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Finding reduced models of spatially-distributed chemical reaction networks requires an estimation of which effective dynamics are relevant. We propose a machine learning approach to this coarse graining problem, where a maximum entropy…

Biological Physics · Physics 2018-08-15 Oliver K. Ernst , Thomas Bartol , Terrence Sejnowski , Eric Mjolsness

Estimating the state of a dynamical system from a series of noise-corrupted observations is fundamental in many areas of science and engineering. The most well-known method, the Kalman smoother (and the related Kalman filter), relies on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-04-24 Luca Ambrogioni , Umut Güçlü , Eric Maris , Marcel van Gerven

We focus in this paper in the estimation of a target trajectory defined by whether a time constant parameter in a simple stochastic process or a random walk with binary observations. The binary observation comes from binary derivative…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2012-04-25 Adrien Ickowicz

Dimensionality reduction is an effective method for learning high-dimensional data, which can provide better understanding of decision boundaries in human-readable low-dimensional subspace. Linear methods, such as principal component…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-09 Koji Maruhashi , Heewon Park , Rui Yamaguchi , Satoru Miyano

Linear dynamical relations that may exist in continuous-time, or at some natural sampling rate, are not directly discernable at reduced observational sampling rates. Indeed, at reduced rates, matricial spectral densities of vectorial time…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-07-25 Tryphon T. Georgiou , Anders Lindquist

Temporal-Difference (TD) learning with nonlinear smooth function approximation for policy evaluation has achieved great success in modern reinforcement learning. It is shown that such a problem can be reformulated as a stochastic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-25 Shuang Qiu , Zhuoran Yang , Xiaohan Wei , Jieping Ye , Zhaoran Wang

We present a novel approach to learn the formulae characterising the emergent behaviour of a dynamical system from system observations. At a high level, the approach starts by devising a statistical dynamical model of the system which…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2013-12-31 Ezio Bartocci , Luca Bortolussi , Guido Sanguinetti

We study the problem of selecting most informative subset of a large observation set to enable accurate estimation of unknown parameters. This problem arises in a variety of settings in machine learning and signal processing including…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-05-27 Abolfazl Hashemi , Mahsa Ghasemi , Haris Vikalo , Ufuk Topcu

We consider a blind identification problem in which we aim to recover a statistical model of a network without knowledge of the network's edges, but based solely on nodal observations of a certain process. More concretely, we focus on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-08 Michael T. Schaub , Santiago Segarra , John N. Tsitsiklis

Isolating slower dynamics from fast fluctuations has proven remarkably powerful, but how do we proceed from partial observations of dynamical systems for which we lack underlying equations? Here, we construct maximally-predictive states by…

Biological Physics · Physics 2023-02-28 Antonio Carlos Costa , Tosif Ahamed , David Jordan , Greg Stephens

Learning governing dynamics from data is a common goal across the sciences, yet it is only well-posed when the underlying mechanisms are identifiable. In practice, many data-driven methods implicitly assume identifiability; when this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Aybüke Ulusarslan , Niki Kilbertus , Nora Schneider

The increasing availability of experimental data has intensified interest in calibrating stochastic models, raising fundamental questions about parameter identifiability. Structural identifiability determines whether parameters can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-14 Arianna Ceccarelli , Alexander P. Browning , Ruth E. Baker

Information in the time distribution of points in a state space reconstructed from observed data yields a test for ``nonstationarity''. Framed in terms of a statistical hypothesis test, this numerical algorithm can discern whether some…

chao-dyn · Physics 2008-02-03 Matthew B. Kennel

We look at a stochastic time-varying optimization problem and we formulate online algorithms to find and track its optimizers in expectation. The algorithms are derived from the intuition that standard prediction and correction steps can be…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-11 Andrea Simonetto , Paolo Massioni

A novel approach to solve the problem of distributed state estimation of linear time-invariant systems is proposed in this paper. It relies on the application of parameter estimation-based observers, where the state observation task is…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-05-28 Romeo Ortega , Emmanuel Nuño , Alexei Bobtsov

Inference on unknown quantities in dynamical systems via observational data is essential for providing meaningful insight, furnishing accurate predictions, enabling robust control, and establishing appropriate designs for future…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-06 M. Chung , M. Binois , R. B. Gramacy , D. J. Moquin , A. P. Smith , A. M. Smith

A powerful approach for understanding neural population dynamics is to extract low-dimensional trajectories from population recordings using dimensionality reduction methods. Current approaches for dimensionality reduction on neural data…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-07 Marcel Nonnenmacher , Srinivas C. Turaga , Jakob H. Macke

Nonlinear systems are capable of displaying complex behavior even if this is the result of a small number of interacting time scales. A widely studied case is when complex dynamics emerges out of a nonlinear system being forced by a simple…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-01 Leandro M. Alonso

Many latent-variable applications, including community detection, collaborative filtering, genomic analysis, and NLP, model data as generated by low-rank matrices. Yet despite considerable research, except for very special cases, the number…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-02 Ayush Jain , Alon Orlitsky

This article studies the estimation of latent community memberships from pairwise interactions in a network of $N$ nodes, where the observed interactions can be of arbitrary type, including binary, categorical, and vector-valued, and not…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-31 Konstantin Avrachenkov , Maximilien Dreveton , Lasse Leskelä
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