machine) based detection. We employ adversarial perturbations for obfuscating certain variables in raw data…

The forecast of electrical loads is essential for the planning and operation of the power system. Recently, advances in deep learning have enabled more accurate forecasts. However, deep neural networks are prone to adversarial attacks.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-06 Wangkun Xu , Fei Teng

Recently, Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) have achieved remarkable performances in many applications, while several studies have enhanced their vulnerabilities to malicious attacks. In this paper, we emulate the effects of natural weather…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-30 Alberto Marchisio , Giovanni Caramia , Maurizio Martina , Muhammad Shafique

Artificial Intelligence (AI) weather prediction (AIWP) models often produce ``blurry'' precipitation forecasts. This study presents a novel solution to tackle this problem -- integrating terrain-following coordinates into AIWP models.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-09-17 Yingkai Sha , John S. Schreck , William Chapman , David John Gagne

Small, carefully crafted perturbations called adversarial perturbations can easily fool neural networks. However, these perturbations are largely additive and not naturally found. We turn our attention to the field of Autonomous navigation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-18 Harshitha Machiraju , Vineeth N Balasubramanian

Adversarial examples are perturbed inputs which can cause a serious threat for machine learning models. Finding these perturbations is such a hard task that we can only use the iterative methods to traverse. For computational efficiency,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-06-11 Xiaofeng Mao , Yuefeng Chen , Yuhong Li , Yuan He , Hui Xue

Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) system is an infrastructure that exerts considerable impacts on modern society.Traditional NWP system, however, resolves it by solving complex partial differential equations with a huge computing cluster,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-09-26 Junchao Gong , Tao Han , Kang Chen , Lei Bai

Trajectory prediction is a key element of autonomous vehicle systems, enabling them to anticipate and react to the movements of other road users. Evaluating the robustness of prediction models against adversarial attacks is essential to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-12 Julian F. Schumann , Jeroen Hagenus , Frederik Baymler Mathiesen , Arkady Zgonnikov
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