English
Related papers

Related papers: Permanent and transitory crime risk in variable-de…

200 papers

Predicting human displacements is crucial for addressing various societal challenges, including urban design, traffic congestion, epidemic management, and migration dynamics. While predictive models like deep learning and Markov models…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-08-07 Sebastiano Bontorin , Simone Centellegher , Riccardo Gallotti , Luca Pappalardo , Bruno Lepri , Massimiliano Luca

This chapter examines the possibility to analyze and compare human activities in an urban environment based on the detection of mobile phone usage patterns. Thanks to an unprecedented collection of counter data recording the number of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-06-18 S. Grauwin , S. Sobolevsky , S. Moritz , I. Gódor , C. Ratti

Containing the spreading of crime is a major challenge for society. Yet, since thousands of years, no effective strategy has been found to overcome crime. To the contrary, empirical evidence shows that crime is recurrent, a fact that is not…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-09-02 Matjaz Perc , Karsten Donnay , Dirk Helbing

Improving road safety is hugely important with the number of deaths on the world's roads remaining unacceptably high; an estimated 1.35 million people die each year (WHO, 2020). Current practice for treating collision hotspots is almost…

Applications · Statistics 2023-02-02 Nicola Hewett , Andrew Golightly , Lee Fawcett , Neil Thorpe

A major public health concern in the United States (US) is gun-related deaths. The number of gun injuries largely varies spatially because of county-wise heterogeneity of race, sex, age, and income distributions. But still, a major…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-28 Debjoy Thakur , Lingyuan Zhao , Soutir Bandyopadhyay

We evaluated one of the most common policing strategies in Brazil: the allocation of police blitzes. This place-based focused deterrence intervention has well-defined assignments, and 3,423 interventions were precisely recorded in…

General Economics · Economics 2025-03-19 José Raimundo Carvalho , Marcelino Guerra

Natural disasters such as hurricanes and wildfires increasingly introduce unusual disturbance on economic activities, which are especially likely to reshape commercial land use pattern given their sensitive to customer visitation. However,…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-08-13 Ziyi Guo , Yan Wang

Construction of just-in-time adaptive interventions, such as prompts delivered by mobile apps to promote and maintain behavioral change, requires knowledge about time-varying moderated effects to inform when and how we deliver intervention…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-06 Jieru Shi , Zhenke Wu , Walter Dempsey

In this paper, we present a method of crime analysis from open source information. We employed un-supervised methods of data mining to explore the facts regarding the crimes of an area of interest. The analysis is based on well known…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2019-02-18 Sarwat Nizamani , Nasrullah Memon , Azhar Ali Shah , Sehrish Nizamani , Saad Nizamani , Imdad Ali Ismaili

The persistence over space and time of flash flood disasters -- flash floods that have caused either economical or life losses, or both -- is a diagnostic measure of areas subjected to hydrological risk. The concept of persistence can be…

Applications · Statistics 2021-07-28 Nan Wang , Luigi Lombardo , Marj Tonini , Weiming Cheng , Liang Guo , Junnan Xiong

Finding the factors contributing to criminal activities and their consequences is essential to improve quantitative crime research. To respond to this concern, we examine an extensive set of features from different perspectives and…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-06-16 Fateha Khanam Bappee , Lucas May Petry , Amilcar Soares , Stan Matwin

In the analysis of binary longitudinal data, it is of interest to model a dynamic relationship between a response and covariates as a function of time, while also investigating similar patterns of time-dependent interactions. We present a…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-11 Jinwon Sohn , Seonghyun Jeong , Young Min Cho , Taeyoung Park

Assessment of risk levels for existing credit accounts is important to the implementation of bank policies and offering financial products. This paper uses cluster analysis of behaviour of credit card accounts to help assess credit risk…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-02-13 Maha Bakoben , Tony Bellotti , Niall Adams

At the moment, urban mobility research and governmental initiatives are mostly focused on motor-related issues, e.g. the problems of congestion and pollution. And yet, we can not disregard the most vulnerable elements in the urban…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-11-10 Cristina Bustos , Daniel Rhoads , Albert Sole-Ribalta , David Masip , Alex Arenas , Agata Lapedriza , Javier Borge-Holthoefer

Understanding how best to estimate state-level policy effects is important, and several unanswered questions remain, particularly about the ability of statistical models to disentangle the effects of concurrently enacted policies. In…

Spatial trend estimation under potential heterogeneity is an important problem to extract spatial characteristics and hazards such as criminal activity. By focusing on quantiles, which provide substantial information on distributions…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-24 Takahiro Onizuka , Shintaro Hashimoto , Shonosuke Sugasawa

Increased interaction between and among pedestrians and vehicles in the crowded urban environments of today gives rise to a negative side-effect: a growth in traffic accidents, with pedestrians being the most vulnerable elements. Recent…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-02-07 Cristina Bustos , Daniel Rhoads , Agata Lapedriza , Javier Borge-Holthoefer , Albert Solé-Ribalta

With the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic, various studies have focused on predicting the trajectory and risk factors of the virus and its variants. Building on previous work that addressed this problem using genetic and epidemiological…

Applications · Statistics 2023-12-25 Catherine Li , Daniel Lazarev

Building fires pose a persistent threat to life, property, and infrastructure, emphasizing the need for advanced risk mitigation strategies. This study presents a data-driven framework analyzing U.S. fire risks by integrating over one…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-01 Chenzhi Ma , Hongru Du , Shengzhi Luan , Ensheng Dong , Lauren M. Gardner , Thomas Gernay

Shared spaces aim to reduce the dominance of motor vehicles by promoting pedestrian and cyclist activity and minimizing segregation between road users. Despite the intended scope to improve the safety of vulnerable road users, only few…