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Multi-scale problems, where variables of interest evolve in different time-scales and live in different state-spaces, can be found in many fields of science. Here, we introduce a new recursive methodology for Bayesian inference that aims at…

Computation · Statistics 2024-07-08 Sara Pérez-Vieites , Harold Molina-Bulla , Joaquin Miguez

Simulation-Based Inference (SBI) is a promising Bayesian inference framework that alleviates the need for analytic likelihoods to estimate posterior distributions. Recent advances using neural density estimators in SBI algorithms have…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2022-07-13 Justine Zeghal , François Lanusse , Alexandre Boucaud , Benjamin Remy , Eric Aubourg

In probabilistic (Bayesian) inferences, we typically want to compute properties of the posterior distribution, describing knowledge of unknown quantities in the context of a particular dataset and the assumed prior information. The marginal…

Computation · Statistics 2016-11-03 Brendon J. Brewer , Daniel Foreman-Mackey

Here we present an investigation into using nested sampling algorithms in cosmological likelihood analysis. We present a new nested sampling algorithm, ESNested, that uses Evolution Strategies for sample proposals. This quickly finds the…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2011-01-28 M. Axiak , T. D. Kitching , J. I. van Hemert

In recent years, there has been a remarkable development of simulation-based inference (SBI) algorithms, and they have now been applied across a wide range of astrophysical and cosmological analyses. There are a number of key advantages to…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2025-03-18 Noemi Anau Montel , James Alvey , Christoph Weniger

PolyChord is a novel nested sampling algorithm tailored for high dimensional parameter spaces. In addition, it can fully exploit a hierarchy of parameter speeds such as is found in CosmoMC and CAMB. It utilises slice sampling at each…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-23 W. J. Handley , M. P. Hobson , A. N. Lasenby

We present multimodal neural posterior estimation (MultiNPE), a method to integrate heterogeneous data from different sources in simulation-based inference with neural networks. Inspired by advances in deep fusion, it allows researchers to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Marvin Schmitt , Leona Odole , Stefan T. Radev , Paul-Christian Bürkner

In this work we introduce a novel stochastic algorithm dubbed SNIPS, which draws samples from the posterior distribution of any linear inverse problem, where the observation is assumed to be contaminated by additive white Gaussian noise.…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-11-11 Bahjat Kawar , Gregory Vaksman , Michael Elad

Nested sampling (NS) is a stochastic method for computing the log-evidence of a Bayesian problem. It relies on stochastic estimates of prior volumes enclosed by likelihood contours, which limits the accuracy of the log-evidence calculation.…

Computational Physics · Physics 2024-11-27 Margret Westerkamp , Jakob Roth , Philipp Frank , Will Handley , Torsten Enßlin

Harnessing modern parallel computing resources to achieve complex multi-physics simulations is a daunting task. The Multiphysics Object Oriented Simulation Environment (MOOSE) aims to enable such development by providing simplified…

The empirical Bayes $g$-modeling approach via the nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator (NPMLE) is widely used for large-scale estimation and inference in the normal means problem, yet theoretical guarantees for uncertainty…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-31 Taehyun Kim , Bodhisattva Sen

Advancing the dynamics inference of power electronic systems (PES) to the real-time edge-side holds transform-ative potential for testing, control, and monitoring. How-ever, efficiently inferring the inherent hybrid continu-ous-discrete…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-08 Jialin Zheng , Haoyu Wang , Yangbin Zeng , Han Xu , Di Mou , Hong Li , Sergio Vazquez , Leopoldo G. Franquelo

Retrieving the physical parameters from spectroscopic observations of exoplanets is key to understanding their atmospheric properties. Exoplanetary atmospheric retrievals are usually based on approximate Bayesian inference and rely on…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2023-04-19 Malavika Vasist , François Rozet , Olivier Absil , Paul Mollière , Evert Nasedkin , Gilles Louppe

PolyChord is a novel nested sampling algorithm tailored for high-dimensional parameter spaces. This paper coincides with the release of PolyChord v1.3, and provides an extensive account of the algorithm. PolyChord utilises slice sampling at…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-09-30 W. J. Handley , M. P. Hobson , A. N. Lasenby

Nested sampling is an increasingly popular technique for Bayesian computation, in particular for multimodal, degenerate problems of moderate to high dimensionality. Without appropriate settings, however, nested sampling software may fail to…

Computation · Statistics 2019-01-23 Edward Higson , Will Handley , Mike Hobson , Anthony Lasenby

Modern simulation-based inference techniques use neural networks to solve inverse problems efficiently. One notable strategy is neural posterior estimation (NPE), wherein a neural network parameterizes a distribution to approximate the…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2024-03-06 Alex Kolmus , Justin Janquart , Tomasz Baka , Twan van Laarhoven , Chris Van Den Broeck , Tom Heskes

We present a method for improving the performance of nested sampling as well as its accuracy. Building on previous work by Chen et al., we show that posterior repartitioning may be used to reduce the amount of time nested sampling spends in…

Computational Physics · Physics 2022-12-06 Aleksandr Petrosyan , William James Handley

Compressive imaging aims to recover a latent image from under-sampled measurements, suffering from a serious ill-posed inverse problem. Recently, deep neural networks have been applied to this problem with superior results, owing to the…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-10-26 Yixiao Yang , Ran Tao , Kaixuan Wei , Ying Fu

We introduce a novel approach to boost the efficiency of the importance nested sampling (INS) technique for Bayesian posterior and evidence estimation using deep learning. Unlike rejection-based sampling methods such as vanilla nested…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2023-06-30 Johannes U. Lange