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How can we learn the laws underlying the dynamics of stochastic systems when their trajectories are sampled sparsely in time? Existing methods either require temporally resolved high-frequency observations, or rely on geometric arguments…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-12-30 Dimitra Maoutsa

Increasing effort is put into the development of methods for learning mechanistic models from data. This task entails not only the accurate estimation of parameters but also a suitable model structure. Recent work on the discovery of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-01 Justin N. Kreikemeyer , Philipp Andelfinger , Adelinde M. Uhrmacher

Stabilizing an unknown dynamical system is one of the central problems in control theory. In this paper, we study the sample complexity of the learn-to-stabilize problem in Linear Time-Invariant (LTI) systems on a single trajectory. Current…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-02-16 Yang Hu , Adam Wierman , Guannan Qu

In the traditional framework of spectral learning of stochastic time series models, model parameters are estimated based on trajectories of fully recorded observations. However, real-world time series data often contain missing values, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-22 Tianlin Liu

Given an unknown dynamic system such as a coupled harmonic oscillator with $n$ springs and point masses. We are often interested in gaining insights into its physical parameters, i.e. stiffnesses and masses, by observing trajectories of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-22 Gregory Barber , Mulugeta A. Haile , Tzikang Chen

We address the problem of learning the dynamics of an unknown non-parametric system linking a target and a feature time series. The feature time series is measured on a sparse and irregular grid, while we have access to only a few points of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-01 Linus Bleistein , Adeline Fermanian , Anne-Sophie Jannot , Agathe Guilloux

In stochastic systems, numerically sampling the relevant trajectories for the estimation of the large deviation statistics of time-extensive observables requires overcoming their exponential (in space and time) scarcity. The optimal way to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-01-14 Tom H. E. Oakes , Adam Moss , Juan P. Garrahan

Many consequential real-world systems, like wind fields and ocean currents, are dynamic and hard to model. Learning their governing dynamics remains a central challenge in scientific machine learning. Dynamic Mode Decomposition (DMD)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-26 Yujin Kim , Sarah Dean

Learning the continuous dynamics of a system from snapshots of its temporal marginals is a problem which appears throughout natural sciences and machine learning, including in quantum systems, single-cell biological data, and generative…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-12 Kirill Neklyudov , Rob Brekelmans , Daniel Severo , Alireza Makhzani

In a wide range of applications, the stochastic properties of the observed time series change over time. The changes often occur gradually rather than abruptly: the properties are (approximately) constant for some time and then slowly start…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-04-03 Michael Vogt , Holger Dette

Multiple time scale stochastic dynamical systems are ubiquitous in science and engineering, and the reduction of such systems and their models to only their slow components is often essential for scientific computation and further analysis.…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-01-22 Carmeline J. Dsilva , Ronen Talmon , C. William Gear , Ronald R. Coifman , Ioannis G. Kevrekidis

Learning governing equations allows for deeper understanding of the structure and dynamics of data. We present a random sampling method for learning structured dynamical systems from under-sampled and possibly noisy state-space…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-05-14 Hayden Schaeffer , Giang Tran , Rachel Ward , Linan Zhang

This paper explores the observability and estimation capability of dynamical systems using predominantly relative measurements of the system's state-space variables, with minimal to no reliance on absolute measurements of these variables.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-29 Ioannis Raptis

The paper proposes a systematic framework for building data-driven stochastic differential equation (SDE) models from sparse, noisy observations. Unlike traditional parametric approaches, which assume a known functional form for the drift,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-18 Arnab Ganguly , Riten Mitra , Jinpu Zhou

We propose a new architecture for the learning of predictive spatio-temporal motion models from data alone. Our approach, dubbed the Dropout Autoencoder LSTM, is capable of synthesizing natural looking motion sequences over long time…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-12-05 Partha Ghosh , Jie Song , Emre Aksan , Otmar Hilliges

Machine learning algorithms designed to learn dynamical systems from data can be used to forecast, control and interpret the observed dynamics. In this work we exemplify the use of one of such algorithms, namely Koopman operator learning,…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-03-31 Pietro Novelli

We consider the problem of finite-time identification of linear dynamical systems from $T$ samples of a single trajectory. Recent results have predominantly focused on the setup where either no structural assumption is made on the system…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-02 Hemant Tyagi , Denis Efimov

Automated model selection is an important application in science and engineering. In this work, we develop a learning approach for identifying structured dynamical systems from undersampled and noisy spatiotemporal data. The learning is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-31 Xiaofan Lu , Linan Zhang , Hongjin He

Modern learning systems increasingly interact with data that evolve over time and depend on hidden internal state. We ask a basic question: when is such a dynamical system learnable from observations alone? This paper proposes a research…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-23 Elad Hazan , Shai Shalev Shwartz , Nathan Srebro

This paper develops a framework for the error analysis in nonparametric model fitting of fractional stochastic differential equations based on discrete observations. We identify and quantify the main error sources -- time discretization,…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-07 Mahdi Dehshiri , Kerlyns Martinez , Lauri Viitasaari