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Prediction is critical for decision-making under uncertainty and lends validity to statistical inference. With targeted prediction, the goal is to optimize predictions for specific decision tasks of interest, which we represent via…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-18 Daniel R. Kowal

Identifying and disentangling sources of predictive uncertainty is essential for trustworthy supervised learning. We argue that widely used second-order methods that disentangle aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty are fundamentally…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-09 Sebastián Jiménez , Mira Jürgens , Willem Waegeman

As artificial intelligence (AI) becomes increasingly embedded in the core functions of social, political, and economic life, it catalyzes structural transformations with far-reaching societal implications. This paper advances the concept of…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-05-19 Kyle A Kilian

Determining whether another system, biological or artificial, possesses phenomenal consciousness has long been a central challenge in consciousness studies. This attribution problem has become especially pressing with the rise of large…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-09-23 Fangfang Li , Xiaojie Zhang

To make deliberate progress towards more intelligent and more human-like artificial systems, we need to be following an appropriate feedback signal: we need to be able to define and evaluate intelligence in a way that enables comparisons…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-11-26 François Chollet

Many automated decision systems (ADS) are designed to solve prediction problems -- where the goal is to learn patterns from a sample of the population and apply them to individuals from the same population. In reality, these prediction…

This paper investigates the prospect of developing human-interpretable, explainable artificial intelligence (AI) systems based on active inference and the free energy principle. We first provide a brief overview of active inference, and in…

Existing AI disclosure mandates in scholarship require that AI assistance be reported but leave transparency philosophically unspecified: they fix the duty without explaining what the duty serves. We argue that ethical inquiry is…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Michele Loi

In many practical applications of AI, an AI model is used as a decision aid for human users. The AI provides advice that a human (sometimes) incorporates into their decision-making process. The AI advice is often presented with some measure…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-10-31 Kailas Vodrahalli , Tobias Gerstenberg , James Zou

Prescriptive Process Monitoring systems recommend, during the execution of a business process, interventions that, if followed, prevent a negative outcome of the process. Such interventions have to be reliable, that is, they have to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-08-22 Ivan Donadello , Chiara Di Francescomarino , Fabrizio Maria Maggi , Francesco Ricci , Aladdin Shikhizada

AI-enabled capabilities are reaching the requisite level of maturity to be deployed in the real world, yet do not always make correct or safe decisions. One way of addressing these concerns is to leverage AI control systems alongside and in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-10 Walt Woods , Alexander Grushin , Simon Khan , Alvaro Velasquez

Recent AI trends seek to align AI models to learned human-centric objectives, such as personal preferences, utility, or societal values. Using standard preference elicitation methods, researchers and practitioners build models of human…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Cyrus Cousins , Vijay Keswani , Vincent Conitzer , Hoda Heidari , Jana Schaich Borg , Walter Sinnott-Armstrong

The Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) framework provides a rigorous foundation for evidence synthesis, yet the manual processes of data extraction and literature screening remain time-consuming and…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2026-03-23 Samar Shailendra , Rajan Kadel , Aakanksha Sharma , Islam Mohammad Tahidul , Urvashi Rahul Saxena

Analyzing decision problems under uncertainty commonly relies on idealizing assumptions about the describability of the world, with the most prominent examples being the closed world and the small world assumption. Most assumptions are…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-08 Christoph Jansen , Georg Schollmeyer , Thomas Augustin , Julian Rodemann

This study presents a modular, multi-agent system for the automated review of highly structured enterprise business documents using AI agents. Unlike prior solutions focused on unstructured texts or limited compliance checks, this framework…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-07-01 Sudip Dasgupta , Himanshu Shankar

Large language models now write software, draft legal documents, and produce clinical notes, yet fundamental limits, from Turing and Arrow to the No Free Lunch theorems, shape what computation can do. This thesis turns such impossibility…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-25 Dongxin Guo

If machine learning models were to achieve superhuman abilities at various reasoning or decision-making tasks, how would we go about evaluating such models, given that humans would necessarily be poor proxies for ground truth? In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-20 Lukas Fluri , Daniel Paleka , Florian Tramèr

Artificial Intelligence (AI) has paved the way for revolutionary decision-making processes, which if harnessed appropriately, can contribute to advancements in various sectors, from healthcare to economics. However, its black box nature…

Many promising-looking ideas in AI research fail to deliver, but their validation takes substantial human labor and compute. Predicting an idea's chance of success is thus crucial for accelerating empirical AI research, a skill that even…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-06-03 Jiaxin Wen , Chenglei Si , Yueh-han Chen , He He , Shi Feng

The increasing use of generative AI for resume screening is predicated on the assumption that it offers an unbiased alternative to biased human decision-making. However, this belief fails to address a critical question: are these AI systems…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-07-18 Kevin T Webster
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