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We study parameter inference in simulation-based stochastic models where the analytical form of the likelihood is unknown. The main difficulty is that score evaluation as a ratio of noisy Monte Carlo estimators induces bias and instability,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-31 Zehao Li , Zhouchen Lin , Yijie Peng

Bayesian inference methods rely on numerical algorithms for both model selection and parameter inference. In general, these algorithms require a high computational effort to yield reliable estimates. One of the major challenges in…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2018-08-09 Patricio Maturana , Brendon J. Brewer , Steffen Klaere , Remco Bouckaert

We present a cosmology analysis of simulated weak lensing convergence maps using the Neural Field Scattering Transform (NFST) to constrain cosmological parameters. The NFST extends the Wavelet Scattering Transform (WST) by incorporating…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2025-06-11 Matthew Craigie , Yuan-Sen Ting , Rossana Ruggeri , Tamara M. Davis

Existing state-of-the-art novel view synthesis methods rely on either fairly accurate 3D geometry estimation or sampling of the entire space for neural volumetric rendering, which limit the overall efficiency. In order to improve the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-04-08 Yuemei Zhou , Tao Yu , Zerong Zheng , Ying Fu , Yebin Liu

Parametric stochastic simulators are ubiquitous in science, often featuring high-dimensional input parameters and/or an intractable likelihood. Performing Bayesian parameter inference in this context can be challenging. We present a neural…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-27 Benjamin Kurt Miller , Alex Cole , Patrick Forré , Gilles Louppe , Christoph Weniger

In variational inference, the benefits of Bayesian models rely on accurately capturing the true posterior distribution. We propose using neural samplers that specify implicit distributions, which are well-suited for approximating complex…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-10 Anshuk Uppal , Kristoffer Stensbo-Smidt , Wouter Boomsma , Jes Frellsen

We present Sequential Neural Variational Inference (SNVI), an approach to perform Bayesian inference in models with intractable likelihoods. SNVI combines likelihood-estimation (or likelihood-ratio-estimation) with variational inference to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-20 Manuel Glöckler , Michael Deistler , Jakob H. Macke

Over the last couple of decades, there has been a surge in various approaches to multiple-point statistics simulation, commonly referred to as MPS. These methods have aimed to improve several critical aspects of realism in the results,…

Simplicial complexes provide a powerful framework for modeling higher-order interactions in structured data, making them particularly suitable for applications such as trajectory prediction and mesh processing. However, existing simplicial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-27 Aref Einizade , Dorina Thanou , Fragkiskos D. Malliaros , Jhony H. Giraldo

Bayesian analysis plays a crucial role in estimating distribution of unknown parameters for given data and model. Due to the curse of dimensionality, it becomes difficult for high-dimensional problems, especially when multiple modes exist.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-18 Zihan Liao , Binbin Li , Hua-Ping Wan

Nested simulation is a natural approach to tackle nested estimation problems in operations research and financial engineering. The outer-level simulation generates outer scenarios and the inner-level simulations are run in each outer…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-03-31 Kun Zhang , Ben Mingbin Feng , Guangwu Liu , Shiyu Wang

An issue for molecular dynamics simulations is that events of interest often involve timescales that are much longer than the simulation time step, which is set by the fastest timescales of the model. Because of this timescale separation,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-08-15 John Strahan , Chatipat Lorpaiboon , Jonathan Weare , Aaron R. Dinner

We consider the problem of sequential binary hypothesis testing with a distributed sensor network in a non-Gaussian noise environment. To this end, we present a general formulation of the Consensus + Innovations Sequential Probability Ratio…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-10-17 Mark R. Leonard , Abdelhak M. Zoubir

In performing a Bayesian analysis of astronomical data, two difficult problems often emerge. First, in estimating the parameters of some model for the data, the resulting posterior distribution may be multimodal or exhibit pronounced…

Astrophysics · Physics 2010-01-11 Farhan Feroz , M. P. Hobson

Sequential neural posterior estimation (SNPE) techniques have been recently proposed for dealing with simulation-based models with intractable likelihoods. Unlike approximate Bayesian computation, SNPE techniques learn the posterior from…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-17 Yifei Xiong , Xiliang Yang , Sanguo Zhang , Zhijian He

We introduce Sequential Neural Posterior Score Estimation (SNPSE), a score-based method for Bayesian inference in simulator-based models. Our method, inspired by the remarkable success of score-based methods in generative modelling,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-04 Louis Sharrock , Jack Simons , Song Liu , Mark Beaumont

In the field of inverse estimation for systems modeled by partial differential equations (PDEs), challenges arise when estimating high- (or even infinite-) dimensional parameters. Typically, the ill-posed nature of such problems…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-08-30 Yankun Hong , Harshit Bansal , Karen Veroy

Nested Sampling is a method for computing the Bayesian evidence, also called the marginal likelihood, which is the integral of the likelihood with respect to the prior. More generally, it is a numerical probabilistic quadrature rule. The…

Computation · Statistics 2023-10-09 Jonas Latz , Doris Schneider , Philipp Wacker

We consider estimation models of the form $Y=X^*+N$, where $X^*$ is some $m$-dimensional signal we wish to recover, and $N$ is symmetrically distributed noise that may be unbounded in all but a small $\alpha$ fraction of the entries. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-15 Tommaso d'Orsi , Rajai Nasser , Gleb Novikov , David Steurer

Effective learning of asymmetric and local features in images and other data observed on multi-dimensional grids is a challenging objective critical for a wide range of image processing applications involving biomedical and natural images.…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-06 Meng Li , Li Ma