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This paper proposes a general unplanned incident analysis framework for public transit systems from the supply and demand sides using automated fare collection (AFC) and automated vehicle location (AVL) data. Specifically, on the supply…

Applications · Statistics 2022-01-05 Baichuan Mo , Max Y von Franque , Haris N. Koutsopoulosc , John Attanuccid , Jinhua Zhao

Having reliable estimates of the occurrence rates of extreme events is highly important for insurance companies, government agencies and the general public. The rarity of an extreme event is typically expressed through its return period,…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-08 Ross Towe , Jonathan Tawn , Emma Eastoe , Rob Lamb

Pandemic control measures like lock-down, restrictions on restaurants and gatherings, social-distancing have shown to be effective in curtailing the spread of COVID-19. However, their sustained enforcement has negative economic effects. To…

Daily variation in human mobility modulates the speed and severity of emerging outbreaks, yet most epidemiological studies assume static contact patterns. With a highly mobile population exceeding 24 million people, Shanghai, China is a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-09-17 Zhanwei Du , Spencer J Fox , Petter Holme , Jiming Liu , Alison P. Galvani , Lauren Ancel Meyers

Disruptive events significantly alter spatial and social interactions among people and places. To examine the structural changes in spatial and social interaction networks in pre- and post-periods of the COVID-19 pandemic, we employ the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-11-06 Caglar Koylu , Maryam Torkashvand

The underlying reasons behind modern terrorism are seemingly complex and intangible. Despite diverse causal mechanisms, research has shown that there exists general statistical patterns at the global scale that can shed light on human…

Applications · Statistics 2019-04-09 Weisi Guo

Accident detection is a vital part of traffic safety. Many road users suffer from traffic accidents, as well as their consequences such as delay, congestion, air pollution, and so on. In this study, we utilize two advanced deep learning…

The COVID-19 pandemic and the implementation of social distancing policies have rapidly changed people's visiting patterns, as reflected in mobility data that tracks mobility traffic using location trackers on cell phones. However, the…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2024-05-14 Prajindra Sankar Krishnan , Chai Phing Chen , Gamal Alkawsi , Sieh Kiong Tiong , Luiz Fernando Capretz

We investigate the behavior of extended urban traffic networks within the framework of percolation theory by using real and synthetic traffic data. Our main focus shifts from the statistical properties of the cluster size distribution…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-07-21 Marco Cogoni , Giovanni Busonera

Shifting travel from private cars to public transport is critical for meeting climate and related mobility goals, yet passengers will only choose transit if it offers a consistently positive experience. Previous studies of passenger…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Esther Bosch , Michael Scholz , Anke Sauerländer-Biebl , Klas Ihme

In many applications, data cluster. Failing to take the cluster structure into consideration generally leads to underestimated variances of point estimators and inflated type I errors in hypothesis tests. Many circumstance-dependent…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-21 Jiahua Chen , Pengfei Li , Yukun Liu , James V. Zidek

We live in a time where climate models predict future increases in environmental variability and biological invasions are becoming increasingly frequent. A key to developing effective responses to biological invasions in increasingly…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-12-16 Sebastian J. Schreiber , Maureen E. Ryan

This paper presents a critical, qualitative study of the social role of algorithmic bias in the context of the Chicago crime prediction algorithm, a predictive policing tool that forecasts when and where in the city crime is most likely to…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-05-14 Marta Ziosi , Dasha Pruss

Spatial regression or geographically weighted regression models have been widely adopted to capture the effects of auxiliary information on a response variable of interest over a region. In contrast, relationships between response and…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-29 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Daisuke Murakami

The recent availability of digital traces from Information and Communications Technologies (ICT) has facilitated the study of both individual- and population-level movement with unprecedented spatiotemporal resolution, enabling us to better…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-10-10 Surendra Hazarie , Hugo Barbosa , Adam Frank , Ronaldo Menezes , Gourab Ghoshal

The air transportation local share, defined as the proportion of local passengers relative to total passengers, serves as a critical metric reflecting how economic growth, carrier strategies, and market forces jointly influence demand…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-03-11 Xufang Zheng , Qilei Zhang , Victoria Cobb , Max Z. Li

The rapid evolution of the transportation cybersecurity ecosystem, encompassing cybersecurity, automotive, and transportation and logistics sectors, will lead to the formation of distinct spatial clusters and visitor flow patterns across…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-05-15 Yuhao Wang , Kailai Wang , Songhua Hu , Yunpeng , Zhang , Gino Lim , Pengyu Zhu

Critical incident stages identification and reasonable prediction of traffic incident duration are essential in traffic incident management. In this paper, we propose a traffic incident duration prediction model that simultaneously predicts…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-21 Kaiqun Fu , Taoran Ji , Liang Zhao , Chang-Tien Lu

Statistical analyses of urban environments have been recently improved through publicly available high resolution data and mapping technologies that have been adopted across industries. These technologies allow us to create metrics to…

Applications · Statistics 2019-01-18 Colman Humphrey , Shane T. Jensen , Dylan Small , Rachel Thurston

Recently, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) has worked with other federal agencies to identify counties with increasing coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) incidence (hotspots) and offers support to local health…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-04 Shixiang Zhu , Alexander Bukharin , Liyan Xie , Khurram Yamin , Shihao Yang , Pinar Keskinocak , Yao Xie